Saturday, May 27, 2017

Gold Cup at Santa Anita video featuring Midnight Storm, American Freedom, Cupid, and Follow Me Crev

My May 27 handicapping video for Today's Racing Digest is the Grade I Gold Cup at Santa Anita. Contenders include Midnight Storm, the Bob Baffert duo of American Freedom and Cupid, and late runner Follow Me Crev.


Friday, May 19, 2017

Preakness week 2017 photos: CONQUEST MO MONEY

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site pictures at Pimlico this week include this one of Conquest Mo Money (Stacy Edwards Photography).


Preakness week 2017 photos: Gunnevera

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site pictures at Pimlico this week include this one of Gunnevera (Stacy Edwards Photography).




Preakness week 2017 photos: CLASSIC EMPIRE

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site pictures at Pimlico this week include this one of Classic Empire (Stacy Edwards Photography).



Preakness week 2017 photos: Always Dreaming at Pimlico

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site pictures at Pimlico this week include this one of Always Dreaming (Stacy Edwards Photography).



Preakness week 2017 Photos: Always Dreaming

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site pictures at Pimlico this week include this one of Always Dreaming (Stacy Edwards Photography).





Preakness week 2017 photos: ALWAYS DREAMING

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site pictures at Pimlico this week include this one of Always Dreaming (Stacy Edwards Photography).


Preakness 2017 Video Preview for Today's Racing Digest

Jarrod Horak previews Preakness 2017 for Today's Racing Digest. 


FREE PREAKNESS DOWNLOAD FROM TRD

For fans of Today's Racing Digest, check out the FREE Preakness 2017 download link below:

Preakness 2017: Classic Empire vs. Always Dreaming

Jarrod Horak previews Preakness 2017 for Today's Racing Digest. This video focuses on Classic Empire


FREE PREAKNESS DOWNLOAD FROM TRD

For fans of Today's Racing Digest, check out the FREE Preakness 2017 download link below:

Today's Racing Digest Preakness 2017 preview featuring Always Dreaming

Jarrod Horak previews Preakness 2017 for Today's Racing Digest. This video focuses on Always Dreaming

FREE PREAKNESS DOWNLOAD FROM TRD

For fans of Today's Racing Digest, check out the FREE Preakness 2017 download link below:



The Runaway Horse Preakness 2017 Video Preview

Jarrod Horak previews Preakness 2017 for The Runaway Horse.


Preakness week 2017 videos: Final clip of Always Dreaming

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site videos at Pimlico this week includes another short clip of Always Dreaming getting a bath at Pimlico.

Preakness week 2017 videos: Always Dreaming at Pimlico

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site videos at Pimlico this week includes another short clip of Always Dreaming getting a bath at Pimlico.

Preakness week 2017 videos: Conquest Mo Money on the Pimlico track

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site videos at Pimlico this week include this short clip of Conquest Mo Money at Pimlico.

Preakness week 2017 videos: Always Dreaming gets a bath at Pimlico

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site videos at Pimlico this week include this short clip of Always Dreaming getting a bath at Pimlico.

Preakness week 2017 videos: The Clydesdales are in the house!

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site videos at Pimlico this week include this short clip of the arrival of the Budweiser Clydesdales.

Preakness week 2017 videos: Always Dreaming enjoys a morning bath

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site videos at Pimlico this week include this short clip of Always Dreaming getting a bath at the Stakes Barn.


Preakness week 2017 videos: Gunnevera at Pimlico Race Course

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site videos at Pimlico this week include this short clip of Gunnevera visiting the Pimlico oval.

Preakness 2017 week videos: Conquest Mo Money visits Pimlico Race Course

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site videos at Pimlico this week include this short clip of Conquest Mo Money visiting the Pimlico oval.


Preakness Week 2017 Videos: Always Dreaming and Todd Pletcher

The Runaway Horse is your media source for Preakness 2017. Our live, on-site videos at Pimlico this week begin with this short clip of Always Dreaming and Todd Pletcher

Sunday, May 14, 2017

Kentucky Derby 2017 Recap + Preakness Preview: Can Always Dreaming Do It Again?

