The Penn Oaks at Penn National on Friday, May 29th features a competitive group of three-year-old fillies going one mile on the turf for a $150,000 purse. This race goes as Race 5 with a scheduled post time of 7:12 p.m. Eastern, and I think this is an intriguing betting race because there are several lightly raced fillies with upside, along with a couple of runners that could take significant money despite having legitimate questions to answer.
The past performance data for this analysis is provided by Today’s Racing Digest. If you’re playing the Penn National card, make sure to grab the Digest products to follow along with the pace ratings, Final Time Ratings, and projected race shape.
Penn Oaks Field Overview
The field includes a pair of fillies exiting the same prep race, the Sanibel Island, along with a European shipper and a few pace players that could shape how this turf mile unfolds.
| Horse | Morning Line | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Vekoma View | 4-1 | Versatile filly with improving figures and tactical speed |
| Somemunny to Love | 30-1 | Possible pace factor stretching back out in distance |
| Sutura | 20-1 | Surface switcher with early speed potential |
| Call On Me | 5-1 | Tactical runner capable of working out ideal trip |
| Final Accord | 5-2 | Talented sprinter trying to prove route ability |
| Bandiagara | 9-5 | European import making U.S. debut |
| Smexy | 6-1 | Wide-trip victim in U.S. debut |
Top Contenders and Race Analysis
Vekoma View Is Trending the Right Way
Vekoma View has a good overall progression pattern. Her Final Time Rating has improved in all three career starts:
| Race | Final Time Rating | Pace Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Career Debut | 108 | 84 |
| Maiden Win | 117 | 122 |
| Sanibel Island Stakes | 126 | 143 |
That improving pattern is exactly what I want to see from a lightly raced three-year-old filly moving into a stakes event like this.
Last time in the Sanibel Island, she actually ran better than the running line might initially suggest. She saved ground early, briefly lost position because she didn’t have room, then re-rallied late once the inside opened. The key for me is that she handled a faster pace scenario and still finished well.
From the rail, Tyler Gaffalione should have options. If the pace comes up soft, she can sit close. If others go, she can save ground and stalk. That versatility gives her a possible tactical advantage in this field.
Read more at Today's Racing Digest
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