Thursday, May 7, 2026

Santa Anita Park Pick 6 Carryover Analysis (5-8-26)

The Pick 6 carryover at Santa Anita Park for Friday, May 8 sits at $42,057, and the sequence covers races three through eight. After digging through the card and reviewing the projections from Today’s Racing Digest, this looks like a sequence where a few logical runners could control the outcome. That means I’m approaching this ticket with discipline and keeping the budget manageable while still trying to capitalize on the carryover opportunity.

The past performance data and proprietary ratings referenced throughout this analysis are available in the Complete Digest from Today’s Racing Digest.

Race 3 — $10,000 Claiming N3L — 5 1/2 Furlongs

This seven-horse field opens the Pick 6, and the projections point clearly toward one runner. Looking at the Today’s Racing Digest projected figures, Headstrong Ways controls nearly every key category.

HorseFire NumberCPRFast FigFinal Time Rating
Headstrong Ways78102112113
Neezer Dalton77101110

Headstrong Ways looks like the controlling speed from the rail and should get a favorable trip. The January 2 victory against claiming company on dirt stands out, especially the 113 Final Time Rating earned that day. If this horse reproduces that race, the rest of this field may be running for second.

My Betting Takeaway

I’m comfortable singling Headstrong Ways to begin the sequence. The projected pace setup and superior ratings make this the most reliable single on the ticket.

Race 4 — $32,000 Claiming — 1 Mile Turf

The turf rails are set at 30 feet, which generally favors horses that are forwardly placed or sitting within striking range. Deep closers often struggle under these conditions, so trip dynamics become critical.

Three runners appear intent on showing speed:

  • Bear’s Board
  • Motet
  • Eighties

That projected pace battle could set things up for a stalker, which is why Anywaythewindblows makes plenty of sense. Still, I don’t want to leave Bear’s Board off the ticket.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest

Preakness Stakes 2026 Video Update (5-6-26)

In this horse racing video, I share the latest 2026 Preakness Stakes news (5-6-26). 

The 151st Preakness Stakes will be held at Laurel Park on Saturday, May 16, 2026. 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.    

Preakness Stakes 2026 Video Update (5-5-26)

In this horse racing video, I share the latest 2026 Preakness Stakes news (5-5-26). 

The 151st Preakness Stakes will be held at Laurel Park on Saturday, May 16, 2026. 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.    

Preakness Stakes 2026 Video Update (5-3-26)

In this horse racing video, I share the latest 2026 Preakness Stakes news (5-3-26). 

The 151st Preakness Stakes will be held at Laurel Park on Saturday, May 16, 2026. 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.    

Kentucky Derby 2026 Video Recap

In this horse racing video, I recap the 2026 Kentucky Derby.

Kentucky Derby 2026 Final Order of Finish: 1st - Golden Tempo, 2nd - Renegade, 3rd - Ocelli, 4th - Chief Wallabee, 5th - Danon Bourbon, 6th - Incredibolt, 7th -Commandment, 8th - Wonder Dean, 9th - So Happy, 10th - Emerging Market, 11th - Further Ado., 12th - Potente, 13th - Six Speed, 14th - Robusta, 15th - Albus, 16th - Intrepido, 17th - Litmus Test, 18th - Pavlovian

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.    

Friday, May 1, 2026

Preakness Stakes 2026 Future Wager Analysis

In this Triple Crown Series 2026 video, I analysis the Preakness Stakes Future Wager pool. 

I covered all of the Kentucky Derby 2026 points races on my channel. Road to Derby video record (37 13-4-7).

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.    

Kentucky Derby 2026 Analysis

The Grade 1 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs headlines Saturday’s card as Race 12, featuring a $5 million purse for three-year-olds going 1 1/4 miles on the main track. With a full field of contenders and a projected honest pace, this year’s Derby shapes up as a wide-open betting race.

For this analysis, I’m using the Complete Digest Kentucky Derby edition, focusing on proprietary performance ratings like Fire Number, CPR, Fast Figs, and Final Time Ratings to separate contenders from pretenders.

Field Breakdown & Key Contenders

Top Tier Contenders

  • #1 Renegade (4-1) – A proven Grade 1 winner with a strong closing kick. He’ll need racing luck from the rail but has the pedigree and pace setup to thrive late.
  • #6 Commandment – Ultra-consistent with four straight wins including the Florida Derby. Tactical speed gives him trip versatility.
  • #8 So Happy – Santa Anita Derby winner with top-tier CPR and Fast Fig ratings. Must prove California form translates.
  • #18 Further Ado – Blue Grass Stakes winner with elite projected Fire Number (106) and top Final Time Rating (156).

Strong Supporting Contenders