Showing posts with label Bob Baffert. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bob Baffert. Show all posts

Friday, May 1, 2026

Preakness Stakes 2026 Future Wager Analysis

In this Triple Crown Series 2026 video, I analysis the Preakness Stakes Future Wager pool. 

I covered all of the Kentucky Derby 2026 points races on my channel. Road to Derby video record (37 13-4-7).

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.    

Monday, April 27, 2026

Kentucky Derby 2026 Video Update (4-26-26)

In this Kentucky Derby 2026 video, I update the points leaderboard and share the latest Kentucky Derby news, workouts, and contenders (4-26-26). 

I covered all of the Kentucky Derby 2026 points races on my channel. Road to Derby video record (37 13-4-7).

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.    

Monday, March 16, 2026

Kentucky Oaks 2026 Video Update (3-15-26)

In this Kentucky Oaks 2026 video, I share my updated Fabulous 5 Oaks contenders (3-15-26).

I cover all of the Kentucky Oaks prep races, and through the first 25 points races, my top choices have 12 wins, 4 runner-up finishes, and 5 show finishes. The next Kentucky Oaks points race is the Fair Grounds Oaks on Saturday, March 21 and the winner will receive 100 Oaks points. The Bourbonette Oaks on all-weather ground at Turfway Park will also be run on March 21 and the winner gets 50 points.

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.   

Road to Kentucky Oaks Report (3-15-26)

The $250,000 Virginia Oaks was the latest Kentucky Oaks 2026 prep race and Bottle of Rouge made it two straight points race victories. In this report, I will recap the Virginia Oaks, update the points standings, and share my top five Oaks fillies.

I cover all of the Kentucky Oaks points race on my Runaway Horse YouTube channel, and through the first 25 points races, my top choices have 12 wins, 4 runner-up finishes, and 5 show finishes. The next Kentucky Oaks points race is the Fair Grounds Oaks on Saturday, March 21 and the winner will receive 100 Oaks points. The Bourbonette Oaks on all-weather ground at Turfway Park will also be run on March 21 and the winner gets 50 points.

Fair Grounds Oaks field (race 11 at Fair Grounds on March 21): 1 – Miss Metoyer, 2 – Newtown Pike, 3 – Maximum Offer, 4 – Luv Your Neighbor, 5 – Bella Ballerina, 6 – Life of Joy, 7 – Love and Trust.

Bourbonette Oaks field (race 11 at Turfway Park on March 21): 1 – Resplendence, 2 – Resist, 3 – Beara Peninsula, 4 – Blazing Brat, 5 – Scratch It, 6 – Callmeyourmajesty, 7 – Maximum Offer, 8 – Bless Her, 9 – Lovely Grey, 10 – La Ville Lumiere, 11 – Lorelei Lee, 12 – Wonzee Weather.

Kentucky Oaks 2026 Points Race Recaps

Virginia Oaks at Colonial Downs (3-14-26): This event at a mile and a sixteenth around one turn was reduced to five runners following the defection of Somemunny to Love. Inside speed Dazzling Dame broke fourth and moved up along the rail to set the tempo. She never got away from Bottle of Rouge ($3.60) and the latter had this race won around the final turn, and she gradually pulled clear to score by 4 1/4 lengths (87 BSF). Dazzling Dame was clearly second best and Baffle rallied from far back to finish a clear third. Hit Parade and Kadabra also ran. Flavien Prat rode the winner for Bob Baffert. Fractions: 22.61, 45.64, 1:09.74, 1:34.64, 1:41.41. 

Read more at The Runaway Horse

Friday, March 13, 2026

Virgina Oaks 2026 Video Analysis (3-14-26)

Virginia Oaks video analysis at Colonial Downs (3-14-26). This is a Kentucky Oaks 2026 points race. Road to Kentucky Oaks 2026 video record (24 12-3-5).

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.  

Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Santa Anita Park Handicapping Report (March 6-8)

Santa Anita Recap for Friday (3-6-26)

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two front running sprint winners on dirt (7f, 6f). On the turf course, a 2-1 stalker won the opener at 6.5f, a stalking favorite scored at 6.5f, a 3-1 midpack stalker graduated at one mile, a 2-1 stalker won at 9f, and a 12-1 stalker upset the flat mile finale (rail at 30 feet).

