Saturday, December 31, 2016

Kentucky Derby 2017 Update: Mastery Ends 2016 On Top

Mastery finishes the year as my top ranked Kentucky Derby 2017 contender. He has been on top of the heap since Nov 18 and capped off a perfect 3-for-3 juvenile campaign with a 7-1/4 length romp in the Grade I CashCall Futurity at Los Alamitos Race Course on Dec 10.



Classic Empire sits atop many Derby lists and rightfully so. The BC Juvenile hero will likely be named 2-year-old champ and is spending the winter in Florida.

This is my tenth and final Derby update this year and there are no changes to the Top 11 this week. I did add impressive maiden winner Iliad to the “next nine.” He got a 92 BSF in a 6f special weight win at Los Alamitos Race Course on Dec 18 for trainer Bob Baffert.


Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders (Updated 12-31-16)

#1 - MASTERY

#2 - Classic Empire

#3 - Three Rules

#4 - Gormley

#5 - Beach Bum

#6 - Royal Mo

#7 - McCracken

#8 - Klimt

#9 - Takaful

#10 - Theory

#11 - Practical Joke


You can read my entire Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards

Saturday, December 17, 2016

Kentucky Derby 2017 Update: Mastery Aces Test in G1 Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity

My top ranked Kentucky Derby 2017 contender Mastery passed his first two turn test and ran his record to 3-for-3 with a 7-1/4 length triumph in the Grade I CashCall Futurity at Los Alamitos Race Course on Saturday, December 10, 2016.




How good is Mastery and is he a legitimate Kentucky Derby contender? He is obviously talented after a trio of easy wins at three different venues (SA, DMR, LRC) to begin his career. His 91 BSF for his Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity romp was okay but hardly stellar. He will need to improve next year to be considered a viable threat in the Triple Crown series but he has done nothing wrong so far and has all of the attributes of a quality horse (strong connections, nice pedigree, winning spirit, and a fine blend of speed/stamina).  


Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders (Updated 12-17-16)

#1 - MASTERY

#2 - Classic Empire

#3 - Three Rules

#4 - Gormley

#5 - Beach Bum

#6 - Royal Mo

#7 - McCracken

#8 - Klimt

#9 - Takaful

#10 - Theory

#11 - Practical Joke


You can read my entire Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards

Handicapping video of the week: Winter Challenge featuring California Chrome

California Chrome’s lucrative career on the racetrack is winding down. The all-time North American money leader is expected to make his final career start in the Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, January 28, 2017. He tunes up for the Pegasus in the Winter Challenge at his Los Alamitos home base later today, and it looks like a walk in the park.




***My full meet, monthly, and weekend packages for the upcoming Santa Anita Park meet are available now at WinningHorsePicks.com

Saturday, December 10, 2016

Handicapping video of the week: Remington Springboard Mile

For this week's handicapping video, we venture to Oklahoma for the $300,000 Springboard Mile at Remington Park for 2-year-olds traveling one mile on the main track (Race 11 - Sunday, Dec. 11). 

Morning line favorite Cool Arrow drew post twelve and will try to navigate two turns for the first time, He won the Kip Deville at Remington Sep 25 and looms a pace factor at the very least.

If Cool Arrow fails to stay the trip, look for Young American to arrive on the scene late. The latter looked good breaking his maiden at Churchill Downs on Nov 26. 

Other contenders include Totality, Prados Way, and Equator for trainer Steve Asmussen.

Kentucky Derby 2017 update: G1 Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity preview

Later today at Los Alamitos Race Course, my top ranked Kentucky Derby 2017 contender Mastery makes his much anticipated first start around two turns in the Grade I Los Alamitos Futurity.



Mastery easily captured both of his dirt sprint starts in wire-to-wire fashion including the Grade 3 Bob Hope at Del Mar on Nov 19. He only faces four rivals at Los Al and debut maiden sprint winner Bobby Abu Dhabi might be able to give him an early test.

Dangerfield, a distant 3rd last time in the G3 Delta Jackpot is also entered, along with debut route winner Show Me Da Lute (trained by Bob Baffert) and maiden Irap.


Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders (Updated 12-11-16)

#1 - MASTERY

#2 - Classic Empire

#3 - Three Rules

#4 - Gormley

#5 - Beach Bum

#6 - Royal Mo

#7 - McCracken

#8 - Klimt

#9 - Takaful

#10 - Theory

#11 - Silver Assault


You can read my entire Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards

Del Mar Fall Meet 2016 Rewind (Dec 1-4)

The 2016 Del Mar fall meet has come to an end. I will take a few weeks off to recharge the batteries and my full card analysis will resume at Santa Anita Park on Dec 26...Happy Holidays!



Thursday DEL MAR Recap: Dec 1

Fast main track and firm turf course at Del Mar on Thursday. There was one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (6f). The winning turf course running styles were a closer at one mile and a stalker at five furlongs (rail at 24 feet).

Fernando Perez booted home a pair.

