Louisiana Derby video analysis at the Fair Grounds (3-21-26). This is a Kentucky Derby 2026 points race. Road to Kentucky Derby 2026 video record (28 10-4-5).
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Louisiana Derby video analysis at the Fair Grounds (3-21-26). This is a Kentucky Derby 2026 points race. Road to Kentucky Derby 2026 video record (28 10-4-5).
Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.
The Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks is one of the most important final stepping-stone races on the road to the Kentucky Oaks. Run at 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds Race Course on Louisiana Derby Day, the race brings together a competitive group of three-year-old fillies chasing valuable Kentucky Oaks qualifying points.
Using the past performances from Today’s Racing Digest, I’ll break down the field, evaluate the pace scenario, and rank the contenders.
The Fair Grounds Oaks drew a compact but competitive group of seven fillies. Several arrive from key prep races while others attempt to prove they belong at the graded stakes level.
This filly improved dramatically when winning by 13 lengths at Delta Downs last time with a 129 final time rating. However, all of her victories have come at Delta Downs, and stepping up in class while stretching out against graded stakes company is a major challenge.
She could impact the early pace from the rail, but it’s difficult to project her carrying that speed against this caliber of competition.
This filly has steadily improved for trainer Lindsay Schultz, with final time ratings climbing from 101 to 120 and then 138 in the Martha Washington Stakes at Oaklawn.
While the upward trajectory is encouraging, the strength of that Oaklawn prep is questionable. Several runners from the race have yet to return with strong follow-up performances.
Read more at Today's Racing Digest
Grade 3 Robert Lewis Stakes video analysis at Santa Anita Park (2-7-26). This is a Kentucky Derby 2026 points race. Road to Kentucky Derby 2026 video record (19 7-3-2).
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Rachel Alexandra Stakes video analysis at Fair Grounds (2-14-26). This is a Kentucky Oaks 2026 points race. Road to Kentucky Oaks 2026 video record (17 9-3-4).
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I cover all of the Kentucky Oaks points race on my Runaway Horse YouTube channel, and through the first 13 points races, my top choices have 5 wins, 3 runner-up finishes, and 4 show finishes. There are no Oaks Points races this week, and we are back on the Oaks trail on Jan. 31 with the Forward Gal and Martha Washington.
Kentucky Oaks 2026 Points Race Recaps
Silverbulletday at Fair Grounds (1-17-26): Nobody seemed to want the early lead and Taken by the Wind was a length to the good after the opening quarter. She was walking on the front end and Luv Your Neighbor chased from second and Atropa tracked the pace from the inside post. Due to the below par fractions, Taken by the Wind ($10.80) had enough left to hold off Luv Your Neighbor and prevailed by a neck, and it was another neck back to clear show finisher Atropa. Pashmina (4th), Dancin in Old Town (5th), and White Smoke (6th) also ran. Brian Hernandez, Jr. rode the winner for Ken McPeek. Fractions: 25.69, 50.24, 1:14.49, 1:39.22, 1:43.58.
Grade 3 Leccomte Stakes video analysis. This is a Kentucky Derby 2026 points race. Road to Derby video record (13 5-3-1).
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In this horse racing handicapping video, I analyze the Gun Runner Stakes at Fair Grounds (12-20-25). This is a Kentucky Derby 2026 points race and after 9 Derby points races, my top choices have 4 wins, 2 runner-up finishes, and 1 show finish.
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The Untapable Stakes is the 10th race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, Dec. 20 with a scheduled post time of 6:15 PM ET.
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In this horse racing video, I analyze the LA Derby at Fair Grounds Race Course (3-22-25).
I am covering all of the road to Kentucky Derby prep races, and through the first 28 points races, my top choices have 6 wins, 5 runner-up finishes, and 3 show finishes. Two of my top choices scratched, so I am officially 6-for-26.
Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.
In this horse racing video, I analyze the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks (3-22-25).
I am covering all of the road to Kentucky Oaks prep races, and through the first 25 points races, my top choices have 10 wins, 4 runner-up finishes, and 3 show finishes. Two of my top choices scratched, so I am officially 10-for-23.
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In this horse racing video, I analyze the Rachel Alexandra Stakes at Fair Grounds (2-15-25).
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In this horse racing video, I analyze the Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds (2-15-25).
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This horse racing video features analysis of the Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds.
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This horse racing video features analysis of the Silverbulletday Stakes at Fair Grounds.
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This horse racing video features analysis of the 2024 Untapable Stakes.
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This horse racing video features analysis of the 2024 Gun Runner Stakes.
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This horse racing video features analysis of the Grade 2 LA Derby on 3-23-24.
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This horse racing video features analysis of the Grade 2 FG Oaks on 3-23-24.
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This horse racing video features analysis of the Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds on 2-17-24.
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By Jarrod Horak
The road to Kentucky Derby 2024 continues at Fair Grounds on Saturday, February 17, and I have included Risen Star Stakes 2024 picks below. The Grade 2 event for 3-year-olds has a $400,000 purse and the twelve entrants will be journeying 1 1/18 miles on the main track. The Risen Star is the 14th race on Feb. 17 and the top five finishers will earn Kentucky Derby points (50-25-15-10-5).
Risen Star Stakes 2024 Picks & Final Time Ratings
Sierra Leone stalked slow fractions and finished nicely to win his flat mile bow at Aqueduct. He caught a wet, speed favoring surface in the Grade 2 Remsen, and he rallied from last to take a short lead, but front runner Dornoch came back and prevailed by a nose. Chad Brown’s $2.3 million Gun Runner colt adds blinkers and shows eight works at Payson Park for this. Tyler Gaffalione is his new rider and he will try to get involved from off the pace.