The Carle Place is for 3-year-olds dashing six furlongs on the inner turf course, and the Mother Goose is for 3-year-old fillies traveling 1 1/16 miles on the main track.
Let’s find the contenders, identify potential betting value, and see where the best opportunities may be.
Carle Place Stakes: Horse-by-Horse Analysis
1. Big Destroyer (6-1)
Big Destroyer enters this event following a third-place finish in the Bricks and Mortar Stakes at seven panels on turf. He previously finished second in an allowance event, so his recent form has been competitive.
Several horses from the Bricks and Mortar return to action, giving us another opportunity to evaluate the strength of that performance. Big Destroyer earned a 140 Final Time Rating in that event.
He figures to come from off the pace and should benefit from saving ground under Antonio Fresu. The jockey-trainer combination with Miguel Clement is winless in seven starts, with one second and two third-place finishes.
2. Capanaparo (12-1)
Capanaparo is trained by Rick Dutrow and exits a close third-place finish at Belmont on October 29. He previously finished fifth in an allowance race, so he’s stepping up into stakes company.
Paco Lopez is listed to ride. The jockey is two-for-three with a third-place finish when teaming up with Dutrow.
Capanaparo needs to demonstrate that he can compete against this stronger group.
3. Oscar’s Hope (9-2)
Oscar’s Hope has plenty of experience, but that also limits his upside compared with some of the developing horses in this field.
He hasn’t won any of his last six starts, although he has finished in the money four times. His most recent effort was a third-place finish in a five-and-one-half-furlong allowance turf sprint at Keeneland on October 8.
Before that, he finished fourth in a Grade 2 event at Kentucky Downs going six-and-one-half furlongs on turf.
His most recent Final Time Rating was 137. He had Lasix in that Keeneland race but will not have it for this assignment.
