Showing posts with label Bill Mott. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bill Mott. Show all posts

Monday, July 27, 2026

Curlin Stakes 2026 Analysis (7-29-26)

The Curlin Stakes is the feature race at Saratoga on Wednesday, July 29, offering a $150,000 purse for 3-year-olds that have not won a graded stakes race. The field of six will travel 1 1/8 miles on the main track.

Race Overview

  • Race: Curlin Stakes (Race 6)
  • Track: Saratoga
  • Distance: 1 1/8 miles
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Purse: $150,000
  • Post Time: 4:05 p.m. ET

Projected Pace

Gulfy appears to be the main speed horse.

Blackout Time and Zihnal should settle into stalking positions, while Chief Wallabee is expected to enjoy a tactical trip just outside the leaders. With only six horses entered, early position and trip could prove especially important.

The projected pace scenario seems to favor horses with early-pressing speed rather than deep closers.

Horse-by-Horse Analysis

#1 Blackout Time (3-1)

Blackout Time enters off a dominant six-length victory in an allowance race at Churchill Downs. That performance represented a significant rebound after disappointing efforts earlier this season in the Rebel Stakes and Arkansas Derby.

The big question is whether that effort was aided by several favorable factors, including a wet track, the addition of Lasix, and class relief. Earlier in his career, he proved he belonged with quality company by finishing second in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Futurity, so the talent is there. If he repeats his most recent speed figure, he’ll be a serious contender.

#2 Gulfy (12-1)

Gulfy projects as the likely pace setter. His forward running style might allow him to carve out the early fractions in a race that lacks abundant early speed.

The concern is whether he can finish strongly enough. While his pace figures are competitive, his recent final time ratings fall short of what will likely be required to defeat the top contenders. He could prove dangerous if left alone on the lead but appears more likely to be running for a minor award.

Read more at Today's Racing Digest

Sunday, April 19, 2026

Kentucky Derby & Oaks 2026 Video Update (4-18-26)

In this Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks 2026 video, I share the latest Derby and Oaks news (4-18-26). Ottinho will not run in the Derby and Chief Wallabee is the newest addition to the field. 

I covered all of the Kentucky Derby 2026 points races on my channel. Road to Derby video record (37 13-4-7).

I also covered all of the Kentucky Oaks 2026 points races on my channel. Road to Kentucky Oaks 2026 video record (31 14-7-5).

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.   

Sunday, April 20, 2025

Kentucky Derby 2025 News Update (4-19-25)

In this horse racing video, I take a look at the latest Kentucky Derby 2025 news (4-19-25).  

I covered all of the road to Kentucky Derby prep races, and through all 37 points races, my top choices had 11 wins, 7 runner-up finishes, and 3 show finishes. Two of my top choices scratched, so I was officially 11-for-35.

Check out horse racing free picks and more at The Runaway Horse.

Friday, February 3, 2023

Kentucky Derby 2023 Video Series: Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes

Here is my latest road to #kyderby 2023 video featuring analysis of the Holy Bull Stakes.   

Check out free stakes picks, Santa Anita full card analysis, and more at The Runaway Horse.  

Saturday, August 10, 2019

Travers Stakes 2019 Video Preview #2: Key Prep Races

The 2019 Travers Stakes (G1) is still two weeks away, but all of the major preps have been run, and there are ten horses seriously considering the mid-summer Derby at this stage. It promises to be the biggest horse racing event of the summer, and it might have major implications on the 3-year-old title. 



Check out my Travers video below! This week's video looks at the key prep races for the mid-summer Derby. 

Saratoga Race Course photo above courtesy of Josh Chicorelli

You can read all of my 3-year-old division reports on my Triple Crown 2019 page, and my daily full cards from Del Mar can be found on my Runaway Horse Sales page.