Saturday, August 15, 2026

King's Plate 2026 Analysis at Woodbine (8-15-26)

The $1 million King’s Plate, the opening leg of the Canadian Triple Crown Series, is set for Saturday, August 15 at Woodbine. The 1 1/4-mile race on all-weather ground for Canadian-foaled 3-year-olds is scheduled as the 10th race with a post time of 6:12 p.m. Eastern.

The field features 12 runners, including a pair of fillies in Luster and Dixie Law.

Based on the Today’s Racing Digest past performances, Luster looks like the horse to beat, but there a few contenders who could give the impressive Woodbine Oaks winner a run for the money.

King’s Plate Field & Analysis

1. Luster (Even Money Favorite)

Luster is the clear horse to beat for Josie Carroll. She is 4-for-5 lifetime, 2-for-3 at Woodbine, and comes off a dominant victory in the Woodbine Oaks at 1 1/8 miles. She tracked the pace, drew off by more than five lengths and was geared down late.

Her Digest numbers are excellent, with recent Fire Numbers of 94, 94, and 98 and Final Time Ratings of 144 and 146. The Knicks Go filly has already proven she can win around two turns and should have the tactical speed to secure a favorable trip from the rail under her winning pilot John Velazquez.

2. Fire and Wine (30-1)

Fire and Wine has won twice at Woodbine, but his recent form is a major concern. His last three Fire Numbers are only 80, 48 and 76, well below what appears necessary to win this race.

His best races have come when he was able to get to the lead. He hasn’t been able to establish that position in his recent starts, and even if he does make the lead here, he’ll have to improve significantly to stay there for 1 1/4 miles.

3. Baaeed Alynna (30-1)

Baaeed Alynna was sixth, beaten seven lengths, in the Plate Trial. That was his first attempt around two turns, so there is some possibility of improvement with experience.

He did earn an improved 88 Fire Number last time, but his recent Final Time Ratings of 114, 113, and 125 leave him with plenty to prove from a class and speed standpoint.

4. Imyourmedicineman (20-1)

Imyourmedicineman has just one win from seven starts, although he has also recorded two seconds and a third. His lone victory came at Woodbine at 1 1/16 miles in November 2025.

He rallied to finish second in the Plate Trial at 28-1, which was encouraging, and his recent Fire Numbers of 98 and 90 are competitive. However, he hasn’t won in five starts since his maiden optional-claiming victory.

Red more at Today's Racing Digest 

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