Belmont Park (10/5/2019)
Race 10: Gr. I Champagne Stakes (8F on Dirt, $500,000 for 3yr Olds)
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race (10-4-2-1) - Check out our first Kentucky Derby 2020 blog post here!
1 – Alpha Sixty Six (5-1): The $400K purchase won here on September 7th and has two quality works since. Johnny V. will be in the saddle and he’s been red hot as of late winning races on both coasts. This is a horse that has the pedigree of a derby contender, so we’ll see what he does from the rail.
2 –Truculent (30-1): Get blinkers and moves back to the dirt for Jack Sisterton. The distance should not be a problem and I think this one could get better with age.
3 – Green Light Go (8-5): The morning line favorite has won two in a row for James Jerkens and should only improve with distance. He’s the only graded stakes winner in here and his Saratoga Stakes victory sure looked strong.
4 – Three Technique (7-2): Broke his maiden in his third start where he rallied from off the pace to win by five-plus lengths. Irad Ortiz will replace his brother. This guy was favored in each of his previous starts.
5 – Gozilla (6-1): Super impressive first time out at Saratoga then followed that up with a decent third in the Gr. I Hopeful. He may not have liked the track conditions that day and with his speed I think he has a great shot to rebound.
6 – Big City Bob (20-1): Has won two in a row for Jorge Duarte with her last coming over 8F. He won at big odds that day and the time was nothing impressive, so I think he has his work cut out for him.
7 – Tiz the Law (5-2): Won impressively first time out at Saratoga going 6.5F for Barclay Tagg (State-bred Md Sp Wt). He’s had four works since that race with two bullets and seems ready to roll for his second start.
Wagers:
#5 to win
Exacta Key 5 – 1,3
Exacta Key 1,3 – 5
Trifecta 1,3,5 – 1,3,5 – 2,7
Analysis by Dr. Atlas
Showing posts with label Dr. Atlas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dr. Atlas. Show all posts
Saturday, October 5, 2019
Saturday, August 17, 2019
Saratoga Week 5 Rewind by Dr. Atlas
Saratoga Week 5 Recap (8/7 – 8/11)
Week five of the 2019 Saratoga meet is officially in the books so let’s take a look at our weekly rewind:
Jockey Highlights:
Jose Ortiz booted home seven more during the week and regains the top spot with 35 wins (22% Win, 54% ITM). Irad Ortiz won eight more and did run at Arlington on Saturday. He sits in second with 30 wins (21% Win, 55% ITM). Javier Castellano secured the third spot as he racked up five more wins and now has 22 for the meet. Luis Saez won four more and is now in fourth with 21. Joel Rosario and Jose Lezcano are tied in fifth with 18 wins apiece. Junior Alvarado follows with 15, then Ricardo Santana with 13, Tyler Gaffalione with 9 and Kendrick Carmouche and Manny Franco both have eight wins apiece. John Velazquez only got one home this week but still only have six-total for the meet (8% Win).
Trainer Highlights:
Chad Brown retained the top trainer spot but only got home two winners during the weekf. He has 20 for the meet and 66% of his runners are hitting the board. Todd Pletcher got one winner during the week and is tied for second with Steve Asmussen (both have nine). Asmussen only had four wins entering the week but picked up five more and in route to his second place standing. Four trainers trail them with eight wins apiece: Bill Mott, Jeremiah Englehart, Jason Serivs, and Christophe Clement. Mark Casse, Danny Gargan, and Linda Rice follow with seven.
Course Highlights:
We saw the track play fair for dirt sprints as horses set a variety of trips to find the winners circle. Dirt routes went back to strictly stalker and speed types so its safe to say this is probably the biggest trend we are seeing through the first five weeks. Only one closer won a turf sprint as all others were won by early speed / stalker types. We did see a couple closers win turf routes as well.
Notable Winners:
Some horses to note are Gozilla who broke his maiden by four-and-a-half lengths in his first start for Steve Asmussen. The Zayat Stable-owned colt went 6F in 1:09.59 and sure looked professional as Ricardo Santana looked like he was driving a Corvette. Got Stormy came back off a seven-day layoff to beat the boys in the Gr. I Fourstardave. She was the first filly in history to do so and posted a course record for 8F in 1:32.00. Green Light Go looked great in the Gr. II Saratoga Special as he won by more than three lengths and crossed the wire in 1:15.68 for the 6.5F contest. Stretching out should not be a problem as he has the pedigree to handle more so this one should certainly be on everyone’s 2020 Kentucky Derby radar.