Antonio Fresu guided home two turf winners.

The $2 Pick 6 carryover pool was $314,292 and tickets with six winners paid $35,585.00. The 5 out of 6 consolation prize was $351.00.

March 6 ClaimsRace 1 – Tapelo ($30k, Steve Knapp). Race 7 – Twirling Point ($50k, Blaine D. Wright). Race 8 – Pass the Baton ($16k, Librado Barocio).

Santa Anita Full Card Highlights for Friday (3-6-26)
SA 1 THE OLD NINE ($6.20)
SA 2 Jensco/Crazy Cami Exacta ($33.80)
Double (races 1-2, $37.60)
Pick 3 (races 1-3, $196.60)
SA 4 TOMMY NORRIS ($5.80)
Double (races 3-4, $20.80)
Pick 3 (races 2-4, $165.00)
Double (races 4-5, $24.60)
Pick 3 (races 3-5, $100.00)
SA 6 GALLOPING GHOST ($3.80)
Double (races 5-6, $15.40)
Pick 3 (races 4-6, $68.40)
SA 7 Twirling Point/City Exile ($15.80)

*Full card highlights based on $2 wagers unless otherwise noted.

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Santa Anita Recap for Saturday (3-7-26)

Fast main track and firm turf course. One front running winner at one mile on dirt. On the turf course, a 3-1 stalker graduated in the 6f opener, a 6-1 stalker tallied at 6f, a 7-1 front runner came again to win at one mile, an even money stalker graduated at 6f, 31-1 stalker Final Boss upset the Frank E. Kilroe Mile (G2) at one mile, and a 22-1 front runner captured the flat mile finale. 

Juan Hernandez booted home four winners (3 graded stakes winners). Bob Baffert saddled three winners on the main track including two graded route winners and Hernandez guided home both of Baffert’s stakes winners. Mark Glatt saddled two winners. Michael McCarthy saddled two winners on turf.

Santa Anita Stakes Recaps for 3-7-26

Grade 1 Beholder Mile (8f): Splendora ($2.20) was 10 cents on the dollar and she dominated this heat. She made the lead and widened throughout to win by 5 3/4 lengths. Bless the Broken chased from second and was 7 lengths clear of late running show finisher Om N Joy. Simply Joking and Nafisa also ran. Dazzling Move scratched. Juan Hernandez rode the winner for Bob Baffert. Fractions: 23.49, 46.77, 1:10.31, 1:22.99, 1:35.16.

Read more at The Runaway Horse

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Road to Kentucky Oaks 2026 Report (3-9-26)

The Grade 3 Santa Ysabel was the lone Kentucky Oaks 2026 prep race last week and Forced Entry tracked the pace and smartly scored by 1 3/4 lengths. In this report, I will recap the Santa Ysabel, update the points standings, and share my top five Oaks fillies.

I cover all of the Kentucky Oaks points race on my Runaway Horse YouTube channel, and through the first 24 points races, my top choices have 12 wins, 3 runner-up finishes, and 5 show finishes. The next Kentucky Oaks points race is the Virginia Oaks at Colonial Downs on Saturday, March 14.

Virginia Oaks field (race 8 at Colonial Downs on March 14): 1 – Dazzling Dame, 2 – Hit Parade, 3 – Bottle of Rouge, 4 – Kadabra, 5 – Somemunny to Love, 6 – Baffle.

The Kentucky Oaks Future Wager will be held later this week on March 13, 14, 15.

Read more at The Runaway Horse

Sunday, March 1, 2026

Oaklawn Park: Rebel Stakes + Honeybee Stakes 2026 Analysis

On Sunday, March 1, I’m breaking down two major Kentucky prep races at Oaklawn Park: the Grade 3 Honeybee Stakes (Race 9), a Kentucky Oaks 2026 points race, and the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes (Race 11), a Kentucky Derby 2026 points race.

For this analysis, I’m using the Complete Digest, which provides the Fire Number, CPR, Fast Fig, and Final Time Ratings that shape my pace and class projections.

