Showing posts with label East Avenue. Show all posts
Showing posts with label East Avenue. Show all posts

Friday, August 14, 2026

Philip H. Iselin Stakes 2026 Analysis (8-15-26)

The Grade 3 Philip H. Iselin Stakes at Monmouth Park on Saturday, August 15, brings together a competitive field of six older horses going 1 1/16 miles on the main track. The $150,000 event is scheduled as the fifth race, with a 2:57 p.m. Eastern post time.

The 1 1/16-mile distance at Monmouth has generally favored horses racing near the pace. Early-pressing types have accounted for the overwhelming majority of winners in the available sample, while late runners have had a difficult time getting the job done. The inside posts, particularly positions one through three, have also performed well at this distance.

That could make early positioning especially important in this year’s Iselin.

1. East Avenue

East Avenue is one of the top contenders in this race after an impressive victory in the Grade 3 Salvator Mile at Monmouth on June 13. Breaking from the outside post in that one-mile event, he raced wide throughout but still managed to get up by a nose over Bishops Bay.

The victory was particularly encouraging because East Avenue demonstrated a new dimension to his running style. He had previously been much more dependent on being near the front, but this year he has shown an ability to relax and pass horses. He also stalked the pace effectively in the Grade 3 Oaklawn Mile earlier this year, finishing just three-quarters of a length behind the winner.

His Today’s Racing Digest numbers also point to continued improvement. He earned a 153 final-time rating and a 104 Fire Number in his latest start, both strong figures for this field. His best number prior to that was a 141 in the Oaklawn Mile in March, suggesting that he could be moving forward as a four-year-old.

The switch from an outside post to the rail should help, particularly at a distance where the inside posts have performed well. Tyler Gaffalione, who rode him to victory last time, stays aboard.

East Avenue has the combination of current form, speed, tactical versatility and a favorable post to make him one of the horses to beat.

2. Chunk of Gold

Chunk of Gold is an intriguing runner making his second start of the year.

The four-year-old has finished in the top three in 10 of 11 career starts, with three wins and six runner-up finishes. He returned from a lengthy layoff on June 28 at Churchill Downs, setting the pace before finishing second at 1 1/16 miles.

That race produced a slow early pace and a faster finish, which may have contributed to his modest 131 final-time rating. He should be fitter for his second start of the year, and his previous form suggests he is capable of a significantly faster effort.

He earned a 150 final-time rating in last year’s Grade 2 Clark and previously posted a 153 in a romping allowance victory at Keeneland. His past pace ratings have also been strong, including figures of 162, 155, 171 and 156.

The question is how much improvement he can make from his four-year-old debut. With his tactical speed and the inside-friendly post, he has a legitimate chance to take another step forward.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest

Sunday, August 3, 2025

West Virginia Derby 2025 Video Analysis featuring East Avenue

In this horse racing video, I analyze the Grade 3 West Virginia Derby at Mountaineer (8-3-25). 

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.   

Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Kentucky Derby 2025 Pace Analysis

 In this horse racing video, I take a look at the Kentucky Derby 2025 pace.   

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.

Saturday, April 12, 2025

Kentucky Derby 2025 Update (4-12-25)

The Grade 1 Blue Grass was the latest road to Kentucky Derby 2025 points race, and Burnham Square nipped stubborn front runner East Avenue. In this report, I will recap the Blue Grass, SA Derby, UAE Derby, and Wood Memorial, update the Derby points standings, and share my latest exceptional 11 Derby contenders.