Always Dreaming made his presence felt throughout en route to a sharp victory in Kentucky Derby 2017 last Saturday at Churchill Downs.



The wet fast (sealed) surface did not slow down Always Dreaming and he is now 4-for-4 in two turn events with a combined win margin of 23+ lengths. He gave trainer Todd Pletcher his second Derby win and heads to Preakness 2017 as the strong favorite.

Speaking of favorites, Always Dreaming became the fifth straight chalk to win the Derby, joining Nyquist, American Pharoah, California Chrome, and Orb. The last four Derby winners also share a similar early/pressing running style.

Always Dreaming traveled to Pimlico early to get acquainted with the surroundings and continues to show high energy in his morning activity.

Lookin At Lee overcame the dreaded inside post to rally for the place at 33-1 and was five lengths clear of California stalker Battle of Midway. Two-year-old champ Classic Empire finished a troubled 4th and wins the hard-luck award after getting bumped hard at the start and rallying wide (bumped, carried out stretch).

There are ten probable starters for the Preakness with five Derby participants (Always Dreaming, Lookin At Lee, Classic Empire, Gunnevera, Hence) and five new shooters (Cloud Computing, Conquest Mo Money, Multiplier, Senior Investment, Term of Art).

Royal Mo was supposed to be a Preakness starter but was injured during his final workout at Pimlico on May 14. The injury, a sesamoid fracture to his right front ankle, is career-ending, and he has been sent to New Bolton Center in Pennsylvania for further evaluation.    

I will be back next week after the post position draw with final Preakness 2017 thoughts. 

Check out my Derby recap + early Preakness 2017 video at the bottom of this blog post.

Preakness 2017 Contenders with Comments by Jarrod Horak

DERBY RUNNERS:

ALWAYS DREAMING (Bodemeister - Above Perfection, by In Excess)
Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Jockey (John Velazquez)

Comments: The Preakness favorite has no knocks and I picked him on top in the Derby because of his improved 102 FIRE + 148 CPR in the Florida Derby. He owns early/pressing versatility and has never lost a route on dirt. He is a likely winner in Baltimore if able to turn around in two weeks and duplicate his Derby numbers. His sire Bodemeister was 2nd in Preakness 2012.

LOOKIN AT LEE (Lookin At Lucky - Langara Lass, by Langfuhr)

Trainer: (Steve Asmussen) - Jockey (Corey Lanerie)

Comments: Ended up sitting a great inside trip in the Derby and rallied from 16th to finish a clear 2nd. He won’t be 33-1 in Baltimore and other closers are just as capable. His sire Lookin At Lucky won the Preakness in 2010.

CLASSIC EMPIRE (Pioneerof The Nile - Sambuca Classica, by Cat Thief)

Trainer (Mark Casse) - Jockey (Julien Leparoux)

Comments: The 2-year-old champ has had an interesting sophomore campaign to say the least. A quarter crack, a bad back, aborted/missed works, and a missed start in the FOY are just some of the lowlights. He regrouped and won the Arkansas Derby (94 FIRE + 140 CPR) but had everything go wrong on the first Saturday in May (very troubled 4th). The Preakness will be his third start in five weeks and he has yet to run back to his BC Juvenile numbers (100 FIRE + 140 CPR).

GUNNEVERA (Dialed In - Unbridled Rage, by Unbridled)
Trainer (Antonio Sano) - Jockey (Mike Smith)

Comments: He ended up an okay 7th in the Derby after an eventful start and a wide run on the far turn and in the stretch. Always Dreaming also beat him in the Florida Derby as well and he can rebound if he runs back to his 100 FIRE + 156 CPR in the Fountain of Youth.

HENCE (Street Boss - Floating Island, by A. P, Indy)

Trainer (Steve Asmussen) - Jockey (Florent Geroux)

Comments: Went from 19th to 11th under the Twin Spires after a tight break and traffic leaving the five sixteenths pole. He looked good winning a decent renewal of the Sunland Derby (90 FIRE + 145 CPR) and will try to get involved late at Pimlico.

NEW SHOOTERS:

CONQUEST MO MONEY (Uncle Mo - Stirring, by Seeking the Gold)

Trainer (Miguel Hernandez) - Jockey (Jorge Carreno)

Latest Workout: 4f in :48.40 (11/34) at Prairie Meadows on May 12.

Comments: Connections paid $150,000 to make him eligible for the Preakness. The son of Uncle Mo has early/pressing speed and finished 2nd in the Arkansas Derby and 2nd in the Sunland Derby.

CLOUD COMPUTING (Maclean’s Music - Quick Temper, by A. P. Indy)

Trainer (Chad Brown) - Jockey (Javier Castellano)

Latest Workout: 4f in :48.85 (2/32) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on May 13.

Comments: The unraced 2-year-old has only started three times. After winning his sprint debut at Aqueduct on Feb 11, he finished 2nd in the Gotham and 3rd in the Wood Memorial. The Preakness will be his first start away from the Big A.

MULTIPLIER (The Factor - Trippi Street, by Trippi)

Trainer (Brendan Walsh) - Jockey (Joel Rosario)

Latest Workout: 5f in 1:00.80 (8/20) at Keeneland on May 14.

Comments: He smartly captured the Illinois Derby in his fourth lifetime start. The late bloomer is improving rapidly and will probably try to strike from midpack in the Preakness.

SENIOR INVESTMENT (Discreetly Mine - Plaid, by Deputy Commander)

Trainer (Ken McPeek) - Jockey (Channing Hill)

Latest Workout: 5f in 1:02 (15/20) at Keeneland on May 14.

Comments: Graduated around two turns in his final juvenile start and the late runner has been up-and-down this year with his latest start a strong off the pace victory in the Lexington Stakes (102 FIRE + 141 CPR). He appears capable of earning a minor award at Pimlico.

TERM OF ART (Tiznow - Miles of Style, by Storm Cat)

Trainer (Doug O’Neill) - Jockey (Jose Ortiz)

Latest Workout: 6f in 1:13.80 (2/6) at Santa Anita on May 13.

Comments: The late runner exits a 7th in the SA Derby. Before that, he was 3rd in the San Felipe and 4th in the Robert Lewis. Other Preakness closers are more appealing but a 3rd or 4th place finish is not impossible.

Santa Anita Park Report Featuring Horses to Watch for May 11-14

Thursday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: May 11

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire sprint winner on dirt (5.5f, 6f). The winning turf course running styles were a front runner down the hill, a downhill stalker, and a downhill closer (rail at 30 feet).




Rafael Bejarano and Tiago Pereira both booted home a pair. Matthew Chew saddled two winners.

Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! Kenda capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.  

Friday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: May 12

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winner on dirt (5.5f, 8.5f). The winning downhill turf course running styles were three dueling front runners (rail at 20 feet).

Kent Desormeaux and apprentice Evin Roman both booted home a pair.

Stop the Violence finished well for the show (6 lengths clear of 4th) at 4.5f for juvenile first timers. He probably won’t be a maiden much longer for Miller.

Saturday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: May 13

Fast main track and firm turf course. Only one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner down the hill, a downhill stalker, a downhill closer, and a flat mile stalker.

Tyler Baze (dirt sprints) and Flavien Prat (downhill sprints) both booted home a pair. Peter Eurton (turf) and Peter Miller both saddled two winners.

First timer Omega Moon was ready to roll in his debut for Baffert but experienced foe Pioneer Lad was a length better (show finisher 6 lengths back). They paid $500k for Omega Moon and he will probably click at low odds next time.

Heavy favorite American Pastime ran out of ground in today’s third race at 5.5f (Stormy Rocit wire-to-wire). The Hess trainee fell a 1/2 length short and was clearly second best. He earned quality TRD numbers in his winning debut March 11 (92 FIRE + 134 CPR) and can make amends next time.

Cistron had every reason to win the Desert Code. He was the only multiple winner and the early/pressing type broke from an advantageous outer post. He opened up a clear lead in the stretch but second timer Arms Runner went past him easily (show finisher 7.5 lengths back). The latter smartly won his April 20 downhill debut (81 FIRE + 126 CPR) and looks like a good one for Miller. 

American Anthem turned back and got back on the beam in the G3 Laz Barrera for Baffert. He easily held off my top choice Kimbear and the top two were both exiting the SA Derby.

Cheekaboomboom loved the turn back in distance and rolled home from off the pace to graduate in the hillside sixth for Prat/Miller. She was my best bet on the card and paid a generous $11.20.

Sunday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: May 14

Fast main track and firm turf course. Only one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (6f). The winning turf course running styles were a front runner at nine furlongs, a downhill stalker, a stalker at one mile, and a dueler/stalker down the hill (rail at 10 feet).

Flavien Prat booted home a pair on turf. Peter Miller saddled three winners. Richard Baltas saddled two turf winners.

Post time favorite Kenda ended up a clear 2nd behind Madam Dancealot in her first start vs. winners in today’s fourth race. She earned decent TRD numbers graduating down the hill April 21 (81 FIRE + 120 CPR) and was hardly disgraced landing the place behind a horse exiting the stakes ranks. She is a decent downhill performer.

Selcourt dueled and finished 3rd behind two Baffert runners (Faypien, Noted and Quoted) in the Angels Flight. She earned nice TRD Pace Ratings in her first two starts (140, 146) and jockey Tyler Baze said she was too headstrong today. She is going to be a tough customer if she learns to relax a bit.  

Kentucky Derby 2017 Recap + Early Preakness Preview Video Featuring Always Dreaming

Always Dreaming smartly won Kentucky Derby 2017. Can he do it again in Baltimore in the Preakness Stakes?


Santa Anita Park Horses to Watch for May 4-7

Thursday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: May 4

Fast main track and firm turf course. The only wire-to-wire winner on dirt was 2-year-old first timer Gorgeous Ginny at 4.5f. The winning turf course running styles were two dueling front runners down the hill and a downhill stalker (rail at 30 feet).




No riding or training doubles on Thursday.

Anita Partner is very sharp right now. She had been closing down the hill but broke running from the rail and kept on going in a good looking 3.25 length tally in the hillside opener. She posted back-to-back 86 FIRE Numbers prior to today’s win.

Ismelucky broke slow and was clearly second best behind easy wire job winner and strong favorite Gorgeous Ginny in her juvenile debut for Bonde. According to Today’s Racing Digest clockers, she was training well in advance of this race. She might graduate next time.

Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! September Stars capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.  

Friday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: May 5

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (7f, 8f). The winning turf course running styles were two front runners down the hill and a stalker at one mile (rail at 20 feet).

Joe Talamo rode the final three winners on the Friday card. Edwin Maldonado booted home a pair. Agapito Delgadillo and Richard Baltas teamed up for two wins. Phil D’Amato saddled three winners.

Once again, Little Bit Lovely went all the way in a downhill sprint (opening race). According to Today’s Racing Digest stats, Ramon Guce and Jack Carava are now 6-for-8 together.

Danzing Candy went all the way to defeat Accelerate in the salty optional claiming feature at one mile on dirt. The top two were well clear of the rest and could face each other again in upcoming stakes races. On 2-4-16, Danzing Candy posted a 102 FIRE + 146 CPR in a flat mile optional claiming win at SA and appears to be back in that stakes quality form for Baffert.

Saturday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: May 6

Wet Fast (sealed) main track and firm turf course (downhill races moved to dirt). Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (4.5f, 6f). The winning turf course running styles were a front runner at one mile (Sircat Sally) and a closer at one mile (Bowies Hero).

Edwin Maldonado booted home a pair. Apprentice Austin Solis and new trainer Mick Ruis teamed up to win with a pair of longshot first timers (Summer Buddha at $21.20 and The Critical Way at $92.00). Phil D’Amato saddled three more winners including Bowies Hero in the Singletary.

Sircat Sally controlled the pace and remained unbeaten in the Grade III Senorita. Late runner Beau Recall got up late for 2nd and might be able to get to Sircat Sally at some point if she gets more pace help. Promising second timer Pacific Wind missed 2nd by a head in an encouraging effort.

Bowies Hero stumbled at the start, got plenty of pace help, and outfinished fellow closer Bird Is The Word in the Singletary. Post time favorite Sharp Samurai dueled through quick splits, opening up a 2-length lead in the stretch, and weakened to 4th in an okay effort. In his prior start on April 6, Sharp Samurai uncorked an 86 FIRE + 147 CPR and might be able to get back to that next time.

Sunday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: May 7

Wet Fast (sealed) main track and good turf course (downhill races moved to dirt). Only one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (Chalon - 6.5f, off the turf). The lone race to remain on the turf (nine furlongs) was nabbed by patient favorite September Stars (rail at 10 feet).

No riding or training doubles on Sunday.

September Stars had an interesting journey in the grassy eighth race. She stalked in 4th after the first 1/4 under Stevens, fell back to last of eight after six furlongs, and rallied to get up late as the betting favorite. She has stamina and a decent late kick and might be a threat in long distance turf stakes later this year. In her US bow on March 23, she earned an 83 FIRE + 136 CPR and finished up in a strong :35.7.

 

Santa Anita Park Horses to Watch Report (April 28-30)

Friday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: April 28

Fast main track and firm turf course. Only one wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6f). The winning turf course running styles were four stalking winners (10f, 8f, 8f, 9f). The turf rail was set at 20 feet.



Riding double for Rafael Bejarano.

Calli Way prevailed by less than a length as my value top in the grassy 4th. He was making his first start as a gelding after earning better TRD numbers on March 31 (81 FIRE + 122 CPR). He can continue to improve for Baltas.

Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! Union Rebel capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.  

Saturday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: April 29

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (7f, 8f). The winning turf course running styles were a closer at one mile, a patient runner at one mile, another flat mile closer, and a dueling front runner at one mile.

Hat trick for Tyler Baze (2 turf wins) included Farhaan in the G3 Thunder Road. Flavien Prat booted home a pair.

I thought Farhaan would outrun his odds after his quality TRD numbers vs. lesser at SA on March 9 (93 FIRE + 158 CPR) but he ran a bit too good overhauling my top Perfectly Majestic in the G3 Thunder Road. The latter has never won at a mile and look out if he runs at a better distance last time. Bolo was overbet and ended up a flat 3rd. He runs better with more time between starts.

Union Rebel is better than his 4th place finish in today’s 8th race at a mile for MSW runners. He was fractious in the gate and away next-to-last. He made a sustained run from the back to get into 3rd and flattened out in the drive. Prior to this event, he was 2nd to the promising Colonist (won again in today’s 5th race) and he earned improved TRD figs in that April 2 affair (90 FIRE + 133 CPR). I’ll definitely consider playing him back.

Sunday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: April 30

Fast main track and firm turf course. Only one wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6f). The winning turf course running styles were a front runner at one mile, a stalker at twelve furlongs, and a closer at one mile (rail at 10 feet).

Hat trick for Flavien Prat. Rafael Bejarano booted home a pair. Paddy Gallagher saddled two winners including Evo Campo in the G3 Santa Barbara.

Ransom the Moon ran to his sharp works in his first start since December 2016 in today’s 8th race for dirt sprinters. I thought the race would be too short but he was clearly ready to roll for D’Amato. He put up some big all-weather numbers at WO like a 106 FIRE + 157 CPR on 12-14-16 at 9f. He is stakes quality.

Friday, May 5, 2017

Kentucky Derby 2017 Video Preview Featuring Pedigrees

In this Kentucky Derby 2017 preview video, Jarrod Horak takes a look at bloodlines.


Kentucky Derby 2017 Update: Calm Before The Storm

We are now less than 24 hours until Kentucky Derby 2017 and it is literally the calm before the storm.



Post positions were drawn earlier this week and the rail curse for Lookin At Lucky reared it’s ugly head again after his late striding son Lookin At Lee landed unlucky #1. Right next to him is Dubai shipper Thunder Snow and one-eyed Patch will break from the far outside parking lot.

It’s time for final post position and Today’s Racing Digest speed figure thoughts, but the most important question it...who do you like?

In my comments below, I will be mentioning the Today’s Racing Digest FIRE Number + CPR. The FIRE Number is based on speed throughout a race and the CPR (Comprehensive Performance Rating) is based on pace, final time, and closing fraction.  

BY THE NUMBERS

TODAY’S RACING DIGEST


Always Dreaming: Florida Derby (102 FIRE + 148 CPR)

Irish War Cry: Got a 104 FIRE + 141 CPR in the Wood and a 100 + 145 in the productive Holy Bull.

Gunnevera: Florida Derby (96 FIRE + 138 CPR), FOY (100 FIRE + 156 CPR)

Classic Empire: Arkansas Derby (94 FIRE + 140 CPR), BC Juvenile (100 + 140).

Girvin: LA Derby (100 + 134), Risen Star (100 + 150).


You can read my entire Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards 

Monday, May 1, 2017

Kentucky Derby 2017 Update: It's Derby Week!

The long and winding road to Kentucky Derby 2017 came to end on April 15 and many of the hopefuls have arrived at Churchill Downs for the big event on the first Saturday in May.



I have been covering the Derby hopefuls since last September and I am pleased to announce that I am including Today’s Racing Digest stats for the first time today.

In my comments below, I will be mentioning FIRE Number + CPR. The FIRE Number is based on speed throughout a race and the CPR (Comprehensive Performance Rating) is based on pace, final time, and closing fraction.   

You can view my latest Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders video featuring Gormley and Irap at the bottom of this blog post. I will be back with a final Derby contenders video later this week.  

Also, if you are interested in an excellent FREE Kentucky Derby report, please visit Today’s Racing Digest.

I will be back later this week after the post position draw with final pre-race thoughts.

My annual Kentucky Derby Day 2017 full card will be available later this week after post positions are drawn and fields are set.

Also, as an added bonus, if you purchase my 2017 Kentucky Derby Day full card from CD for $15 through The Runaway Horse, you will also receive my SA quick picks with wagering strategies (includes Ky Oaks Day stakes picks from CD on May 5) throughout Derby week (May 4-7). I will send all bonus picks via email as soon as they are complete.

Please visit The Runaway Horse Sales Page for more information.

Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders

(1) ALWAYS DREAMING (Bodemeister - Above Perfection, by In Excess)

Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Owner (Brooklyn Boyz Stables)

Latest Workout: 5f bullet in :59.60 (1/35) at Churchill Downs on April 28.

Comments: Uncorked a big 102 FIRE Number and 148 CPR in the Florida Derby and looked great working at Churchill April 28. However, before and after his big work, he has refused to settle in morning gallops and that is not a good sign for a horse trying to navigate ten furlongs for the first time. Pletcher has five days to get him to settle. On May 1, he came to the track with a new set of draw reins under new exercise rider Nick Bush. He fought restraint early before settling much better during his mile and a quarter gallop.    

Derby Points (100)

(2) GUNNEVERA (Dialed In - Unbridled Rage, by Unbridled)

Trainer (Antonio Sano) - Owner (Peacock Racing Stables, LLC)

Latest Workout: 5f in 1:03.60 (35/35) at Churchill Downs on April 28.

Comments: He needs pace help in the Derby and can get the job done if he runs back to his 100 FIRE + 156 CPR in the Fountain of Youth.  
                  
Derby Points (84)

(3) MCCRAKEN (Ghostzapper - Ivory Empress, by Seeking the Gold)

Trainer (Ian Wilkes) - Owner (Whitham Thoroughbreds LLC)

Latest Workout: 5f in 1:00.80 (10/32) at Churchill Downs on April 30.

Comments: He looked fantastic in his final two Derby works and appears to be ready to produce a top effort on May 6. He earned a 92 FIRE Number in the Blue Grass, his first career loss, but is 3-for-3 at Churchill and gives every indication that he will bounce back on Derby Day. 

Derby Points (40)

(4) IRISH WAR CRY (Curlin - Irish Soverign, by Polish Numbers)

Trainer (Graham Motion) - Owner (Isabelle de Tomaso)

Latest Workout: 6f in 1:13.20 (1/2) at Fair Hill Training Center on April 30.

Comments: Derby winning trainer Motion was pleased with his final Derby work and earned strong Digest numbers in his two Derby prep wins in the Holy Bull (100 FIRE + 145 CPR)  and Wood Memorial (104 FIRE + 141 CPR).  

Derby Points (110)  

(5) GORMLEY  (Malibu Moon - Race to Urga, by Bernstein)

Trainer (John Shirreffs) - Owner (Mr. and Mrs. Jerome S. Moss)

Latest Workout: 7f in 1:28 (1/2) at Santa Anita Park on April 29.

Comments: The SA Derby has been a productive Derby prep race recently but Gormley’s winning 98 FIRE Number puts him behind some of the top contenders this year.  

Derby Points (125)

(6) PRACTICAL JOKE (Into Mischief - Halo Humor, by Distorted Humor)

Trainer (Chad Brown) - Owner (Klaravich Stables)

Latest Workout: 5f in 1:01.60 (19/35) at Churchill Downs on April 28.

Comments: He is training well enough for the Derby and matched Gormey’s 98 FIRE Number with a 2nd in the Blue Grass. He is 3-for-3 sprinting and 0-for-3 routing.        

Derby Points (74)

(7) CLASSIC EMPIRE (Pioneerof The Nile - Sambuca Classica, by Cat Thief)

Trainer (Mark Casse) - Owner (John C. Oxley)

Latest Workout: 4f in :49.20 (47/84) at Churchill Downs on April 28.

Comments: His multiple setbacks this year are hard to overlook and he has not come close to the 100 FIRE Number he earned in the BC Juvenile last fall. He should be fitter than he has been in months but will it be enough? 

Derby Points (132)      

(8) GIRVIN (Tale of Ekati - Catch the Moon, by Malibu Moon)

Trainer (Joe Sharp) - Owner (Brad Grady)

Latest Workout: 5f in :59.60 (2/16) at Keeneland on April 29.

Comments: He earned back-to-back 100 FIRE Numbers in the Risen Star and LA Derby but came up with a foot issue at the worst possible time. It is almost impossible to have a setback and win a race like the Kentucky Derby and even though he looked good working April 29, seasoning is a big issue with a missed work and only four career starts.  

Derby Points (150)

(9) IRAP  (Tiznow - Silken Cat, by Storm Cat)

Trainer (Doug O’Neill) - Owner (Reddam Racing)

Latest Workout: 8f in 1:44.20 (1/2) at Keeneland on April 28.

Comments: Earned a 100 FIRE Number in the Blue Grass but must prove that was not a fluke because his other seven numbers were much lower.  

Derby Points (113)

(10) PATCH  (Union Rags - Windyindy, by A. P. Indy)

Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Owner (Calumet Fam)

Latest Workout: 5f in 1:00.20 (3/35) at Churchill Downs on April 28.

Comments: I love his pedigree and rising numbers pattern but if Girvin lacks seasoning, this one does as well with only three career starts and one win.  

Derby Points (40)

(11) THUNDER SNOW  (Helmet - Eastern Joy, by Dubai Destination)

Trainer (Saeed bin Suroor) - Owner (Godolphin)

Comments: The mystery horse from Dubai arrived at Churchill Downs April 30. This is the type of year to consider a new face but Dubai shippers have yet to make a dent in the Derby.   

THE NEXT NINE:

(12) Hence - 4f in :48.80 (8/22) at Churchill Downs on May 1. He looked good galloping out and might be the best of the Asmussen Derby runners.  

(13) Battle of Midway - 6f in 1:13.40 (5/13) at Santa Anita Park on April 28.

(14) J Boys Echo - 5f in 1:01 (5/21) at Churchill Downs on April 29.

(15) Tapwrit - 5f in 1:00.20 (3/35) at Churchill Downs on April 28.

(16) Lookin at Lee - 4f in :50.20 (15/22) at Churchill Downs on May 1.

(17) Fast and Accurate - 5f in 1:01.20 (17/32) at Churchill Downs on April 30.

(18) State of Honor - 4f in :48.80 (34/84) at Churchill Downs on April 28.

(19) Untrapped - 4f in :50.40 (17/22) at Churchill Downs on May 1.

(20) Sonneteer - 4f bullet in :47 (1/22) at Churchill Downs on May 1. Maiden looked sharp working for first time since Arkansas Derby.

On the Outside Looking in:

(21) Royal Mo - 6f in 1:13 (5/14) at Santa Anita on April 29.

(22) Local Hero - 4f in :50.60 (18/22) at Churchill Downs on May 1.