About Josh:
Originally from Upstate New York, Josh (also referred to as Dr. Atlas in racing circles) has been a long time follower and supporter of the "Sport of Kings".
Mr. Chicorelli worked for Horse Racing Nation and DerbyWars from 2011-2013 and has been a local at the Saratoga Race Course for over a decade. In his spare time, Josh writes handicapping articles and has worked part-time for the NYRA Bets Squad over the past two years.
Josh received his BS in New Media Marketing from RIT in 2011 and recently completed his Masters in Business Administration from RPI (May 2018).
2019 FULL CARD SCHEDULE - DEL MAR
AUGUST 17 thru SEPT. 2
DEL MAR INDIVIDUAL FULL CARD PRICES:
WEDNESDAYS, THURSDAYS, FRIDAYS - $5.00
SATURDAYS & SUNDAYS - $10
Please visit The Runaway Horse Sales page to purchase our Del Mar picks.
Week five of the 2019 Saratoga meet is officially in the books so let’s take a look at our weekly rewind:
Jockey Highlights:
Jose Ortiz booted home seven more during the week and regains the top spot with 35 wins (22% Win, 54% ITM). Irad Ortiz won eight more and did run at Arlington on Saturday. He sits in second with 30 wins (21% Win, 55% ITM). Javier Castellano secured the third spot as he racked up five more wins and now has 22 for the meet. Luis Saez won four more and is now in fourth with 21. Joel Rosario and Jose Lezcano are tied in fifth with 18 wins apiece. Junior Alvarado follows with 15, then Ricardo Santana with 13, Tyler Gaffalione with 9 and Kendrick Carmouche and Manny Franco both have eight wins apiece. John Velazquez only got one home this week but still only have six-total for the meet (8% Win).
Trainer Highlights:
Chad Brown retained the top trainer spot but only got home two winners during the weekf. He has 20 for the meet and 66% of his runners are hitting the board. Todd Pletcher got one winner during the week and is tied for second with Steve Asmussen (both have nine). Asmussen only had four wins entering the week but picked up five more and in route to his second place standing. Four trainers trail them with eight wins apiece: Bill Mott, Jeremiah Englehart, Jason Serivs, and Christophe Clement. Mark Casse, Danny Gargan, and Linda Rice follow with seven.
Course Highlights:
We saw the track play fair for dirt sprints as horses set a variety of trips to find the winners circle. Dirt routes went back to strictly stalker and speed types so its safe to say this is probably the biggest trend we are seeing through the first five weeks. Only one closer won a turf sprint as all others were won by early speed / stalker types. We did see a couple closers win turf routes as well.
Notable Winners:
Some horses to note are Gozilla who broke his maiden by four-and-a-half lengths in his first start for Steve Asmussen. The Zayat Stable-owned colt went 6F in 1:09.59 and sure looked professional as Ricardo Santana looked like he was driving a Corvette. Got Stormy came back off a seven-day layoff to beat the boys in the Gr. I Fourstardave. She was the first filly in history to do so and posted a course record for 8F in 1:32.00. Green Light Go looked great in the Gr. II Saratoga Special as he won by more than three lengths and crossed the wire in 1:15.68 for the 6.5F contest. Stretching out should not be a problem as he has the pedigree to handle more so this one should certainly be on everyone’s 2020 Kentucky Derby radar.
About Josh:
Originally from Upstate New York, Josh (also referred to as Dr. Atlas in racing circles) has been a long time follower and supporter of the "Sport of Kings".
Mr. Chicorelli worked for Horse Racing Nation and DerbyWars from 2011-2013 and has been a local at the Saratoga Race Course for over a decade. In his spare time, Josh writes handicapping articles and has worked part-time for the NYRA Bets Squad over the past two years.
Josh received his BS in New Media Marketing from RIT in 2011 and recently completed his Masters in Business Administration from RPI (May 2018).
2019 FULL CARD SCHEDULE - DEL MAR
AUGUST 17 thru SEPT. 2
DEL MAR INDIVIDUAL FULL CARD PRICES:
WEDNESDAYS, THURSDAYS, FRIDAYS - $5.00
SATURDAYS & SUNDAYS - $10
Please visit The Runaway Horse Sales page to purchase our Del Mar picks.
