The Del Mar Pick Six sequence on Sunday, August 30 features a two-day carryover of more than $192,000, making the sequence especially attractive for players looking to take a shot at a potentially lucrative payoff.
Below is my race-by-race analysis of the Pick Six, including my top contenders, horses I would use underneath, and my preferred selections for keeping the ticket manageable.
The past-performance information used for this analysis is from Sunday’s Complete Digest.
Race 5 — Maiden Special Weight
California-bred 2-year-old fillies | 6 furlongs | 11 horses
The opening leg of the Pick Six is a competitive maiden special weight event.
According to the Today’s Racing Digest speed and pace forecasts, No. 3 Sauced Up has the best projected numbers across the board, including the Fire Number, CPR, pace, final time, closing fraction and Fast Fig. However, she has already made four starts and has hit the board in each one. I’m not convinced there’s much improvement left to come, particularly with the switch back to the main track.
My top four contenders are:
- No. 1 Not So Merry Mary
- No. 6 Take Revenge
- No. 8 Her Strut
- No. 9 Sono Veloce
For a larger Pick Six ticket, all four are worth considering. However, I’m going to narrow the race down to two horses.
Top Choice: No. 8 Her Strut
Her Strut has made two career starts. She encountered trouble in her debut but rallied to finish third, then raced wide and finished fourth in her second start.
I’m willing to give her another chance if she can get a cleaner trip.
Antonio Fresu takes over for trainer George Papaprodromou, and the jockey and trainer have been successful together. If Her Strut gets a better trip this time, I think she has a legitimate chance to graduate.
Second Choice: No. 1 Not So Merry Mary
Not So Merry Mary makes her second career start after debuting in a five-furlong turf race. She didn’t hit the board but took some money and gained valuable experience.
The move to the main track could produce improvement for trainer Tim Yakteen, who has been winning at a solid rate with dirt sprint starters. Kazushi Kimura returns to ride.
Pick Six: 1, 8
Race 6 — $32,000 Claiming
5 furlongs on turf | 11 horses
The second leg is a five-furlong turf sprint.
The recent track profile is interesting. Over the last 27 races at this distance, front runners have won approximately 18.5% of the time, while pressers and mid-pack runners have been winning at much higher rates.
That makes running style an important consideration.
The Today’s Racing Digest projections give No. 9 Code Duello the best numbers, including an 88 Fire Number, 128 CPR, 124 Fast Fig and 134 final time rating.
My primary contenders are:
- No. 4 Daniel’s Magic
- No. 8 Gregory’s Pride
- No. 9 Code Duello
I also think No. 1 Agency and No. 2 Harcyn could hit the board and are worth considering for exotic wagers.
Top Choice: No. 4 Daniel’s Magic
Daniel’s Magic is a presser, which fits the recent profile of this turf sprint distance.
He ran well when returning to turf at five furlongs last time, finishing second in a $25,000 claiming event. He also gets a better post position this time, moving from post eight in a nine-horse field to post four.
Trainer Craig Dollase has a solid win percentage with turf sprinters, and Kazushi Kimura takes the mount.
The tactical speed and middle post should allow Daniel’s Magic to sit behind the leaders and potentially get first run on the deeper closers.
Second Choice: No. 9 Code Duello
Code Duello owns the strongest projected numbers in the race and comes into the event in good form.
He’s capable of either setting the pace or tracking it, which gives him some versatility. If he reproduces his recent form, he should be right there.
Pick Six: 4, 9
Read more at Today's Racing Digest



