Saturday, October 5, 2019

Dr. Atlas: Champagne Stakes 2019 Picks: Gozilla, Alpha Sixty Six, Tiz the Law, Green Light Go

Belmont Park (10/5/2019)

Race 10: Gr. I Champagne Stakes (8F on Dirt, $500,000 for 3yr Olds)

Kentucky Derby 2020 Points Race (10-4-2-1) - 
Check out our first Kentucky Derby 2020 blog post here!

1 – Alpha Sixty Six (5-1): The $400K purchase won here on September 7th and has two quality works since. Johnny V. will be in the saddle and he’s been red hot as of late winning races on both coasts.  This is a horse that has the pedigree of a derby contender, so we’ll see what he does from the rail.

2 –Truculent (30-1): Get blinkers and moves back to the dirt for Jack Sisterton.  The distance should not be a problem and I think this one could get better with age.

3 – Green Light Go (8-5): The morning line favorite has won two in a row for James Jerkens and should only improve with distance.  He’s the only graded stakes winner in here and his Saratoga Stakes victory sure looked strong.

4 – Three Technique (7-2): Broke his maiden in his third start where he rallied from off the pace to win by five-plus lengths.  Irad Ortiz will replace his brother.  This guy was favored in each of his previous starts.

5 – Gozilla (6-1): Super impressive first time out at Saratoga then followed that up with a decent third in the Gr. I Hopeful.  He may not have liked the track conditions that day and with his speed I think he has a great shot to rebound.

6 – Big City Bob (20-1): Has won two in a row for Jorge Duarte with her last coming over 8F.  He won at big odds that day and the time was nothing impressive, so I think he has his work cut out for him.

7 – Tiz the Law (5-2): Won impressively first time out at Saratoga going 6.5F for Barclay Tagg (State-bred Md Sp Wt).  He’s had four works since that race with two bullets and seems ready to roll for his second start.    

Wagers:

#5 to win
Exacta Key 5 – 1,3
Exacta Key 1,3 – 5
Trifecta 1,3,5 – 1,3,5 – 2,7

Analysis by Dr. Atlas

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