Thursday, July 16, 2026

Coronation Cup 2026 Analysis at Saratoga (7-18-26)

The Grade 3 Coronation Cup is the eighth race at Saratoga on Saturday, July 18. The race offers a $225,000 purse and is contested at 5½ furlongs on the turf for three-year-old fillies.

With only six runners entered (excluding the two main-track-only horses), pace will likely play a significant role in determining the outcome. Here’s my look at each contender and how I see the race unfolding.

Pace Analysis

With a compact field, early position should be especially important.

Cy Fair and Sapphire Beach appear to be the two most likely pace factors. John Velazquez is an aggressive rider and may send Cy Fair from the inside to secure the lead. However, Sapphire Beach has enough natural speed to either pressure the pace or sit comfortably just outside the leader.

That tactical advantage could prove decisive if the pace remains moderate, making life difficult for the late runners.

Quiet Street (#1)

Quiet Street began her career with back-to-back turf sprint victories, including an impressive maiden win at Saratoga where she rallied from last to first. She followed that debut effort with a stakes victory before facing tougher competition at mostly longer distances in subsequent starts.

The biggest concern is race shape. In a small field without an abundance of early speed, Quiet Street figures to settle near the back early and will need a favorable pace to set up her late kick. She also needs to improve on the speed figures she’s earned this season to return to her best form.

She has enough talent to make an impact late, but the projected pace scenario makes her a difficult horse to back on top.

Cy Fair (#2)

Cy Fair has been one of the most consistent turf sprinters in this division. Through six turf sprint starts, she owns four wins, one second, and one third while consistently earning competitive speed figures.

After winning her Saratoga debut last summer, she finished a close second in a stakes race over the same course before capping her juvenile campaign with a victory in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint. She returned this season with a close third in the Limestone Stakes before capturing a Grade 3 at Churchill Downs.

John Velazquez reunites with the filly after riding her in her first two career starts. Her early-pressing speed gives Johnny V plenty of options, and from post two she could either set the pace or sit just off the leader.

She deserves plenty of respect.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest

De La Rose Stakes 2026 Analysis (7-17-26)

The De La Rose Stakes headlines the Friday, July 17 card at Saratoga as Race 9, featuring a $150,000 purse for fillies and mares that have not won a graded stakes race in 2025 or 2026. The field will travel one mile on the inner turf course with a scheduled post time of 5:45 p.m. ET.

Race Overview

Salty Senorita draws the rail and projects as the likely early leader after showing the way in two of her last three starts. Horses such as And One More Time, Long Ago, and Being Betty also possess early-pressing speed and should ensure an honest tempo.

That setup could favor runners capable of sitting just behind the leaders before producing a strong late kick.

Horse-by-Horse Analysis

#1 Salty Senorita

Salty Senorita has shown early speed and nearly won the Lady Canterbury Stakes in her most recent start, finishing second by a neck. She projects as the main speed from the rail, but she’ll need to prove she belongs against a deeper and more accomplished field.

#2 Hang the Moon

A two-time Grade 2 winner in 2024, Hang the Moon enters this race after competing against tougher company in the Grade 1 Gamely. Since joining trainer Saffie Joseph, Jr., she has won an optional claiming race, narrowly missed in the Sand Springs Stakes, and most recently missed third by a nose in the Grade 1 Gamely at Santa Anita.

The class relief is significant. She owns a sharp late kick, regularly finishing her races strongly, and should enjoy a ground-saving trip from post 2 under her new rider Irad Ortiz, Jr.

#3 And One More Time

The Grade 1 Natalma Stakes winner from 2024 continues to run competitive races against quality company. She captured the Plenty of Grace Stakes earlier this season before finishing a respectable fifth in the Grade 1 Just a Game after a wide trip.

She is 3-for-4 at one mile and has the tactical speed to secure favorable early position.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest

Monday, July 13, 2026

Haskell Stakes 2026 Video Update

Video preview of the Grade 1, $1 million Haskell Stakes at Monmouth Park. 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Bowling Green Stakes 2026 Analysis (7-11-26)

The Grade 2 Bowling Green Stakes headlines an 11-race program at Saratoga on Saturday, July 11. The $250,000 event is scheduled for 1 3/8 miles on the inner turf course for older horses, and it shapes up as an intriguing tactical race with very little early speed.

A projected slow pace could make early positioning the key to victory. Here’s a look at the contenders.