Wednesday, August 7, 2019
Saratoga Week 4 Rewind by Dr. Atlas
Saratoga Week 4 Recap (7/31 – 8/4)
Week four of the 2019 Saratoga meet is officially in the books. It was the first official full, five-day week at the SPA and was highlighted by some great stakes action that took place Friday through Sunday. Here is our week four rewind:
Jockey Highlights:
Jose Ortiz continues his dominance at the SPA as he racked up nine more wins during week four. He now has 27 for the meet (23% Win and 55% ITM). His older brother Irad had a huge week as he tallied 11 wins with five of those coming on Wednesday’s card. He moves into second place with 22 for the meet (19% Win and 54% ITM). Luis Saez only found the winners circle twice this past week but sits in third with 17 wins. He is joined by Javier Castellano who notched three more as well. Jose Lezcano won five more which puts him in fifth place with 16, followed by Joel Rosario with 14 wins and Junior Alvarado with 10. Manny Franco and Tyler Gaffalione are tied with eight wins apiece. Johnny V did land two winners during week four but only has five total for the meet (8% Win).
You can read the rest of this post at The Runaway Horse
Week four of the 2019 Saratoga meet is officially in the books. It was the first official full, five-day week at the SPA and was highlighted by some great stakes action that took place Friday through Sunday. Here is our week four rewind:
Jockey Highlights:
Jose Ortiz continues his dominance at the SPA as he racked up nine more wins during week four. He now has 27 for the meet (23% Win and 55% ITM). His older brother Irad had a huge week as he tallied 11 wins with five of those coming on Wednesday’s card. He moves into second place with 22 for the meet (19% Win and 54% ITM). Luis Saez only found the winners circle twice this past week but sits in third with 17 wins. He is joined by Javier Castellano who notched three more as well. Jose Lezcano won five more which puts him in fifth place with 16, followed by Joel Rosario with 14 wins and Junior Alvarado with 10. Manny Franco and Tyler Gaffalione are tied with eight wins apiece. Johnny V did land two winners during week four but only has five total for the meet (8% Win).
You can read the rest of this post at The Runaway Horse
Saturday, March 24, 2018
Sunland Derby analysis by Dr. Atlas
Sunday’s eleventh race (3-25-18) at Sunland Park is the Gr. III, $800,000 Sunland Derby. This race will consist of three-year olds running a mile and an eighth over the main track.
Post Time – 7:15pm ET
#4 – Hollywood Star (6-1): Trained by Dale Romans and ridden by Robby Albarado
(Sire: Malibu Moon by Dam: Hollywood Story)
In his first start of the year, Hollywood Star finished a distant fourth in the Gr.III Sam Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs back on February 10th. The dark bay has registered several strong works since his last race and Romans horses always seem to improve second off the layoff. Robby Albarado will re-take the mount and look to get Hollywood Star back in the winner’s circle.
Plays:
$10 to Win, $20 to Place #4
$2 Exacta Box 3/4/10
Total = $42
About Josh:
Originally from Upstate New York, Josh (also referred to as Dr. Atlas in racing circles) has been a long time follower and supporter of the "Sport of Kings".
Mr. Chicorelli worked for Horse Racing Nation and DerbyWars from 2011-2013 and has been a local at the Saratoga Race Course for over a decade. In his spare time, Josh writes handicapping articles and has worked part-time for the NYRA Bets Squad over the past two years.
Josh received his BS in New Media Marketing from RIT in 2011 and will complete his Masters in Business Administration from RPI this May (2018).
Post Time – 7:15pm ET
#4 – Hollywood Star (6-1): Trained by Dale Romans and ridden by Robby Albarado
(Sire: Malibu Moon by Dam: Hollywood Story)
In his first start of the year, Hollywood Star finished a distant fourth in the Gr.III Sam Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs back on February 10th. The dark bay has registered several strong works since his last race and Romans horses always seem to improve second off the layoff. Robby Albarado will re-take the mount and look to get Hollywood Star back in the winner’s circle.
Plays:
$10 to Win, $20 to Place #4
$2 Exacta Box 3/4/10
Total = $42
About Josh:
Originally from Upstate New York, Josh (also referred to as Dr. Atlas in racing circles) has been a long time follower and supporter of the "Sport of Kings".
Mr. Chicorelli worked for Horse Racing Nation and DerbyWars from 2011-2013 and has been a local at the Saratoga Race Course for over a decade. In his spare time, Josh writes handicapping articles and has worked part-time for the NYRA Bets Squad over the past two years.
Josh received his BS in New Media Marketing from RIT in 2011 and will complete his Masters in Business Administration from RPI this May (2018).
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