Kentucky Derby 2025 Points Race Recaps

Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby (4-5-25): This race lived up to top billing. Westwood, a 44-1 maiden for John Shirreffs, was aggressively handled from post 2 and was in front after a quarter. Citizen Bull wanted the lead but could not get it under Martin Garcia, and he eased out to chase Westwood. Journalism was patiently handled inside, Barnes was keen to go, and Baeza was racing in the clear from the outside post. Westwood and Citizen Bull continued to mix it up with five furlongs to go, and Baeza made a wide move and joined the chase. Citizen Bull was clear after six furlongs and Baeza worked his way up to second. Westwood was third, Barnes was next, and Journalism saved ground in last place. Baeza caught Citizen Bull in the stretch and was the new target, and Journalism worked his way off the rail and was on the move, and he lengthened stride, got to the front late, and scored by 3/4ths of a length. Baeza ran his heart out and was 8 1/2 lengths in front of Westwood. Citizen Bull was out of gas and finished a half-length behind the maiden, and it was another 10 lengths back to Barnes. Umberto Rispoli rode Journalism for Michael McCarthy, and he is 4-for-4 around two turns and heads to Louisville as the clear Kentucky Derby favorite. Fractions: 22.25, 47.14, 1:11.42, 1:37.07, 1:49.56.

Read more at The Runaway Horse

Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Blue Grass Stakes 2025 Video Analysis at Keeneland

In this horse racing video, I analyze the Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland (4-8-25).  

I am covering all of the road to Kentucky Derby prep races, and through the first 35 points races, my top choices have 9 wins, 7 runner-up finishes, and 3 show finishes. Two of my top choices scratched, so I am officially 9-for-33.

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.  

Friday, April 4, 2025

Kentucky Derby 2025 Update (4-4-25)

The Grade 1 Arkansas Derby and Grade 1 Florida Derby were the two road to Kentucky Derby 2025 points race last weekend. Sandman rallied to win the former and Tappan Street beat race favorite Sovereignty in the latter. In this report, I will recap those races, update the Derby points standings, and share my latest exceptional 11 Derby contenders.

The Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby, Grade 2 Wood Memorial, and Grade 1 Blue Grass are the next three Kentucky Derby points races.

SA Derby field (April 5): 1 – Journalism (6-5), 2 – Citizen Bull (9-5), 3 – Westwood (20-1), 4 – Barnes (3-1), 5 – Baeza (6-1). 

Wood Memorial field (April 5): 1 – Rodriguez (5-2), 2 – Captain Cook (5-2), 3 – Tiger Twenty Four (30-1), 4 – My Mitole (20-1), 5 – Sand Devil (8-1), 6 – Hill Road (9-2), 7 – Grande (5-1), 8 – Passion Rules (12-1), 9 – Bear Claw Necklace (50-1), 10 – McAfee (20-1), 11 – Statesman (15-1), 12 – Omaha Omaha (30-1). 

Blue Grass field (April 8): 1 – River Thames (5-2), 2 – Render Judgment (20-1), 3 – Burnham Square (9-2), 4 – Owen Almighty (3-1), 5 – East Avenue (3-1), 6 – Chancer McPatrick (7-2), 7 – Admiral Dennis (20-1). 

Read more at Today's Racing Digest

Friday, March 7, 2025

Kentucky Derby 2025 Update (3-5-25)

We saw two big performances on the road to Kentucky Derby 2025 last weekend. My top ranked Derby contender Sovereignty returned from a layoff and went last-to-first in the Fountain of Youth Stakes, and Journalism smartly ran down race favorite Barnes in a fast renewal of the San Felipe. In this report, I will recap the Gotham, Fountain of Youth, and San Felipe, update the Derby points standings, and share my latest exceptional 11 Derby contenders.

The next Kentucky Derby points race is the Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday, March 8. 

Tampa Bay Derby field: 1 – Owen Almighty, 2 – Chancer McPatrick, 3 – Hill Road, 4 – Brodeur, 5 – Filoso, 6 – Naughty Rascal, 7 – Patch Adams.

In other Derby news, BC Juvenile runner-up Gaming is targeting the Virginia Derby at Colonial Downs on Saturday, March 15. He disappointed in his last two stakes starts and will try to get back on track for trainer Bob Baffert in Virginia.

East Avenue is still on the Derby trail after burning a ton of money in the BC Juvenile and Risen Star Stakes. Brendan Walsh mentioned the LA Derby or Blue Grass as possible targets.

Read more at The Runaway Horse

Saturday, February 15, 2025