Here is my #BreedersCup Classic 2020 video.
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Showing posts with label Tiz the Law. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tiz the Law. Show all posts
Saturday, November 7, 2020
Breeders' Cup Classic 2020 Video Preview
Here is my early #BreedersCup Classic 2020 video preview.
Check out free stakes picks and more at The Runaway Horse.
Friday, February 7, 2020
Kentucky Derby 2020 Report for 2-7-20
The Kentucky Derby 2020 points race series was in high gear last weekend. Tiz the Law is the very early Derby favorite after a sharp score in the Holy Bull Stakes, and Bob Baffert’s $1 million colt Thousand Words ran his record to 3-for-3 in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes. The Withers was the other points race on Feb. 1, and Max Player went from maiden winner at Parx to graded stakes winner at the Big A.
Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! Tiz the Law capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
The Sam F. Davis Stakes (G3) at Tampa Bay Downs is the lone points race on Saturday, Feb. 8, and Independence Hall tries to go 4-for-4. The early-pressing type makes his first start around two turns. Premier Star stretches out and looms the target, and Remsen Stakes (G2) runner-up Ajaaweed is the one to fear late.
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race Recaps
Withers Stakes Recap (2-1-20) - Winner: Max Player ($12.80)
Shotski was an underlay as expected. He stole the Remsen (G2) over a speed favoring oval last year. In this event, he did not figure to shake loose early, and he did not. Prince of Pharoahs was the first to engage the chalk, and Vanzzy and New Commission were also forwardly placed. Monday Morning Qb went after Shotski after the other early challengers faded, and that set the table for my value oriented TRD video winner Max Player. The Linda Rice trainee was lurking wide under Dylan Davis. He was scrubbing away and under the whip while continuing wide approaching the far turn, and swung even wider turning for home. He had the momentum out in the middle of the track and won going away by 3+ lengths. Shotski just held 2nd over late runner Portos, and Monday Morning Qb flattened out and finished 4th. New Commission was 5th, and Prince of Pharoahs was another ten lengths back in 6th. Mr. Shortandsimple and Vanzzy were both eased. This was not a fast race but was a big forward move for Max Player. He went from wet track maiden winner at Parx to a graded Derby points race winner.
You can read the rest of this post on my Kentucky Derby 2020 page...
Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! Tiz the Law capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
The Sam F. Davis Stakes (G3) at Tampa Bay Downs is the lone points race on Saturday, Feb. 8, and Independence Hall tries to go 4-for-4. The early-pressing type makes his first start around two turns. Premier Star stretches out and looms the target, and Remsen Stakes (G2) runner-up Ajaaweed is the one to fear late.
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race Recaps
Withers Stakes Recap (2-1-20) - Winner: Max Player ($12.80)
Shotski was an underlay as expected. He stole the Remsen (G2) over a speed favoring oval last year. In this event, he did not figure to shake loose early, and he did not. Prince of Pharoahs was the first to engage the chalk, and Vanzzy and New Commission were also forwardly placed. Monday Morning Qb went after Shotski after the other early challengers faded, and that set the table for my value oriented TRD video winner Max Player. The Linda Rice trainee was lurking wide under Dylan Davis. He was scrubbing away and under the whip while continuing wide approaching the far turn, and swung even wider turning for home. He had the momentum out in the middle of the track and won going away by 3+ lengths. Shotski just held 2nd over late runner Portos, and Monday Morning Qb flattened out and finished 4th. New Commission was 5th, and Prince of Pharoahs was another ten lengths back in 6th. Mr. Shortandsimple and Vanzzy were both eased. This was not a fast race but was a big forward move for Max Player. He went from wet track maiden winner at Parx to a graded Derby points race winner.
You can read the rest of this post on my Kentucky Derby 2020 page...
Friday, January 31, 2020
Kentucky Derby 2020 Blog: Enforceable Kicks Late in LeComte Stakes
There have been four Kentucky Derby 2020 points races this year, and the LeComte Stakes (G3) at Fair Grounds has been the strongest race so far. There are three Derby preps this weekend (Holy Bull, Robert B. Lewis, Withers).
Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! Enforceable capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Tiz the Law is the 3-5 morning line favorite for the Holy Bull Stakes (G2), and Thousand Words is 4-5 to remain unbeaten in the Robert B. Lewis (G3) at Santa Anita Park. The final points race on Saturday, Feb. 1 is the Withers Stakes at the Big A. Shotski is the 2-1 choice on the line and is the most vulnerable of the three Derby points race favorites on Saturday. For analysis of those three Derby preps, check out my Today’s Racing Digest video.