Race Overview

  • Race 10: Bowling Green Stakes
  • Grade: 2
  • Purse: $250,000
  • Distance: 1 3/8 miles
  • Surface: Inner Turf
  • Post Time: 5:39 p.m. ET

With favorable weather expected, the three main-track-only entrants are unlikely to draw into the race.

Pace Scenario

The Bowling Green lacks a confirmed front-runner, making race shape especially important.

Ole Crazy Bone projects to secure a forward position from the rail and could find himself controlling the pace. If allowed to dictate moderate fractions, he may prove difficult to reel in during the stretch.

Horses relying on a late rally, such as Desvio, may not receive the pace setup they need.

Horse-by-Horse Analysis

#1 Ole Crazy Bone (5-2)

Ole Crazy Bone has been transformed since joining the Mike Maker barn. Claimed for $100,000 in June 2025, he quickly developed into a graded stakes winner by capturing the Grade 2 Turf Cup at Kentucky Downs under Saturday’s rider Flavien Prat.

His most recent start came in an optional claimer at a mile and one-sixteenth, where he finished a solid second in what appeared to be a prep for this race. Stretching back out to 1 3/8 miles should suit him perfectly.

His speed figures stack up well with this field, and his tactical running style is a major advantage in a race lacking true front-end speed. Drawing the rail should also allow Flavien Prat to secure ideal early position.

#2 Soleil Volant (12-1)

Soleil Volant offers value at double-digit odds.

He won at today’s distance earlier this season at Churchill Downs before finishing second in the Cape Henlopen Stakes after racing wide throughout. Breaking from post two should allow him to save considerably more ground this time.

His recent figures are competitive enough to make him a live contender for the exotics.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest 

Caress Stakes 2026 Analysis (7-11-26)

The Grade 2 Caress Stakes will be run at Saratoga on Saturday, July 11. It goes as Race 5 and features a competitive field of six fillies and mares sprinting 5½ furlongs on the turf for a $250,000 purse.

Below is a horse-by-horse breakdown and a look at the projected pace scenario.

Pace Outlook

The pace scenario appears straightforward.

Sunna figures to establish the early lead, while In Our Time should sit just off her flank in an ideal pressing position. Italian Soiree and Movin’ On Up are expected to track behind the leaders, while Zeitlos and Obstreperous will likely rely on late rallies.

Horse-by-Horse Analysis

#1 Zeitlos (4-1)

Zeitlos enters with solid Saratoga credentials, including a runner-up effort in last year’s Grade 3 Caress Stakes at this same distance.

Last time out, she finished sixth in the Grade 2 Chicago Stakes on dirt after rallying from off the pace. Returning to the turf might help, and from the rail she’ll likely save ground early and hope for a strong pace to set up her late kick.

#2 Movin’ On Up (9-2)

Trained by Saffie Joseph Jr. and ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, Movin’ On Up shortens back to a turf sprint after finishing fourth in the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile.

Her last sprint effort came in the Grade 2 Giant’s Causeway Stakes at Keeneland, where she rallied to finish third behind stablemate In Our Time. She is a contender if the pace develops.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest 

Friday, July 10, 2026

Indiana Derby 2026 Analysis (7-11-26)

The Grade 3 Indiana Derby headlines the Saturday card at Horseshoe Indianapolis, offering a $300,000 purse for three-year-olds competing at 1 1/16 miles.

Let’s go through the field using recent Today’s Racing Digest performances, pace scenario, and speed figures.

Pace Analysis

A few entrants appear intent on the lead, including Creole Chrome, Out of the Woods, and potentially Desert Gate if he remains in the field. All three have shown quality early speed and the projected pace could become contested through the opening stages.

That scenario may favor horses capable of sitting just behind the leaders before launching their bids in the stretch.

Contenders

Zihnal (#3)

Zihnal offers value at a projected double-digit price.

The Jonathan Thomas trainee has shown steady improvement in his maiden dirt starts and could continue progressing while saving ground from an inner post. Although this represents a significant class test, his improving main track speed figures suggest he has room to move forward.

He appears especially attractive as a longshot underneath in exotic wagers.

Our Money Man (#4)

Our Money Man has quietly developed into one of the most consistent runners in this division.

His recent performances include multiple competitive speed figures, and he has already proven he belongs against quality company. Unlike several rivals who need improvement, Our Money Man has repeatedly delivered solid efforts while racing relatively close to the pace.

His consistency makes him one of the most reliable horses in the race and a logical top three threat.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest 

Iowa Derby 2026 Video Picks at Prairie Meadows (7-11-26)

Video analysis of the $250,000 Iowa Derby at Prairie Meadows (7-11-26). 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse