Check out my Cigar Mile Day 2019 video below!
Sunday, December 22, 2019
Sunday, December 1, 2019
Del Mar Turf Festival Stakes Video: Matriarch 2019 Featuring Got Stormy
Check out my Del Mar Stakes video for Sunday (12-1-19) below!
Kentucky Derby 2020 Blog: BC Juvenile Recap
The very early Kentucky Derby 2020 picture was turned upside down following a top three surprise in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) at Santa Anita Park on Friday, Nov. 1. Dennis’ Moment stumbled at the start, Eight Rings chased and retreated, and Maxfield scratched. It was anything goes after those events, and Storm the Court lead the longshot parade at the Great Race Place. The next Derby points race is the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes at Churchill Downs on Nov. 30.
Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! Storm the Court capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race Recaps
BC JUVENILE Recap (11-1-19) - Winner: Storm the Court ($93.80)
It was bombs away in the Juvenile, but this was probably not as big a surprise as the payoffs suggest. After Breeders’ Futurity (G1) hero Maxfield scratched, we were left with a less than stellar field of eight with two apparent standouts. Dennis’ Moment was the favorite based on a big local workout and endless hype from Dale Romans. His main accomplishment was a grade three victory in the Iroquois, and that first Derby points race is hardly a predictor of long term success. Local grade one winner Eight Rings was the second choice, and he sure looked like a need to lead type for Bob Baffert. Dennis’ drew the rail and figured to save ground tracking the pace, and those plans went out the window after he stumbled at the start. The favorite was virtually eliminated before he got started, and the race should have fallen into the lap of Eight Rings. The latter should have been sent to the lead, but jockey John Velazquez is frequently comfortable pressing outside in these situations, and he allowed Storm the Court and Flavien Prat to set the pace. Eight Rings easily handled Storm the Court in the American Pharoah (G1), but the tables were turned today. Storm the Court fought hard throughout on the lead and failed to let anyone pass. Golden Gate turf route maiden winner Anneau d’Or stalked the pace, came up to the early leader and looked poised to go on by, but he was turned away to miss by a neck. The top two were well clear of show finisher Wrecking Crew. The latter chased throughout and was best of the rest. Scabbard ended up a flat 4th. He was the third most likely winner on paper after his runner-up finish in the Iroquois (G3), but that race is looking worse by the moment. Full Flat, a fading Eight Rings, and Shoplifted were next, and Dennis’ Moment trailed throughout. The final time (1:44.93) was much better than the BC Juvenile Fillies, but this did not feel like a strong race, especially with the non-efforts by the two favorites. You can draw a line through this race for Dennis’ Moment. He had no chance to strut his stuff, but he has not really done much yet. He is 2-for-4 with one grade three win. Eight Rings seems to need everything his own way, and he is just too unreliable. The one horse to watch might be Anneau d’Or. This was just his second lifetime start and first on dirt. Just like Donna Veloce in the Juvenile Fillies, he put in an excellent effort considering his lack of experience.
Read the rest of this post at The Runaway Horse
Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! Storm the Court capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race Recaps
BC JUVENILE Recap (11-1-19) - Winner: Storm the Court ($93.80)
It was bombs away in the Juvenile, but this was probably not as big a surprise as the payoffs suggest. After Breeders’ Futurity (G1) hero Maxfield scratched, we were left with a less than stellar field of eight with two apparent standouts. Dennis’ Moment was the favorite based on a big local workout and endless hype from Dale Romans. His main accomplishment was a grade three victory in the Iroquois, and that first Derby points race is hardly a predictor of long term success. Local grade one winner Eight Rings was the second choice, and he sure looked like a need to lead type for Bob Baffert. Dennis’ drew the rail and figured to save ground tracking the pace, and those plans went out the window after he stumbled at the start. The favorite was virtually eliminated before he got started, and the race should have fallen into the lap of Eight Rings. The latter should have been sent to the lead, but jockey John Velazquez is frequently comfortable pressing outside in these situations, and he allowed Storm the Court and Flavien Prat to set the pace. Eight Rings easily handled Storm the Court in the American Pharoah (G1), but the tables were turned today. Storm the Court fought hard throughout on the lead and failed to let anyone pass. Golden Gate turf route maiden winner Anneau d’Or stalked the pace, came up to the early leader and looked poised to go on by, but he was turned away to miss by a neck. The top two were well clear of show finisher Wrecking Crew. The latter chased throughout and was best of the rest. Scabbard ended up a flat 4th. He was the third most likely winner on paper after his runner-up finish in the Iroquois (G3), but that race is looking worse by the moment. Full Flat, a fading Eight Rings, and Shoplifted were next, and Dennis’ Moment trailed throughout. The final time (1:44.93) was much better than the BC Juvenile Fillies, but this did not feel like a strong race, especially with the non-efforts by the two favorites. You can draw a line through this race for Dennis’ Moment. He had no chance to strut his stuff, but he has not really done much yet. He is 2-for-4 with one grade three win. Eight Rings seems to need everything his own way, and he is just too unreliable. The one horse to watch might be Anneau d’Or. This was just his second lifetime start and first on dirt. Just like Donna Veloce in the Juvenile Fillies, he put in an excellent effort considering his lack of experience.
Read the rest of this post at The Runaway Horse
Kentucky Oaks 2020 Blog: BC Juvenile Fillies Recap
The Kentucky Oaks points race series for 2020 had it’s biggest stop year at Santa Anita Park on Friday, Nov. 1, and British Idiom locked up the Eclipse Award for top juvenile filly with a neck victory over Donna Veloce in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1). The next two points races are both on November 30 (Demoiselle at AQU and Golden Rod at CD).
Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! British Idiom capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Kentucky Oaks 2020 Points Race Recaps
BC JUVENLE FILLIES - Winner: British Idiom ($7.40)
The pace did not play out quite as expected. It was contested, and I landed on Bast because I thought she would sit the right stalking trip behind fast fractions. I was not expecting her to be dueling on the lead with longshot Two Sixty and third choice Wicked Whisper. Donna Veloce sat in the garden spot behind the three dueling leaders, and she got first run and took over in the stretch under Flavien Prat. She only had one sprint prep under her belt and her lack of seasoning cost her the win. British Idiom was able to save ground behind the speed, and with two starts and a grade one route win on her resume, she was able to wear down Donna Veloce to prevail by a neck. Bast just kept on trying all the way to the wire and was about two lengths behind the top pair. This was a big effort to finish 3rd for Bob Baffert’s filly. Her two pace rivals faded badly, and the final results could have looked quite different if she was able to stalk the pace. Donna Veloce put in a very big effort in just her second lifetime start. She has plenty of upside. British Idiom will almost certainly get the top juvenile filly award. Perfect Alibi was 4th, followed by Wicked Whisper, Lazy Daisy, Comical, K P Dreamin, and Two Sixty. The final time was a slow 1:47.07 on the deep, tiring main track.
You can read the rest of this post at The Runaway Horse
Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! British Idiom capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Kentucky Oaks 2020 Points Race Recaps
BC JUVENLE FILLIES - Winner: British Idiom ($7.40)
The pace did not play out quite as expected. It was contested, and I landed on Bast because I thought she would sit the right stalking trip behind fast fractions. I was not expecting her to be dueling on the lead with longshot Two Sixty and third choice Wicked Whisper. Donna Veloce sat in the garden spot behind the three dueling leaders, and she got first run and took over in the stretch under Flavien Prat. She only had one sprint prep under her belt and her lack of seasoning cost her the win. British Idiom was able to save ground behind the speed, and with two starts and a grade one route win on her resume, she was able to wear down Donna Veloce to prevail by a neck. Bast just kept on trying all the way to the wire and was about two lengths behind the top pair. This was a big effort to finish 3rd for Bob Baffert’s filly. Her two pace rivals faded badly, and the final results could have looked quite different if she was able to stalk the pace. Donna Veloce put in a very big effort in just her second lifetime start. She has plenty of upside. British Idiom will almost certainly get the top juvenile filly award. Perfect Alibi was 4th, followed by Wicked Whisper, Lazy Daisy, Comical, K P Dreamin, and Two Sixty. The final time was a slow 1:47.07 on the deep, tiring main track.
You can read the rest of this post at The Runaway Horse
Del Mar Bing Crosby Season 2019 Report (November 22-24)
Del Mar Recap for Friday (11-22-19)
Fast, drying out main track. Three races were originally scheduled for turf and moved to dirt. There were three front running winners (8f, 6f, 7f).
Riding doubles for Rafael Bejarano, Abel Cedillo, and Drayden Van Dyke.
The $2 Pick 6 pool was $81,254, and multiple tickets with all six winners paid $2,067.00 each. The 5 out of 6 consolation payoff was $25.40. The single ticket jackpot carryover stands at $96,562.
Nov. 22 Claims: Race 6 - Kynance ($40k, Jorge Periban).
DMR Full Card Highlights for Friday (11-22-19)
DMR 1 Miracle March/Autumn Day Quinella ($12.40)
DMR 4 GOVENOR CINCH (DMR Best Bet, $4.20), Quinella ($6.00), Trifecta ($5.35)
Double (races 3-4, $11.60)
Pick 3 (races 2-4, $12.45)
DMR 5 CARNELIAN HERO ($2.80)
Double (races 4-5, $6.80)
Pick 3 (races 3-5, $5.85)
DMR 6 Carressa/Persepolis/Meso Trifeta ($14.40)
Double (races 5-6, $12.20)
Pick 3 (races 4-6, $5.25)
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Fast, drying out main track. Three races were originally scheduled for turf and moved to dirt. There were three front running winners (8f, 6f, 7f).
Riding doubles for Rafael Bejarano, Abel Cedillo, and Drayden Van Dyke.
The $2 Pick 6 pool was $81,254, and multiple tickets with all six winners paid $2,067.00 each. The 5 out of 6 consolation payoff was $25.40. The single ticket jackpot carryover stands at $96,562.
Nov. 22 Claims: Race 6 - Kynance ($40k, Jorge Periban).
DMR Full Card Highlights for Friday (11-22-19)
DMR 1 Miracle March/Autumn Day Quinella ($12.40)
DMR 4 GOVENOR CINCH (DMR Best Bet, $4.20), Quinella ($6.00), Trifecta ($5.35)
Double (races 3-4, $11.60)
Pick 3 (races 2-4, $12.45)
DMR 5 CARNELIAN HERO ($2.80)
Double (races 4-5, $6.80)
Pick 3 (races 3-5, $5.85)
DMR 6 Carressa/Persepolis/Meso Trifeta ($14.40)
Double (races 5-6, $12.20)
Pick 3 (races 4-6, $5.25)
————--
Horse Racing Video Series: How to Bet the Exacta
Check out my new horse racing betting video series. This video features the exacta!
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