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race Recaps
LeComte Stakes (G3) Recap from Fair Grounds (1-18-20) - Winner: Enforceable ($15.60)
A big field with a solid pace and stamina won out. Bango, Shashashakemeup, and Jack the Umpire were the early instigators. Mr. Monomoy sat behind them and was the only forwardly placed runner around at the end. Enforceable was wide early and often from post ten. He raced 11th of 13 for the first half-mile and picked up the pace nicely after that. He showed a nice turn of foot in the stretch and kicked clear to score by a length and a half. My top choice Silver State rallied smartly for the place in just his third career start for Steve Amussen. I thought he ran every bit as well as the winner. This was his first start around two turns and he has plenty of upside. Mr. Monomoy missed 2nd by a neck and was well clear of 4th place finisher Finnick the Fierce. Beaten favorite Scabbard was a flat 6th and was followed by Shashashakemeup, Excession, Halo Again, Bango, Perfect Star, Jack the Umpire, Sycamore Run, and New Eagle.
Smarty Jones Stakes Recap from Oaklawn Park (1-24-20) - Winner: Gold Street ($22.80)
Everything about this race was confusing. First of all, the track was muddy, and some horses probably did not handle the footing. There were a trio of sprinters stretching out in distance (Lykan, Nucky, Gold Street), and the pace figured to be fast. Spoiler alert, it wasn’t! Lykan was rank early and Nucky never got involved. Gold Street was exiting back-to-back dirt sprint wins in the slop, and he just got out there and completely controlled the pace in this spot. My value top choice Lynn’s Map took up chasing duties because someone had to. Gold Street was in cruise control from start to finish and scored by a very comfortable 2+ lengths. Three Technique stalked from the outside post and was clearly second best in a solid effort. Shoplifted stalked the pace and was best of the rest in 3rd, and his stablemate Silver Prospector was 4th. Lynn’s Map weakened to 5th, and Shared Sense, Lykan, Jungle Runner, and Nucky completed the order of finish. The speed figure came back solid but there is a very good chance that this was not a strong race, at least when it comes to the Derby trail. My best guess is that the top two finishers are milers at best.
You can read the rest of this post on my Kentucky Derby 2020 page...
Check out Today's Racing Digest for handicapping products, analysis, and more! Enforceable capture above courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Tiz the Law is the 3-5 morning line favorite for the Holy Bull Stakes (G2), and Thousand Words is 4-5 to remain unbeaten in the Robert B. Lewis (G3) at Santa Anita Park. The final points race on Saturday, Feb. 1 is the Withers Stakes at the Big A. Shotski is the 2-1 choice on the line and is the most vulnerable of the three Derby points race favorites on Saturday. For analysis of those three Derby preps, check out my Today’s Racing Digest video.
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race Recaps
LeComte Stakes (G3) Recap from Fair Grounds (1-18-20) - Winner: Enforceable ($15.60)
A big field with a solid pace and stamina won out. Bango, Shashashakemeup, and Jack the Umpire were the early instigators. Mr. Monomoy sat behind them and was the only forwardly placed runner around at the end. Enforceable was wide early and often from post ten. He raced 11th of 13 for the first half-mile and picked up the pace nicely after that. He showed a nice turn of foot in the stretch and kicked clear to score by a length and a half. My top choice Silver State rallied smartly for the place in just his third career start for Steve Amussen. I thought he ran every bit as well as the winner. This was his first start around two turns and he has plenty of upside. Mr. Monomoy missed 2nd by a neck and was well clear of 4th place finisher Finnick the Fierce. Beaten favorite Scabbard was a flat 6th and was followed by Shashashakemeup, Excession, Halo Again, Bango, Perfect Star, Jack the Umpire, Sycamore Run, and New Eagle.
Smarty Jones Stakes Recap from Oaklawn Park (1-24-20) - Winner: Gold Street ($22.80)
Everything about this race was confusing. First of all, the track was muddy, and some horses probably did not handle the footing. There were a trio of sprinters stretching out in distance (Lykan, Nucky, Gold Street), and the pace figured to be fast. Spoiler alert, it wasn’t! Lykan was rank early and Nucky never got involved. Gold Street was exiting back-to-back dirt sprint wins in the slop, and he just got out there and completely controlled the pace in this spot. My value top choice Lynn’s Map took up chasing duties because someone had to. Gold Street was in cruise control from start to finish and scored by a very comfortable 2+ lengths. Three Technique stalked from the outside post and was clearly second best in a solid effort. Shoplifted stalked the pace and was best of the rest in 3rd, and his stablemate Silver Prospector was 4th. Lynn’s Map weakened to 5th, and Shared Sense, Lykan, Jungle Runner, and Nucky completed the order of finish. The speed figure came back solid but there is a very good chance that this was not a strong race, at least when it comes to the Derby trail. My best guess is that the top two finishers are milers at best.