Race 9: Honeybee Stakes (G3)

Three-Year-Old Fillies – 1 1/16 Miles – Main Track

We have a competitive 10-horse field. From a pace standpoint, this race sets up for a presser. At 1 1/16 miles at Oaklawn, pressers win 41.7% of the time, compared to 16.7% for front-runners. That profile is key.

Contenders Overview

Explorer (Top Pick)

Explorer has tactical speed and fits the ideal pressing profile. Two of her last three races featured big pace ratings (159 and 156), including a strong runner-up finish after doing the pace dirty work.

She was dominant in a seven-furlong stakes at Santa Anita earlier this year and followed that with a gritty second routing. With Flavien Prat aboard and a strong recent workout (59 flat, best of 45), she looks ready.

From post 9, she should sit just off the pace and get first run turning for home.

My Betting Takeaway: Explorer’s tactical speed plus Oaklawn’s pressing bias makes her my top choice.

Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Santa Anita Park Handicapping Report (Feb. 20-22)

Santa Anita Recap for Friday (2-20-26)

Fast main track and no turf races carded. Three front running winners on dirt (6f, 6,5f, 6f).

Dirt sprint riding doubles for Abel Lezcano and Tiago Pereira 

The $2 Pick 6 carryover pool was $206,561 and tickets with six winners paid $417.60. The 5 out of 6 consolation prize was $12.80. 

Feb. 20 ClaimsRace 2 – A. P. Again ($25k, Robert Hess, Jr.), Flashy Fritz ($25k, Dan Blacker), Wave With Envy ($25k, Andy Mathis). Race 4 – Austonian ($8k, Isidro Tamayo), Tougherthantherest ($8k, Blaine D. Wright). Race 5 – Ahrens ($32k, John Sadler). Race 6 – The Old Nine ($25k, Jorge Periban). Race 9 – One Smokin Dude ($20k, Ryan Hanson).

Santa Anita Full Card Highlights for Friday (2-20-26)
SA 3 BLACKSMITH ($3.20)
SA 4 AUSTONIAN ($4.00), Exacta ($10.60), Trifecta ($30.40)
Double (races 3-4, $9.80)
SA 5 AHRENS ($5.00), Exacta ($36.80), Trifecta ($71.80)
Double (races 4-5, $15.80)
Pick 3 (races 3-5, $19.00)
Double (races 5-6, $24.80)
Pick 3 (races 4-6, $37.00)
SA 7 SHARONS BEACH ($2.60), Exacta ($11.40)
Double (races 6-7, $10.80)
Pick 3 (races 5-7, $24.40)
SA 8 LINO’S ANGEL (SA Price Play, $9.40)
Double (races 7-8, $17.40)
Pick 3 (races 6-8, $53.80)
SA 9 COACH CRONIN (SA Best Bet, $3.60), Exacta ($8.60)
$5 Late Double (races 8-9, $46.50)
$3 Late Pick 3 (races 7-9, $39.00)
Late Pick 4 (races 6-9, $123.20)
Late Pick 5 (races 5-9, $369.60)
Pick 6 (races 4-9, 5 out of 6) – $12.80

*Full card highlights based on $2 wagers unless otherwise noted.

Read more at The Runaway Horse

Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Santa Anita Park Handicapping Report (Feb 6-8)

Santa Anita Recap for Friday (2-6-26)

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two front running winners on dirt (6.5f, 8f). On the turf course, a 7-2 front runner graduated in the 6f opener, a last-to-first closer scored in a 5-horse field as the second betting choice at one mile, a 5-1 closer tallied from the inside post on the downhill course, a 9-1 closer won at 6.5f, and a stalking favorite captured the flat mile finale (rail at 30 feet).

Riding doubles for Armando Ayuso (sprints), Tyler Baze, Mirco Demuro (turf), and Emisael Jaramillo (dirt). Trainer Jeff Mullins saddled two main track sprint winners.

The $2 Pick 6 carryover pool was $337.410 and tickets with six winners paid $3,871.60. The 5 out of 6 consolation prize was $61.00.

Feb. 6 ClaimsRace 4 – Resemblance ($16k, Andy Mathis). Race 9 – Precision ($25k, Hector Palma), Prince Dolce ($25k, Steve Knapp).