Friday DEL MAR Recap: Dec 2

Fast main track and firm turf course at Del Mar on Friday. Three wire-to-wire winners at one mile on dirt. The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner at five furlongs, a closer at one mile, and a patient runner at eleven furlongs.

Kent Desormeaux guided home three turf winners. Bill Morey saddled three winners and Kent D rode two.

Saturday DEL MAR Recap: Dec 3

Fast main track and firm turf course at Del Mar on Saturday. Only one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (6.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner at 8.5 furlongs, a front runner at five furlongs, a patient runner at nine furlongs, and a stalker at one mile.

Javier Castellano and Martin Pedroza both booted home a pair. Bob Baffert saddled two winners.

Sunday DEL MAR Recap: Dec 4

Fast main track and firm turf course at Del Mar on Sunday. Two wire-to-wire winners at 6.5 furlongs on dirt. The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at five furlongs, a front runner at one mile, a dueling front runner at nine furlongs, a stalker at one mile, and a closer at one mile.

Kent Desormeaux and Irad Ortiz Jr. both booted home a pair. Edgar Prado and Graham Motion teamed up for two turf wins including Miss Temple City in the G1 Matriarch.

Sunday, December 4, 2016

Kentucky Derby 2017 Update: Remsen/Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes recap

Three of my exceptional eleven Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders were in action last weekend including Kentucky Jockey Club hero McCraken.




McCraken ran his record to 3-for-3 at Churchill Downs and picked up ten Derby points en route to a 9th-to-1st (1.25 lengths clear) score in the Kentucky Jockey Club. He ran down game early runner Wild Shot and garnered an 86 BSF. Warrior’s Club headed Uncontested for the show.

At the Big A on Saturday, Mo Town got the jump on No Dozing (wide throughout from post 9) to take the G2 Remsen by 2.5 lengths (86 BSF). The winner did nothing wrong but the 2-3 finishers might be worth following. Takaful, 3rd after setting the pace, was making just his second career start and first around two turns for McLaughlin. He went fast early, rated kindly on the lead in the middle, and came up empty in the lane (beaten 6 lengths).  


Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders (Updated 12-4-16)

#1 - MASTERY

#2 - Classic Empire

#3 - Three Rules

#4 - Gormley

#5 - Beach Bum

#6 - Royal Mo

#7 - McCracken

#8 - Klimt

#9 - Takaful

#10 - Theory

#11 - Silver Assault


You can read my entire Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards

Handicapping video of the week: G1 Matriarch with Miss Temple City

Miss Temple City takes on eleven rivals in Sunday's G1 Matriarch at Del Mar and she will break from the far outside post. Is the Keeneland specialist a lock or can someone jump up and bite her?


Del Mar 2016 Fall Meet Rewind (Nov 24-27)

With one week to go in the Del Mar 2016 fall meet, Peter Miller won't stop saddling winners and jockey Drayden Van Dyke surged with a riding triple on Friday and a stakes double on Saturday. 



Thursday DEL MAR Recap: Nov 24
Fast main track and firm turf course at Del Mar on Thursday. Four wire-to-wire winners on dirt (7f, 8f, 6f, 5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at one mile, a closer at five furlongs, and a stalker at eleven furlongs (rail at 18 feet).

Norberto Arroyo Jr. booted home three winners. Peter Miller saddled three more winners and Arroyo rode two.

Friday DEL MAR Recap: Nov 25

Fast main track and firm turf course at Del Mar on Friday. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6f, 8f). The winning turf course running styles were a closer at one mile, a dueling front runner at five furlongs, a stalker at twelve furlongs, and a patient runner at one mile.

Hat trick for Drayden Van Dyke.


You can read the rest of my Del Mar Report at The Runaway Horse...

Saturday, November 26, 2016

Kentucky Derby 2017 Update: Remsen/Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes Preview

My top ranked Kentucky Derby 2017 contender Mastery made short work of his four rivals in last weekend’s Grade III Bob Hope at Del Mar.



Just like his winning debut, Mastery was in complete control throughout and easily swatted away seasoned CA-bred sprinter California Diamond. Pace frequently makes the speed figure and since there was none the final number came back a modest 86. We will learn much more when the Baffert trainee stretches out in the G1 CashCall Futurity at Los Al on Dec 10.

In the $1 million Delta Jackpot, post time favorite Gunnevera got pace help as expected in an easy last-to-first triumph over dueling early runner Hot Sean. The winning BSF came back 87 and since there was a contested pace it would have been nice to see a higher final number.

There are two Derby points races on the docket for Nov 26 beginning with the Grade II Remsen at Aqueduct. Much like the G3 Bob Hope, we have a flashy debut winner (Takaful) taking on a seasoned rival with stakes experience (No Dozing). There are other contenders in the 10-horse field but it would take a big effort to knock off the aforementioned dynamic duo.

At Churchill Downs, a dozen juveniles take center stage in the Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes and all eyes are on undefeated McCraken. The well-bred colt should get more than enough pace help and looks tough to deny.


Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders (Updated 11-26-16)

#1 - MASTERY

#2 - Classic Empire

#3 - Three Rules

#4 - Gormley

#5 - Takaful

#6 - Beach Bum

#7 - Klimt

#8 - Theory

#9 - Royal Mo

#10 - Silver Assault

#11 McCraken

You can read my entire Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards

Del Mar 2016 Fall Meet Rewind (Nov 17-20)

The 2016 Del Mar Fall Meet is in full swing and hot trainer Peter Miller finished out the second week with two wins on the 19th and three more on the 20th.



Thursday DEL MAR Recap: Nov 17

Fast main track and firm turf course at Del Mar on Thursday. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (5.5f, 8f). The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at 8 furlongs, a front runner at one mile, and a stalker at 8.5 furlongs (rail at 24 feet).

Fernando Perez and Flavien Prat both booted home a pair. Richard Baltas saddled two flat mile turf winners.

Friday DEL MAR Recap: Nov 18

Fast main track and firm turf course at Del Mar on Friday. Just one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (8f). The winning turf course running styles were a  patient runner at one mile, a dueling front runner at five furlongs, and a stalker at one mile (rail at 24 feet).

Drayden Van Dyke booted home a pair.

Marckie’s Water (even 4th in 8th race) ran much better on turf second time out (stalked inside, edged for 3rd).


You can read the rest of my Del Mar Report at The Runaway Horse...

Saturday, November 19, 2016

Kentucky Derby 2017 Update: Delta Jackpot/Bob Hope Preview

A couple of graded stakes races on Nov. 19 could have Kentucky Derby 2017 implications beginning with the Grade III Bob Hope at Del Mar.



My brand new top ranked Derby contender Mastery is the strong 4-5 favorite in the Bob Hope. He looked outstanding throughout in his six furlong debut and is expected to target the CashCall Futurity at Los Alamitos in December if everything goes well at Del Mar on Saturday.

There appears to be plenty of early pace in the Grade III Delta Jackpot and if that scenario plays out on the racetrack, watch out for stretch runners Gunnevera and J Boys Echo.


Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders (Updated 11-18-16)

#1 - MASTERY

#2 - Not This Time

#3 - Classic Empire

#4 - Three Rules

#5 - Gormley

#6 - Takaful

#7 - Beach Bum

#8 - Klimt

#9 - Theory

#10 - Royal Mo

#11 - Silver Assault

You can read my entire Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards

Del Mar Fall Meet Rewind (Nov 11-13)

The 2016 fall meet at Del Mar is underway and Flavien Prat posted back-to-back riding doubles on Nov 11-12.



Friday DEL MAR Recap: Nov 11

Fast main track and firm turf course at Del Mar on Friday. Three wire-to-wire winners on dirt (8f, 5.5f, 6f). The winning turf course running styles were a closer at one mile, a closer at nine furlongs, and a front runner in the Kathryn Crosby at 8.5 furlongs (rail at 12 feet).

Santiago Gonzalez and Flavien Prat both booted home a pair. Richard Baltas saddled two winners.

R4 winner Mo’vette ($24.40) scored as my value top (Sire: Uncle Mo). Santiago Gonzalez rode the winner for Richard Baltas.

R8 Kathryn Crosby runner-up Keri Belle (no pace help). Her trainer John Shirreffs is getting good horses in his barn again like promising juveniles Gormley and Royal Mo. The latter was up for the place after a bad start in his last and won't be a maiden much longer.


You can read the rest of my Del Mar Report at The Runaway Horse...

Kentucky Derby 2017 update: Breeders' Cup Juvenile recap

Early Kentucky Derby 2017 favorite Classic Empire stalked, pounced, and held off Not This Time to capture the 2016 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Santa Anita Park on Saturday, November 5.




The aforementioned BC Juvenile also attracted Grade 1 winners Gormley, Klimt, and Practical Joke, but they were no match for Classic Empire and Not This Time. The aforementioned dynamic duo were well clear of show finisher Practical Joke and the Juvenile Beyer Speed Figure came back a very good 102. 

You can read my entire Breeders' Cup Juvenile 2016 update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards

Friday, November 11, 2016

Video race of the week: 2016 Red Smith Handicap with Wake Forest

Wake Forest is the 8-5 morning line favorite in Saturday's G3 Red Smith Handicap at Aqueduct. Can anyone beat him? I sure hope so! Watch my video analysis below for contenders and wagering strategies.


Santa Anita Track Bias Report 2016 (Nov 3-6)

Closing week at Santa Anita was also Breeders' Cup week. Mike Smith capped off an outstanding Breeders' Cup with a very smart victory aboard Arrogate in the BC Classic. He was much the best over California Chrome and it looks as though the torch has been passed in the Handicap Division.



Thursday Santa Anita Recap: November 3

Fast main track and firm turf course at Santa Anita Park. Only one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (6.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner down the hill, a downhill stalker, and a stalker at one mile (rail at 30 feet).

Kent Desormeaux booted home a pair. Training doubles for Phil D’Amato, Peter Miller, and Doug O’Neill.


You can read the rest of my Santa Santa Park report at The Runaway Horse...

Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Kentucky Derby 2017 update: Breeders' Cup Juvenile preview

The 2016 Breeders' Cup Juvenile will be run later this weekend at Santa Anita Park and seven of my Top 11 Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders are entered. 



Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders (Updated 10-29-16)

#1 - Silver Assault

#2 - Klimt

#3 - Not This Time

#4 - Three Rules

#5 - Theory

#6 - Gormley

#7 - Classic Empire 

#8 - Straight Fire

#9 - Favorable Outcome

#10 - Mastery

#11 - Term of Art

You can read my entire Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards

Breeders' Cup Juvenile 2016 video preview

The 2016 Breeders' Cup Juvenile is shaping up as a competitive race with a good mix of speed horses, stalkers, and closers.

Syndergaard and Gormley are the early threats and the latter has the home court advantage following a wire job win in the G1 FrontRunner. Undefeated Gulfstream shipper Three Rules should be forwardly placed as well.

Klimt, the FrontRunner runner-up, should be stalking the pace for trainer Bob Baffert. G1 Breeders' Futurity hero Classic Empire and Theory, 2-for-2 at six furlongs for trainer Todd Pletcher, should also be tracking the front runners.

If the early pace heats up, look for Churchill Downs shipper Not This Time to pick up the pieces.


Santa Anita Park Track Bias Report (Oct 27-30)

The final week of live racing before the 2016 Breeders' Cup is in the books. Kent Desormeaux was the riding star of the week!



Thursday Santa Anita Recap: October 27

Fast main track and firm turf course at Santa Anita Park. Only one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (one mile). The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner at nine furlongs and a patient runner at one mile (rail at 30 feet).

Kent Desormeaux guided home two winners.

Friday Santa Anita Recap: October 28

Fast main track and firm turf course at Santa Anita Park. Three wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6f, 8,5f, 6f). The lone turf race was captured by a downhill stalker (rail at 30 feet).

Rafael Bejarano guided home three winners. Bob Baffert saddled two winners and Bejarano rode both.


You can read the rest of my Santa Santa Park report at The Runaway Horse...

Saturday, October 29, 2016

Santa Anita Park Report (October 14-23)

We are a few weeks into the Santa Anita fall meet and once again it is time to catch up with jockey-trainer leaders + track bias information.



On the jockey front, Rafael Bejarano, Tyler Baze and Tiago Pereira are going great guns, and trainer Bob Baffert unveiled promising juvenile Mastery on Oct 22.

Friday SANTA ANITA Recap: October 14

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6f, 8f). The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at one mile and two stalkers at nine furlongs (rail at 30 feet).

Tyler Baze and Jeff Mullins teamed up for two wins. Richard Baltas saddled two winners.

Saturday SANTA ANITA Recap: October 15

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (7f, 8.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at one mile, a dueling front runner down the hill, and a midpack stalker at one mile (rail at 20 feet).

Two more wins for Tyler Baze (riding doubles Oct 10, Oct 14-15). Bill Spawr saddled two winners.


You can read the rest of my Santa Santa Park report at The Runaway Horse...

Video Race of the Week - 2016 Fayette Stakes featuring 6-5 favorite Noble Bird

Noble Bird is the 6-5 favorite and the one to catch in the Grade 2 Fayette Stakes at Keeneland on Saturday, October 29, 2016. Can anyone beat him?


Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update (10-12-16)

The 2016 FrontRunner, Champagne, and Breeders’ Futurity are in books and that means it is time for another Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update.



Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders (Updated 10-12-16)

#1 - Silver Assault

#2 - Klimt

#3 - Not This Time

#4 - Three Rules

#5 - Straight Fire

#6 - Theory 

#7 - Gormley

#8 - Classic Empire 

#9 - Favorable Outcome

#10 - Big Gray Rocket

#11 - Term of Art

You can read my entire Kentucky Derby 2017 contenders update blog at The Runaway Horse.

* Churchill Downs photo by Stacy Edwards

Santa Anita Park report (10-12-16)

It is time to catch up with leading jockey, trainer, and track bias information for the current 2016 fall race meeting at Santa Anita Park. Norberto Arroyo Jr. and Peter Miller are off and running!



Friday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: September 30

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6f, 7f). The winning turf course running styles were a downhill closer, a flat mile stalker, a downhill stalker, and another downhill stalker (rail at 10 feet).

Hat trick for Kent Desormeaux.

Saturday SANTA ANITA PARK Recap: October 1

Fast main track and firm turf course. Early-pressing types strong on dirt with three wire-to-wire winners  (5.5f, 8.5f, 9f). The winning turf course running styles were a flat mile stalker, a flat mile closer, a ten furlong wire job, and a downhill wire job.

Four wins for jockey Victor Espinoza (3 Grade 1 wins). Rafael Bejarano booted home a pair. Bob Baffert saddled two winners.

You can read the rest of my Santa Santa Park report at The Runaway Horse...

Saturday, October 1, 2016

Kentucky Derby 2016 Contenders: The First Step

Kentucky Derby 2017 is right around the corner. Well, not quite, but we are well into the month of September and it is time to roll out my annual Derby contenders list. 



Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2017 Contenders

#1 - Silver Assault

#2 - Klimt

#3 - Not This Time

#4 - Three Rules

#5 - Straight Fire

#6 - Plum Dandy

#7 - Favorable Outcome

#8 - Big Gray Rocket

#9 - Term of Art

#10 - Theory

#11 - Vibe

You can read my entire first Kentucky Derby 2017 blog at The Runaway Horse. 

* Nyquist photo by Stacy Edwards

Saturday, August 27, 2016

Del Mar recap + Travers 2016 video

In case you missed it at The Runaway Horse, here is my Del Mar recap followed by my Travers 2016 video analysis.



Del Mar Weekly Recap (Aug 17-21)

Wednesday, August 17

Fast main track and firm turf course. One wire-to-wire winner in the 5.5f opener on dirt. The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at five furlongs, a stalker at 8.5f, and a stalker at one mile (rail at 30 feet).

Two turf wins for jockey Jamie Theriot.

Tara's Tango returned from a vacation and turned back in distance to take the G3 Rancho Bernardo Handicap for Martin Garcia and Jerry Hollendorfer. She will probably return to the route game in the near future.

Thursday, August 18

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (5.5f, 8f). The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at one mile, a  patient runner at one mile, and a stalker at eleven furlongs (rail at 30 feet).

Flavien Prat and Phil D’Amato teamed up for two turf wins.

Friday, August 19

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners at 5.5f on dirt. The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at 8.5f, a patient midpack runner at one mile, and a stalker at eleven furlongs (rail at 30 feet).

Rafael Bejarano and Iggy Puglisi both booted home a pair.

Frenzified enjoyed the eleven furlong turf jouney and picked up her first US win in the CTT and TOC Handicap. Santiago Gonzalez rode the winner for James Cassidy.

Saturday, August 20

Fast main track and firm turf course. California Chrome was the only wire-to-wire main track winner on Pacific Classic Day. The winning turf course running styles were a last-to-first closer at 8.5f, a patient runner at 9f, a forwardly placed runner at 11f, and a patient runner at a flat mile.

Martin Garcia and Gary Stevens both booted home a pair.

The highly anticipated Pacific Classic was over as soon as they broke from the gate. For some inexplicable reason, the competition, notably Dortmund and Beholder, let California Chrome coast along on an uncontested lead through moderate splits and the outcome was eerily similar to Game On Dude's Pacific Classic romp in 2013.

The no passing zone signs were out in full force as Beholder chased throughout in second with Dortmund (3rd), Hoppertunity (4th), Dalmore (5th), and Imperative (6th) all basically running in place from start to finish.

Come on guys, at least make Chrome break a sweat and work hard for the money like Luis Saez and Go Maggie Go did in the Alabama. Saez went right after Songbird from the start and made her earn the win and she did just that but at least it was a horse race instead of a coronation.

My top choices suffered tough losses in the other two stakes races. Stays in Vegas appeared home free in the Del Mar Oaks but Harmonize and Decked Out both nipped her in the very late stages.

In the Del Mar Handicap, Ashleyluvssugar had a clear lead and held off my charging top Metaboss to win by a desperate nose. Gary Stevens stole this one and the beats do not come tougher than this!

Sunday, August 21

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to--wire winners on dirt (5.5f, 6f). The winning turf course running styles were a front runner at one mile, a stalker at 8.5 furlongs, and patient runner at five furlongs.  

Hat trick for Rafael Bejarano. Two wins for Stewart Elliott. Phil D'Amato and Chris Hartman both saddled two winners.

Midnight Storm is fast and sharp and went all the way in the G2 Del Mar Mile, holding off Om by a 1/2 length and earning a 106 BSF. The latter ran a big race off the bench and the top two were well clear of show finisher Ohio.

TRAVERS 2016 VIDEO ANALYSIS

Saturday, August 20, 2016

Del Mar's Pacific Classic 2016 video preview featuring California Chrome, Beholder, and Dortmund

In case you missed it at The Runaway Horse, here is my Del Mar week 5 recap + Pacific Classic video preview.



Wednesday, August 10

Fast main track and firm turf course. Three wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6f, 6f, 6.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at five furlongs, a front runner at one mile, a patient runner at one mile, and and a stalker at 8.5f (rail at 30 feet).

Kent Desormeaux, Santiago Gonzalez, and Flavien Prat each booted home a pair.

Thursday, August 11

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (8f, 5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a front runner at one mile, a patient runner at one mile, and and a stalker at five furlongs (rail at 30 feet).

Rafael Bejarano booted home a pair on turf. Mike Puype saddled two winners at one mile on dirt.

Friday, August 12

Fast main track and firm turf course. Only one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner at one mile, a stalker at one mile, and a patient runner at five furlongs (rail at 12 feet).

Norberto Arroyo Jr. booted home a pair.

Why Two stalked, pounced, and kicked away to win the Green Flash Handcap by a length and a half for Arroya/Machowsky. My top choice Richard's Boy was 2nd and 55-1 outsider Horse Laugh was up for the show.