You can read the rest of this post on my Kentucky Derby 2020 page...
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race Video Series Featuring Holy Bull Stakes
Check out my Kentucky Derby 2020 points race video for Saturday (2-1-20) below! The three races covered in this video are Kentucky Derby 2020 points races.
Video by Jarrod Horak
Please visit The Runaway Horse Sales page to purchase my daily Santa Anita picks.
Video by Jarrod Horak
Please visit The Runaway Horse Sales page to purchase my daily Santa Anita picks.
Saturday, October 5, 2019
Dr. Atlas: Champagne Stakes 2019 Picks: Gozilla, Alpha Sixty Six, Tiz the Law, Green Light Go
Belmont Park (10/5/2019)
Race 10: Gr. I Champagne Stakes (8F on Dirt, $500,000 for 3yr Olds)
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race (10-4-2-1) - Check out our first Kentucky Derby 2020 blog post here!
1 – Alpha Sixty Six (5-1): The $400K purchase won here on September 7th and has two quality works since. Johnny V. will be in the saddle and he’s been red hot as of late winning races on both coasts. This is a horse that has the pedigree of a derby contender, so we’ll see what he does from the rail.
2 –Truculent (30-1): Get blinkers and moves back to the dirt for Jack Sisterton. The distance should not be a problem and I think this one could get better with age.
3 – Green Light Go (8-5): The morning line favorite has won two in a row for James Jerkens and should only improve with distance. He’s the only graded stakes winner in here and his Saratoga Stakes victory sure looked strong.
4 – Three Technique (7-2): Broke his maiden in his third start where he rallied from off the pace to win by five-plus lengths. Irad Ortiz will replace his brother. This guy was favored in each of his previous starts.
5 – Gozilla (6-1): Super impressive first time out at Saratoga then followed that up with a decent third in the Gr. I Hopeful. He may not have liked the track conditions that day and with his speed I think he has a great shot to rebound.
6 – Big City Bob (20-1): Has won two in a row for Jorge Duarte with her last coming over 8F. He won at big odds that day and the time was nothing impressive, so I think he has his work cut out for him.
7 – Tiz the Law (5-2): Won impressively first time out at Saratoga going 6.5F for Barclay Tagg (State-bred Md Sp Wt). He’s had four works since that race with two bullets and seems ready to roll for his second start.
Wagers:
#5 to win
Exacta Key 5 – 1,3
Exacta Key 1,3 – 5
Trifecta 1,3,5 – 1,3,5 – 2,7
Analysis by Dr. Atlas
Race 10: Gr. I Champagne Stakes (8F on Dirt, $500,000 for 3yr Olds)
Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race (10-4-2-1) - Check out our first Kentucky Derby 2020 blog post here!
1 – Alpha Sixty Six (5-1): The $400K purchase won here on September 7th and has two quality works since. Johnny V. will be in the saddle and he’s been red hot as of late winning races on both coasts. This is a horse that has the pedigree of a derby contender, so we’ll see what he does from the rail.
2 –Truculent (30-1): Get blinkers and moves back to the dirt for Jack Sisterton. The distance should not be a problem and I think this one could get better with age.
3 – Green Light Go (8-5): The morning line favorite has won two in a row for James Jerkens and should only improve with distance. He’s the only graded stakes winner in here and his Saratoga Stakes victory sure looked strong.
4 – Three Technique (7-2): Broke his maiden in his third start where he rallied from off the pace to win by five-plus lengths. Irad Ortiz will replace his brother. This guy was favored in each of his previous starts.
5 – Gozilla (6-1): Super impressive first time out at Saratoga then followed that up with a decent third in the Gr. I Hopeful. He may not have liked the track conditions that day and with his speed I think he has a great shot to rebound.
6 – Big City Bob (20-1): Has won two in a row for Jorge Duarte with her last coming over 8F. He won at big odds that day and the time was nothing impressive, so I think he has his work cut out for him.
7 – Tiz the Law (5-2): Won impressively first time out at Saratoga going 6.5F for Barclay Tagg (State-bred Md Sp Wt). He’s had four works since that race with two bullets and seems ready to roll for his second start.
Wagers:
#5 to win
Exacta Key 5 – 1,3
Exacta Key 1,3 – 5
Trifecta 1,3,5 – 1,3,5 – 2,7
Analysis by Dr. Atlas
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