Saturday, December 8, 2018

Kentucky Derby 2019 Blog: G1 Los Alamitos Futurity Preview

Trainer Bob Baffert has dominated the CashCall Futurity since the late 90’s at Hollywood Park and more recently Los Alamitos Race Course, and he has two strong contenders for the 2018 renewal. 

Improbable is his first entrant and the the unbeaten colt is the morning line favorite. Mucho Gusto is his other runner and he captured his first two starts to begin his career. The former has shown the ability to relax and finish, and the latter likes to get in the mix from the opening bell. 

CashCall Futurity 2018 Preview



LRC 5 (G1 Los Alamitos Futurity, 2yo, 8.5f) #1 Improbable (6-5) looked great romping on the BC undercard Nov 2 (130 CPR + 143 Final Rating). He is 2-for-2 for Baffert and projects a ground saving tactical trip behind the speed under Van Dyke. #2 Savagery (8-1) removes blinkers (strong move for Miller) and stretches out in distance. He ran well throughout in his last two sprint stakes starts without much pace. He should be forwardly placed and earned career best numbers in the Bob Hope (125 CPR + 128 Final Rating). #3 Dueling (6-1) improved over a route of ground in his SA maiden win at one mile Sept. 28 (2 next out winners - 123 Final Rating). He added blinkers and failed to get involved in the BC Juvenile, and he returns to SoCal and reconnects with his winning rider Mike Smith (6-for-14 w/Hollendorfer). #4 King of Speed (15-1) switches surfaces and has no early speed. He can get the distance but is 0-for-2 on dirt and seems up against it from a pace standpoint. #5 EXTRA HOPE (7-2) added blinkers and broke through with a big two turn maiden win at SA Oct 21 (129 CPR + 129 Final Rating). He ran out of ground vs. a couple of these in the G3 Bob Hope at 7f and is back in a preferred route. Prat knows him now and his tactical speed and stamina could pull him through in this spot. He is the only entrant with a win at 8.5f. #6 Mucho Gusto (3-1) went all the way in both sprint starts for Baffert including the G3 Bob Hope (129 CPR + 132 FR). He is an obvious prominent throughout threat under Talamo. THE PLAYS: #5 to win, Exacta Box 3-5

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