Saturday, August 13

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (5.5f, 6.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at 8.5f, a closer at 8.5f, and patient runner at eleven furlongs, and a front runner at nine furlongs (rail at 12 feet).

Santiago Gonzalez guided home four winners. Rafael Bejarano rode three winners and Tyler Baze booted home a pair.

Baffert first timer Big Gray Rocket took a ton of money in the 7th race but blew the break and ended up 2nd behind 14-1 LA-bred debut winner Superior Status (Baze/Mullins). One race later, Baffert the prize he really wanted when Klimt easily captured the G2 Best Pal Stakes over Big League and Thirstforlife.

Sunday, August 14

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners at 5.5 furlongs on dirt. The winning turf course running styles were a front runner at five furlongs, a stalker at one mile, a front runner at one mile, and a stalker at one mile (rail at 12 feet).

Rafael Bejarano and Flavien Prat both booted home a pair.

Bob Baffert was at in again on Sunday with smart debut 2-year-old filly winner American Gal. Fellow first timer Partyinthepaddock was clearly second best and another Baffert firster Facts of Life was along for the show.

My Sunday Best Bet Majestic Heat did not have an easy go of it but she did hold on by a nose from the outside post in the Solana Beach Handicap. 14-1 longshot Tiz a Kiss just missed and second betting choice Singing Kitty checked in 3rd.

Pacific Classic Video Analysis

This is the race we have been waiting for! Defending champion Beholder will take on California Chrome and Dortmund in what figures to be an outstanding renewal of the Pacific Classic. The supporting stakes on Saturday are the G2 Del Mar Handicap and G1 Del Mar Oaks.

The G2 Del Mar Mile on Sunday, Aug 21 wraps up the biggest graded stakes weekend of the meet.

Saturday, August 13, 2016

2016 Secretariat Stakes handicapping video featuring Beach Patrol and Long Island Sound

The Grade I Secretariat Stakes from Arlington Park attracted a nine horse field including likely favorites Beach Patrol and Long Island Sound.


Del Mar week 4 recap: Exciting juveniles Champagne Room, Straight Fire impress

In case you missed it at The Runaway Horse, here is my week four recap from Del Mar.



Wednesday, August 3

Fast main track and firm turf course. Three wire-to-wire winners on dirt (5.5f, 8f, 5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner at five furlongs and a stalker sitting in 3rd behind a runaway early leader at one mile (rail at 30 feet).

No riding or training doubles on Wednesday.

Green With Eddie ($4.60) pressed the pace from the outside post and kicked away to post a 3-1/2 length win in the Graduation Stakes for Mario Gutierrez, Doug O'Neill, and Reddam Racing. California Diamond was 2nd and Milton Freewater (also O'Neill) was another length back in 3rd.

Thursday, August 4

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners late in the card (6th and 8th races) on dirt (6f, 5f). The winning turf course running styles were a pace presser at five furlongs and a stalker at a mile and a sixteenth (rail at 30 feet).

Santiago Gonzalez and Wesley Ward teamed up for two turf wins.

Arrogate auditioned for the Travers against two rivals and was a very comfortable 1-3/4 length winner under Rafael Bejarano after sitting at the back of the compact field for the first half-mile or so. The Baffert/Juddmonte runner is lightly raced and talented.

Friday, August 5

Fast main track and firm turf course. Three wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6.5f, 5.5f, 5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a midpack stalker at 8.5f, an outside stalker at one mile, and an inside stalker at five furlongs (rail at 18 feet).

No riding or training doubles on Friday.

So Sweetitiz stalked and pounced her way to a 4-1 victory in the Daisyutter Handicap under leading rider Flavien Prat. Late Spring got 2nd by a head over Long Hot Summer. Post time favorite and defending champ Shrinking Violet stalked and weakened to finish 7th. She is in foal to American Pharoah.

Saturday, August 6

Fast main track and firm turf course. Only one wire-to-wire winner on dirt (Straight Fire – 6.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a front runner at 8.5f, a stalker at a flat mile, a front runner at one mile, and a front runner at 8.5f (rail at 18 feet).

Kent Desormeaux and Joe Talamo both booted home a pair.

Champagne Room got the better of Miss Southern Miss in the G2 Sorrento with front runner Auntjenn checking in 3rd. The winner was graduating in her second career start and the top two finishers should both get better as distances increase.

Straight Fire put on a show for Team Desormeaux in his fast, romping maiden win at six and one-half furlongs. The aforementioned Sorrento girls stopped the clock in 1:16.35 and the son of Dominus got the same distance in 1:14.94 (98 BSF).

Speed was strong on turf and Free Rose ($59.80) took full advantage in the G3 La Jolla for Talamo/Baltas. Lucky Bryan was 2nd and Moonlight Drive was 3rd. Monster Bea, the upset winner of the Oceanside, ended up an even 4th as the overbet favorite.

Sunday, August 7

Fast main track and firm turf course. No wire-to-wire winners on dirt. The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at five furlongs, a patient runner at 8.5f, and a stalker at one mile (rail at 18 feet). 

Hat trick for Rafael Bejarano.

Noted and Quoted ran into subsequent G2 Sorrento winner Champagne Room in her debut and had no trouble graduating (1st by 9.5 lengths) second time out for Bejarano/Baffert.

Sobradora Inc ($20.40) made her US debut a winning one for Bejarano/Callaghan in a competitive renewal of the Osunitas. The pace fell apart in this one and the winner was able to outfinish Prize Exhibit by a 1/2 length with Elektrum another head back in 3rd.

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If you are interested in full card analysis, I am selling DEL MAR full cards each weekend at The Runaway Horse. You can check out full card recaps with highlights on our What You Missed page.


I also post free daily tickets from DEL MAR at Pick 6 Blog. You can also read my recaps at Pick 6 Blog.  

Photo by Stacy Edwards

Saturday, August 6, 2016

2016 West Virginia Derby video featuring Cupid and Suddenbreakingnews

The 2016 edition of the Grade 2 West Virginia Derby features two strong contenders with very different running styles.

Morning line favorite Cupid likes to get involved from the opening bell and figures to do just that from the inside post. He might get brave if able to sneak away early.

Likely second betting choice Suddenbreakingnews likes to sit at the back of the pack and make a big late run. He owns a powerful kick when on his game and is training well for this event.

Mo Tom and Economic Model were expected to take betting action but both horses have been scratched.

Tuesday, August 2, 2016

Del Mar week 3 recap: Stellar Wind beats Beholder and American Cleopatra wins debut

The third week of live racing is in the books at Del Mar and highlights included Stellar Wind upending Beholder in the Clement L Hirsch and American Pharaoh's sister American Cleopatra winning her debut.



Wednesday, July 27

Fast main track and firm turf course. The dirt speed bias that appeared on Sunday, July 17 finally disappeared. There were no wire-to-wire winners on the dirt oval Wednesday. The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at five furlongs and a closer at 8.5 furlongs (rail at 24 feet).

Rafael Bejarano booted home a pair.

Gold Rush Dancer made a smooth transition from turf-to-dirt to capture the Real Good Deal Stakes at odds of 14-1 under jockey Flavien Prat. Tough it Out was 2nd and Mrazek finished 3rd.

I got home the late Pick 4 on July 27 at Pick 6 Blog. The winning .50 cent Late Pick 4 ticket paid $588.55.

Thursday, July 28

Fast main track and firm turf course. Forwardly placed runners performed well on dirt and there was one wire job winner in the 5.5f finale. The winning turf course running styles were a dueling early runner at five furlongs, a patient type at one mile, and another patient runner at eleven furlongs (rail at 24 feet).

I am offering Del Mar weekend full cards and they are available to purchase on The Runaway Horse Sales Page.

I am also posting daily free Del Mar picks on The Runaway Horse Free Picks Page and bonus free Del Mar plays here.

Friday, July 29

Fast main track and firm turf course. Forwardly placed runners performed well on dirt and there was one wire job winner at 5.5f. The winning turf course running styles were a dueling early runner at one mile, a stalker at a mile and a sixteenth, and a front runner at a mile and a sixteenth (rail at 12 feet).

Three wins for leading rider Flavien Prat. Jamie Theriot booted home a pair.

You're Late beat Love a Honeybadger and race favorite My California in the CTBA Stakes. Stewart Elliott rode the winner for Jeff Bonde.

With Honors (Keith Desormeaux) and Elwood J (Jerry Hollendofer) both looked good winning juvenile races on Friday.

Saturday, July 30

Fast main track and firm turf course. Four wire-to-wire winners on dirt (5.5f, 5.5f, 8f, 5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner at 9f, a front runner at five furlongs, and a closer at one mile (rail at 12 feet).

Tyler Baze and Victor Espinoza both booted home a pair.

An impressive maiden win turned in by Big League in the 3rd race. What'sontheagenda was a clear 2nd and Blame Joe was up for the show. Peter Miller trains the winner for Rockingham Ranch.

Trainer Jeff Bonde won another 2-year-old filly race with Miss Sunset.

Stellar Wind turned the tables on Beholder in a stellar renewal of the G1 Clement L. Hirsch. Beholder looked like the controlling speed on paper but Victor Espinoza put Stellar Wind in the race earlier and that made all the difference.

Sunday, July 31

Fast main track and firm turf course. Forwardly placed runners performed well on dirt with two wire-to-wire winners (5.5f, 6.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner at 9f, a stalker at one mile, and a midpack stalker at 5f (rail at 12 feet). 

Stewart Elliott booted home a pair. Bob Baffert saddled three winners and Elliott rode two. 

American Pharoah's juvenile sister American Cleopatra was seemingly dead on the board at 7-1 but that did not stop her from going virtually wire-to-wire and easily graduating in her debut. Everybody was so focused on the winner after the race that they forgot about the excellent effort turned in by runner-up Union Strike. The Union Rags first timer broke slow and showed professionalism while racing along the inside, splitting horses in traffic, and finishing a clear 2nd after finding racing room in the lane.

Lord Nelson sat a perfect outside stalking trip en route to an easy four length score in the G1 Bing Crosby. He has turned into one of the top sprinters in the country for Bob Baffert.

* American Pharoah photo by Stacy Edwards

Saturday, July 30, 2016

Jim Dandy and Haskell handicapping video featuring Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist

The winners of all three Triple Crown series 2016 races are back in action this weekend at Saratoga and Monmouth.

In the Jim Dandy Stakes at Saratoga on July 30, Belmont Stakes 1-2 finishers Creator and Destin square off again with the latter holding the tactical edge.

Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist and Preakness winner Exaggerator continue their rivalry in Sunday's Haskell Invitational on July 31.


Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Del Mar Thoroughbred Club week 2 recap (July 20-24)

Two weeks down and eight live racing days are in the books at Del Mar. There is a good rider race brewing at this early stage with Santiago Gonzalez and Flavien Prat tied at the top of the heap (10 wins each). 



Wednesday DEL MAR Recap: July 20

Fast main track and firm turf course. Three wire-to-wire sprint winners on the speed favoring dirt oval (6.5f, 7f, 5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were an outside stalker at five furlongs and a patient stalker behind dueling speedsters at nine furlongs (rail at 30 feet).

No riding/training doubles on Wednesday.

Thursday DEL MAR Recap: July 21

Fast main track and firm turf course. Three wire-to-wire winners on the speed favoring dirt oval (5f, 8f, 5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at nine furlongs, a patient type at one mile, and a closer at 8.5f (rail at 30 feet).

Santiago Gonzalez booted home a pair. Richard Baltas saddled two winners.

Friday DEL MAR Recap: July 22 

Fast main track and firm turf course. One wire-to-wire winner on the dirt oval (7f). Stalking types won the other four main track races. The winning turf course running styles were a stalker at five furlongs, a front runner at eleven furlongs, and  and a closer at one mile (rail at 6 feet).

Tyler Baze and Flavien Prat both booted home a pair.

Saturday DEL MAR Recap: July 23 

Fast main track and firm turf course. Four more wire-to-wire winners on the speed favoring dirt oval (6f, 6.5f, 6f, 7f). Stalking types won the other two main track races. The winning turf course running styles were a dueling early runner at 8.5f, two closers at one mile, and a closer at 8.5f (rail at 6 feet).

Victor Espinoza and Martin Pedroza both booted home a pair. Mark Glatt saddled two winners.

Sunday DEL MAR Recap: July 24

Fast main track and firm turf course. Three more wire-to-wire winners on the dirt oval (5.5f, 12f, 5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a front runner at one mile, a patient type at one mile, a closer at 8.5f, and a front runner at one mile (rail at 6 feet).

Santiago Gonzalez rode three winners. Flavien Prat and Joe Talamo both booted home a pair.

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If you are interested in full card analysis, I am selling DEL MAR full cards each weekend at The Runaway Horse. You can check out full card recaps with highlights on our What You Missed page.


I also post free daily tickets from DEL MAR at Pick 6 Blog. You can also read my recaps at Pick 6 Blog.  

Photo by Stacy Edwards

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Handicapping stakes video: Grade I Diana from Saratoga with Miss Temple City & Wekeela

My video feature race of the week for Saturday, July 23 is the Grade I Diana from Saratoga Race Course. Miss Temple City returns from Royal Ascot and takes on four Chad Brown runners including G1 Gamely runner-up Wekeela.


Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Del Mar opening week recap (July 15-17)

The Del Mar summer meet is off and running and I will have daily coverage at The Runaway Horse.



Friday DEL MAR Opening Day Recap: July 15 

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (5f, 6.5f). All four turf races were nabbed by patient runners (8.5f, 8.5f, 8f, 8f).

Santiago Gonzalez pulled off a hat trick on opening day. Kent Desormeaux booted home a pair of turf route winners. Tyler Baze guided home two winners.

Saturday DEL MAR Recap: July 16

Fast main track and firm turf course. Two wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6f, 7f). The winning turf course running styles were a front runner at 5f, a stalker at a flat mile, a closer at 8.5f, and a stalker at 8.5f.

Victor Espinoza and John Sadler teamed up for two wins. Doug O’Neill saddled two winners.

Sunday DEL MAR Recap: July 17

Fast main track and firm turf course. Five wire-to-wire winners on dirt (6f, 5f, 5f, 6,5f, 5f). The winning turf course running styles were a pace presser at 8.5f, a patient type from midpack at 9f, and a front runner in the 9f Eddie Read.

Rafael Bejarano and Flavien Prat both booted home a pair.

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If you are interested in full card analysis, I am selling DEL MAR full cards each weekend at The Runaway Horse. You can check out full card recaps with highlights on our What You Missed page.


I also post free daily tickets from DEL MAR at Pick 6 Blog. You can also read my recaps at Pick 6 Blog.  

Photo by Stacy Edwards