Using speed figures, pace projections, class ratings, and recent form, a few runners stand out as the most likely winners.
Pace and Race Shape
The pace scenario appears favorable for horses with tactical speed. Historical trends at Thistledown show that runners breaking from inside posts with early speed often perform well at this distance.
Standoutsensation appears to have the ideal setup. Breaking from the rail, she possesses enough speed to secure favorable early position and could find herself controlling the race from the outset under Jose Ortiz.
Other runners expected to be involved early include Nerazurri, Low Country Magic, and Peignoir, creating what should be an honest but manageable pace.
Main Contenders
Standoutsensation (#1)
Standoutsensation brings a consistent record at the distance, posting two wins and two runner-up finishes in six starts at 1 1/8 miles.
Her third-place finish in a stakes race at Oaklawn Park last time out was a solid effort, and the rail draw should allow Jose Ortiz to utilize her early speed effectively. If the track favors front-runners, she could prove very difficult to catch.
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