Santa Anita Full Card Highlights for Friday (2-6-26)
SA 2 Uncle Chilly/Thirty Two Chunk Exacta ($6.80), Trifecta ($9.80)
SA 3 RAMAYANA ($4.60), Trifecta ($12.20)
Double (races 2-3, $11.60)
Pick 3 (races 1-3, $35.60)
SA 4 Resemblance/Leyas Candy Exacta ($23.40)
Double (races 3-4, $21.20)
Pick 3 (races 2-4, $48.20)
Pick 3 (races 3-5, $148.60)
SA 8 Runamileinmyshoes/Our Moonlight Exacta ($9.20), Trifecta ($19.60)
SA 9 PRINCE DOLCE ($4.60), Exacta ($30.20)
$5 Late Double (races 8-9, $33.00)
Bonus Races:
AQU 4 BE YOU ($7.16), Exacta ($13.62), Trifecta ($29.00)

*Full card highlights based on $2 wagers unless otherwise noted.

Read more at The Runaway Horse

Saturday, February 7, 2026

Robert Lewis Stakes 2026 Video Picks (2-7-26)

Grade 3 Robert Lewis Stakes video analysis at Santa Anita Park (2-7-26). This is a Kentucky Derby 2026 points race. Road to Kentucky Derby 2026 video record (17 6-3-2).

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.   

Friday, February 6, 2026

Southwest Stakes 2026 Video Picks (2-6-26)

Grade 3, $1 million Southwest Stakes video analysis at Oaklawn (2-6-26). This is a Kentucky Derby 2026 points race. Road to Kentucky Derby 2026 video record (15 6-3-1).

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.  

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Santa Anita Park Handicapping Report (Jan. 23-25)

Santa Anita Recap for Friday (1-23-26)

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two front running winners on dirt (6.5f, 6f). On the turf course, a 9-1 closer graduated in the flat mile opener, a front running favorite earned her diploma at one mile, an 8-1 stalker won at 6.5f on the downhill course, and a front running favorite captured the flat mile finale (rail at 30 feet).

Hat trick for Kazushi Kimura (3 route wins – 2 turf wins). Emisael Jaramillo booted home a pair (dirt sprints). Michael McCarthy saddled two turf route winners and Kimura rode both.    

The $2 Pick 6 pool was $45,158 and tickets with six winners paid $5,026.00. The 5 out of 6 consolation prize was $123.60.

Jan. 23 ClaimsRace 2 – Smiling Tizzy ($16k, Jose Valdez). Race 4 – Liam Smith ($50k, Jeff Mullins).

Santa Anita Full Card Highlights for Friday (1-23-26)
SA 1 Tiyara/Improbable U Exacta ($31.40)
SA 3 MISS DONNA ($4.60), Exacta ($13.60)
SA 4 LIAM SMITH ($4.60)
Double (races 3-4, $11.80)
SA 6 TAMMY BABY ($8.80), Exacta ($25.20), Trifecta ($83.20)
Double (races 6-7, $35.00)

*Full card highlights based on $2 wagers unless otherwise noted.

Read more at The Runaway Horse

Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Road to Kentucky Oaks Report (1-12-26)

The Grade 3 Santa Ynez Stakes at Santa Anita Park was the latest Kentucky Oaks prep race and Explora cruised to a big win from off the pace as the favorite. A dozen Oaks points races have been run so far, and in this report, I will recap the Santa Ynez Stakes, update the points standings, and share my top five Oaks fillies.

I cover all of the Kentucky Oaks points race on my video channel and through the first 12 points races, my top choices have 5 wins, 3 runner-up finishes, and 3 show finishes. The next Oaks points race is the Silverbulletday Stakes at Fair Grounds on Jan. 17.

Kentucky Oaks 2026 Points Race Recaps

Grade 3 Santa Ynez at Santa Anita (1-10-26): Bottle of Rouge scratched and that development left a 4-horse field. La Wally and Himika battled early and Revera and strong favorite Explora followed those two. Explora ($2.10) took some time to find her best stride and when she did she kicked away from this crew and won by 5 1/4 lengths at a distance shorter than her best. La Wally was second best and Revera and Himika completed the compact field. Juan Hernandez rode the winner for Bob Baffert. Fractions: 22.30, 44.21, 1:09.27, 1:22.05.  

Read more at The Runaway Horse