Saturday, September 26, 2026

Goodwood Stakes 2026 Analysis (9-26-26)

The Grade 1 Goodwood Stakes at Santa Anita Park is the featured race on Saturday, September 26. The $300,000 event is for three-year-olds and up and will be contested at 1 1/8 miles on the main track.

With a competitive field that includes several proven stakes performers, the race flow could play a major role in determining the outcome. Here is a look at the field and the key Today’s Racing Digest numbers.

Goodwood Stakes Field

1. Taif (8-1)

Taif is trained by Bob Baffert and will have Emisael Jaramillo aboard for the first time. The five-year-old has made only three career starts, all in maiden company, with a win and two runner-up finishes.

He graduated at a mile and a sixteenth on the turf in his most recent start and now faces a significant class test while switching back to the main track. He did post a bullet workout at Santa Anita on September 19, but he’ll need to run considerably faster to compete with this group.

2. Vodka Vodka (15-1)

Kent Desormeaux returns aboard Vodka Vodka for trainer Aggie Ordonez. The horse has one runner-up finish in four starts at Santa Anita, that coming in the Grade 1 Big Cap earlier this year.

His most recent start was the Grade 2 Pat O’Brien at seven furlongs, where he stumbled at the start and finished seventh. That effort can be forgiven, particularly because it came off a layoff and at a shorter distance.

His previous two dirt-route efforts in stakes company were much stronger, including a 140 final-time rating when he finished second in the Big Cap and a 143 when he won a stakes race at 1 1/8 miles at Sunland Park in April.

At 15-1, he could be worth considering underneath.

3. McAfee (15-1)

McAfee is trained by George Weaver and will be ridden by Hector Berrios. He was cross-entered in the Lukas Classic at Churchill Downs, but the connections are expected to run here.

He enters off a six-length victory in a 1 1/8-mile allowance race at Saratoga. He also recorded a bullet workout on September 19.

The concern is class. He has struggled to win several stakes races in the past, although he has hit the board in some of them. He does have five starts at this distance, with one win, two seconds and a third.

He has early-pressing versatility and could track the pace, but he’ll need another step forward.

4. Original Sin (6-1)

Original Sin has four wins from 10 starts and has been particularly effective this year, winning three of six starts.

He was second in the Grade 1 Pacific Classic last time out, rallying from well back. The pace helped him considerably that day, however, with fractions of 45.40 seconds and 1:10.00 for the first six furlongs.

The cutback to 1 1/8 miles should suit him. He’s two-for-two at the distance and won the Grade 3 Blame Stakes at Churchill Downs at this trip, earning a 144 final-time rating.

The question is whether new rider Kazushi Kimura can keep him closer to the pace.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest

Friday, September 25, 2026

Lukas Classic 2026 Video Analysis (9-26-26)

Video analysis of the Lukas Classic at Churchill Downs on Saturday, September 26, 2026. 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.  

Ack Ack Stakes 2026 Video Picks (9-26-26)

Video analysis of the Ack Ack Stakes at Churchill Downs on Saturday, September 26, 2026. 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.  


Bourbon Flight Stakes 2026 Video Picks (9-26-26)

Video analysis of the Bourbon Flight Stakes at Churchill Downs on Saturday, September 26, 2026. 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.  


Thursday, September 24, 2026

Saturday, September 19, 2026

Forever Together Stakes 2026 Video Picks (9-20-26)

Video analysis of the $175,000 Forever Together Stakes at Belmont Park on Sunday, September 20, 2026. 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse. 

Pennsylvania Derby 2026 Analysis (9-19-26)

The 2026 Pennsylvania Derby is set for Saturday, September 19 at Parx Racing, with the Grade 1 event offering a $1 million purse for three-year-olds. The field will travel 1 1/8 miles on the main track, with a scheduled post time of 5:48 p.m. Eastern.

The competitive 11-horse field features four graded-stakes winners, and the Grade 1 race offers plenty to analyze from both a pace and class perspective.

Here is a look at the field and the key Digest numbers.

Pennsylvania Derby Field

1. Zihnal (8-1)

Zihnal enters off an impressive victory in the Grade 3 West Virginia Derby at Mountaineer on August 9. He added blinkers and returned to Lasix that day and responded with a 6 1/4-length victory at 1 1/8 miles.

He should be forwardly placed from the inside post, and trainer Jonathan Thomas has been winning at a solid rate with dirt-route starters. John Velazquez takes the mount again.

The concern is whether Zihnal can duplicate that career-best effort while losing Lasix. I liked him in the West Virginia Derby, but this is a significantly tougher test.

2. Iron Honor (5-1)

Iron Honor is a logical top three contender in the Pennsylvania Derby.

The Chad Brown trainee is adding blinkers again and gets Jose Ortiz aboard. He won the Grade 3 Gotham earlier this year and has subsequently placed in two Grade 1 races.

He finished second in the Preakness and third in the Haskell, with the latter coming over a sloppy track.

His recent Today’s Racing Digest ratings include a 141 in the Preakness and a 128 in the Haskell. If he can return to something around that 141 level, he should be extremely competitive.

There are also reasons to forgive some of his other races. He had a difficult trip in the Wood Memorial, drawing post 12 and encountering early trouble before racing wide and finishing seventh. In the Preakness, he tracked wide and made a strong move toward Napoleon Solo before settling for second.

The Haskell was also run over a wet track that may not have suited him.

With the race flow potentially in his favor and a return to a fast track, Iron Honor looks like an attractive horse at his 5-1 morning-line price.

3. Our Moneyman (8-1)

Our Moneyman has been remarkably consistent, entering off back-to-back runner-up finishes in Grade 3 competition.

He earned Today’s Racing Digest final ratings of 137 and 147 in those races, while his pace ratings of 150 and 152 indicate that he should be in a good tactical position.

The Indiana Derby form is particularly interesting. Leading Change won that race and subsequently captured the Grade 1 Travers, while Zihnal, who finished fourth, came back to win the Grade 3 West Virginia Derby.

Our Moneyman should get a good trip from his inner post, and Manny Franco takes the mount for the first time.

He’s difficult to dismiss and could once again find his way into the top three.

4. Igniter (8-1)

Igniter was my top choice in the Ellis Park Derby and delivered with a four-length victory.

He tracked the pace from second and produced a career-best 150 Today’s Racing Digest final number.

The question is whether he can duplicate that effort at 1 1/8 miles against a deeper and more accomplished field. The Ellis Park Derby had only five runners, whereas this race brings together 11 horses and multiple graded winners.

There are also several horses with similar tactical speed who may compete for the same position.

I respect his recent form, but this is a much more difficult assignment.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest