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Showing posts with label Firenze Fire. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Firenze Fire. Show all posts
Sunday, December 22, 2019
Saturday, March 10, 2018
Kentucky Derby 2018 Report: Bolt d'Oro, McKinzie Square Off in San Felipe Stakes
Bolt d’Oro, my top ranked Kentucky Derby 2018 contender since I began my list last September, makes his 3-year-old debut in the San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita Park on Saturday, March 10.
Bolt d’Oro was originally slated to make his sophomore debut in the San Vicente at seven furlongs in February, but a minor muscle pull altered those plans. He has worked seven times this year in advance of the San Felipe, and he should be fit and ready to roll for trainer Mick Ruis.
Victor Espinoza was aboard for Bolt d’Oro’s final workout for the San Felipe, and drilled a four furlong bullet with a strong gallop out on March 5.
The winner of the San Felipe Stakes will receive 50 Kentucky Derby qualifying points, so it is basically a win and you’re in event. The runner-up will get 20 points, with 10 points going to the show finisher, and 5 points for finishing 4th.
In addition to Bolt d’Oro, the San Felipe is also expected to attract Aquila, Ayacara(Keith Desormeaux), San Vicente winner Kanthaka, Robert Lewis hero Lombo, Sham winner McKinzie (Bob Baffert), Peace (Richard Mandella), and Sphene. Restoring Hope could also represent the Baffert barn.
McKinzie is the other big name in the San Felipe. His 3-for-3 record includes graded wins in the Los Al Futurity (placed first via disqualification) and the Sham Stakes. In the Sham, he removed blinkers and ran the best race of his career, and he looked good working for the San Felipe on March 4.
The Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct will also be contested on March 10. Here are the probable starters, as of 3-4-18: Afleet Ascent (Jerry Hollendorfer); Beautiful Shot(Keith Desormeaux); Dial Operator (Jason Servis); Firenze Fire (Jason Servis); Free Drop Billy (Dale Romans); Nine Route (Jeremiah Englehart); Quip (Rodolphe Brisset); Whereshetoldmetogo (Anthony Pecoraro. Possible: A Different Style (John Servis); Cove Blue (Romans); Diamond King (John Servis); Enticed (Kiaran McLaughlin).
The other Derby points race on March 10 is the Tampa Bay Derby. Likely starters include Sam F. Davis winner and show finisher Flameaway and Vino Rosso. Untamed Domain is expected to switch surfaces for Graham Motion, and Holy Bull show finisher Tiz Mischief is also expected to start for Dale Romans.
Let’s look back at the recently completed Kentucky Derby points races:
Fountain of Youth Stakes (Gulfstream Park, 3-3-18, 146 Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating)
Promises Fulfilled was sent to the lead and cleared the field from the outside post under Irad Ortiz Jr. Strike Power sat a length back in 2nd, and Good Magic was another length back in 3rd. That basically sums up the 2018 edition of the Fountain of Youth. The top three finishers ran in place throughout, and none of the other six entrants made a dent. Promises Fulfilled won by 2.25 lengths over Strike Power (138 Final Rating), with 2-year-old champ Good Magic (132 Final Rating) another couple of lengths back in 3rd. In a recurring theme, I do not know what to make of these results. This event was a carbon copy of the first 50-20-10-5 points race this year, the Risen Star. In that affair, the top four had a parade, with Bravazo leading the way. If this prep trend continues, we could be looking at a pace meltdown on the first Saturday in May.
In other Kentucky Derby 2018 contender news, Risen Star hero Bravazo had his first workout since upsetting that event for trainer D. Wayne Lukas. He went a half-mile in :49 (19/99) at Oaklawn Park on Feb. 26, and worked again at that same venue on March 5 (5f in 1:01.80) He will wrap up his Kentucky Derby preparations in the Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds on March 24. Lukas also sent out Southwest show finisher Sporting Chance for a spin around the Oaklawn oval on March 5. He went a mile in 1:41.40 (1/1) and will probably go next in the Rebel Stakes on March 17. The trainer has the Sunland Derby penciled in for recent Oaklawn Park allowance place finisher Transgress. The latter breezed a half-mile in :48.80 (14/103) at Oaklawn on Feb. 27.
Combatant, runner-up in the Remington Springboard Mile, Smarty Jones, and Southwest, returned to the work tab on March 4 with a 5f move in 1:01.80 (10/24) at Oaklawn Park for Steve Asmussen. He is expected to join stablemates Title Ready and Zing Zang in the Rebel.
Enticed, gearing up for a likely start in the Gotham at Aqueduct on March 10, breezed 5f in 1:01.85 (3/9) at Palm Meadows Training Center in Florida on March 2. Kiaran McLaughlin trains the well-bred son of Medaglia d’Oro for Godolphin.
Remington Springboard Mile hero Greyvitos is making a speedy recovery after having a bone chip removed for trainer Adam Kitchingman. He had his first workout of the year at Del Mar on Feb. 26 (3f in :37.20), and came right back with a half-mile move in :50 on March 5. He is playing catch up, and the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland on April 14 might be his first start of the season.
Sharp debut winner Justify had his first workout since his Santa Anita Park unveiling on Feb. 18 (146 Final Rating). He went five furlongs in 1:01.40 (33/55) at the Great Race Place on Feb. 26, and came back to work 5f in 1:00.80 (29/106) at Santa Anita on March 5. The exciting Bob Baffert runner is expected to ship to New Mexico for the Sunland Derby on March 25. He might be joined in the Sunland Derby by Smarty Jones hero Mourinho, but the latter could also return to Oaklawn for the Rebel.
Mississippi has finished 2nd in his last two allowance routes at Gulfstream Park. He breezed a 5f in 1:00.55 (2/21) at Palm Meadows on March 3 for trainer Mark Casse. He is expected to show up in a Derby points race next.
Late running Southwest winner My Boy Jack is back in Southern California for Keith Desormeaux. He traveled an easy three furlongs in :39.60 (6/8) at Santa Anita Park (dirt training) on March 3. He might head to the Fair Grounds for the Louisiana Derby next.
Sharp dirt route maiden winner Restoring Hope worked six furlongs in 1:11.60 (2/3) for Bob Baffert on March 4. He could end up in Saturday’s San Felipe.
Holy Bull show finisher Tiz Mischief had his third work since his 3-year-old bow. He breezed 5f in 1:00.68 (6/46) at Gulfstream Park on March 3. He is slated to go next in the Tampa Bay Derby on March 10.
Vino Rosso had his second move since landing the show in the Sam F. Davis, He breezed 4f in :49.58 (12/26) at Palm Beach Downs on March 3 for trainer Todd Pletcher. The Tampa Bay Derby is his next assignment.
Bolt d’Oro capture above and speed figures below courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2018 Contenders
(1) BOLT D’ORO (Medaglia d’Oro - Globe Trot, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer (Mick Ruis) - Owner (Ruis Racing)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (FrontRunner Stakes, SA, 9-30-17)
Latest Workout: 4f bullet in :46.40 (1/95) at Santa Anita Park on March 5.
Comments: The 2-time grade one-winning juvenile has had seven works this year (3 bullets) following a minor muscle pull. The BC Juvenile show finisher appears poised to fire a big shot off the bench in the San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita Park on Saturday, March 10. Javier Castellano has the riding assignment.
Derby Points (14)
(2) SOLOMINI (Curlin - Surf Song, by Storm Cat)
Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Zayat Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (BC Juvenile, 11-4-17)
Latest Workout: 6f bullet in 1:11.40 (1/6) at Santa Anita Park on March 4.
Comments: The G1 FrontRunner and BC Juvenile runner-up had his number taken down in the Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity (placed 3rd via disqualification). He got sick earlier this winter and returned to the work tab on Feb. 3. He has been working steadily all month and his last three moves were bullets. He is expected to make his first start of 2018 in the Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park on Saturday, March 17.
Derby Points (14)
(3) MCKINZIE (Street Sense - Runway Model, by Petionville)
Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Mike Pegram, Karl Watson, Paul Weitman)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 149 (Sham Stakes, SA, 1-6-18)
Latest Workout: 7f in 1:23.80 (1/2) at Santa Anita Park on March 4.
Comments: He removed blinkers for his 2018 debut and was a strong stalk and pounce winner of the Sham Stakes at Santa Anita on Jan 6. He got back to work on Jan. 21 and is targeting the San Felipe on March 10.
Derby Points (20)
(4) AUDIBLE (Into Mischief - Blue Devil Bel, by Gilded Time)
Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Owner (WinStar Farm, China Horse Club, SF Racing)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 156 (Holy Bull Stakes, GP, 2-3-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49.13 (3/26) at Palm Beach Downs on March 3.
Comments: After four lifetime starts, he has a trio of wins and a show finish. He stepped up to face much better foes in his stakes debut in the Holy Bull at the Gulf on Feb. 3, and he was more than up to the task in an effortless 5+ length tally after tracking moderate splits. He will have one more race before the first Saturday in May, and that would be the Florida Derby on March 31.
Derby Points (10)
(5) GOOD MAGIC (Curlin - Glinda the Good, by Hard Spun)
Trainer (Chad Brown) - Owner (e Five Racing Thoroughbreds and Stonestreet Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 153 (BC Juvenile, 11-4-17)
Comments: Much was expected in his sophomore debut in the Fountain of Youth, and he did not deliver the goods in a bit of a flat show finish. It is possible that he needed the race, and he could certainly move up next time, but this was not the same horse that we saw in the BC Juvenile. On the positive side, he has a solid 2-year-old foundation, is in good shape on the Derby points list, and appears healthy and sound. He will need to show more late interest in his final Derby prep, which will likely be the Grade 2 Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland on Saturday, April 7.
Derby Points (34)
(6) AVERY ISLAND (Street Sense - Kinda Spicy, by A. P. Indy)
Trainer (Kiaran McLaughlin) - Owner (Godolphin, LLC)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 150 (Withers Stakes, AQU, 2-3-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :48.40 (12/86) at Palm Meadows on March 3.
Comments: He had a productive juvenile campaign with a win in the G2 Nashua and a place finish in the G2 Remsen. He sat a nice outside pressing trip and was a couple of lengths clear of Firenze Fire in his Feb. 3 Withers return at nine furlongs. He has fine connections, a strong pedigree, and early/pressing versatility. The March 24 Louisiana Derby will be his final points race before the first Saturday in May.
Derby Points (14)
(7) FREE DROP BILLY (Union Rags - Trensa, by Giant’s Causeway)
Trainer (Dale Romans) - Owner (Albaugh Family Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (Holy Bull Stakes, GP, 2-3-18)
Latest Workout: 5f in 1:02.55 (28/46) at Gulfstream Park on March 3.
Comments: The G1 Breeders’ Futurity hero put his BC Juvenile flop behind him with a solid place finish in his sophomore return in the Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park on Feb. 3. He only had four published works prior to his 3-year-old bow and should be fitter next time. He matched his career best 140 Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating at the Gulf on Feb. 3. He entered the Fountain of Youth Stakes but scratched in favor of the Gotham Stakes (one mile) at Aqueduct on Saturday, March 10.
Derby Points (14)
(8) CATHOLIC BOY (More Than Ready - Song of Bernadette, by Bernardini)
Trainer (Jonathan Thomas) - Owner (Robert V. LaPenta)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 134 (Remsen Stakes, AQU, 12-2-17)
Latest Workout: 4f in :48.40 (1/3) at Bridlewood Farm on March 3.
Comments: His 3-for-4 juvenile campaign included a sharp surface switching victory in the Grade 2 Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct on 12-2-17. He got back on the work tab on Jan. 12 and finished a solid if unspectacular 2nd in his comeback race in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis at Tampa Bay Downs on Feb. 10. He rallied into tepid splits in the Davis and was not fully cranked for his first start of 2018. His final Derby prep race options include the Louisiana Derby on March 24, the Florida Derby on March 31, or the Wood Memorial a week later.
Derby Points (14)
(9) NOBLE INDY (Take Charge Indy - Noble Maz, by Storm Boot)
Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Owner (WinStar Farm)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 141 (OC, GP, 1-11-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49.21 (6/26) at Palm Beach Downs on March 3.
Comments: He won his first two starts at Gulfstream Park and finished an okay 3rd in his stakes debut in the G2 Risen Star Stakes (140 Final Rating) at Fair Grounds on Saturday, Feb. 17. The lightly raced colt only has time for one more Derby prep (possibly the Louisiana Derby), and will need a big effort to make the gate on the first Saturday in May.
Derby Points (10)
(10) INSTILLED REGARD (Arch - Enhancing, by Forestry)
Trainer (Jerry Hollendorfer) - Owner (OXO Equine LLC)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 138 (Risen Star Stakes, FG, 2-17-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49.80 (54/75) at Santa Anita Park on Feb. 25.
Comments: After earning his diploma in a dirt route at Santa Anita on 10-29-17, he was placed 2nd via disqualification in the G1 Los Al Futurity, and followed that up with a decisive score in the G3 Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds. He ended up an even 4th in the Risen Star Stakes and will have to run much better in his final Derby prep (Louisiana Derby or Santa Anita Derby).
Derby Points (19)
(11) FIRENZE FIRE (Poseidon’s Warrior - My Every Wish, by Langfuhr)
Trainer (Jason Servis) - Owner (Mr Amore Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 153 (Jerome Stakes, AQU, 1-13-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :50.69 (88/100) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on March 4.
Comments: He is 4-for-5 in one-turn races (won G3 Sanford, G1 Champagne, and listed Jerome), and 0-for-2 in routes. In his last start in the G3 Withers at a mile and an eighth, he was a grinding 2nd in an okay effort (144 Final Rating). He never misses a dance, and his next stop is the Gotham Stakes on March 10.
Derby Points (24)
THE NEXT NINE: (12) Bravazo, (13) Promises Fulfilled, (14) Combatant, (15) Tiz Mischief, (16) Justify, (17) My Boy Jack, (18) Mississippi, (19) Restoring Hope, (20) Vino Rosso
Bolt d’Oro was originally slated to make his sophomore debut in the San Vicente at seven furlongs in February, but a minor muscle pull altered those plans. He has worked seven times this year in advance of the San Felipe, and he should be fit and ready to roll for trainer Mick Ruis.
Victor Espinoza was aboard for Bolt d’Oro’s final workout for the San Felipe, and drilled a four furlong bullet with a strong gallop out on March 5.
The winner of the San Felipe Stakes will receive 50 Kentucky Derby qualifying points, so it is basically a win and you’re in event. The runner-up will get 20 points, with 10 points going to the show finisher, and 5 points for finishing 4th.
In addition to Bolt d’Oro, the San Felipe is also expected to attract Aquila, Ayacara(Keith Desormeaux), San Vicente winner Kanthaka, Robert Lewis hero Lombo, Sham winner McKinzie (Bob Baffert), Peace (Richard Mandella), and Sphene. Restoring Hope could also represent the Baffert barn.
McKinzie is the other big name in the San Felipe. His 3-for-3 record includes graded wins in the Los Al Futurity (placed first via disqualification) and the Sham Stakes. In the Sham, he removed blinkers and ran the best race of his career, and he looked good working for the San Felipe on March 4.
The Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct will also be contested on March 10. Here are the probable starters, as of 3-4-18: Afleet Ascent (Jerry Hollendorfer); Beautiful Shot(Keith Desormeaux); Dial Operator (Jason Servis); Firenze Fire (Jason Servis); Free Drop Billy (Dale Romans); Nine Route (Jeremiah Englehart); Quip (Rodolphe Brisset); Whereshetoldmetogo (Anthony Pecoraro. Possible: A Different Style (John Servis); Cove Blue (Romans); Diamond King (John Servis); Enticed (Kiaran McLaughlin).
The other Derby points race on March 10 is the Tampa Bay Derby. Likely starters include Sam F. Davis winner and show finisher Flameaway and Vino Rosso. Untamed Domain is expected to switch surfaces for Graham Motion, and Holy Bull show finisher Tiz Mischief is also expected to start for Dale Romans.
Let’s look back at the recently completed Kentucky Derby points races:
Fountain of Youth Stakes (Gulfstream Park, 3-3-18, 146 Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating)
Promises Fulfilled was sent to the lead and cleared the field from the outside post under Irad Ortiz Jr. Strike Power sat a length back in 2nd, and Good Magic was another length back in 3rd. That basically sums up the 2018 edition of the Fountain of Youth. The top three finishers ran in place throughout, and none of the other six entrants made a dent. Promises Fulfilled won by 2.25 lengths over Strike Power (138 Final Rating), with 2-year-old champ Good Magic (132 Final Rating) another couple of lengths back in 3rd. In a recurring theme, I do not know what to make of these results. This event was a carbon copy of the first 50-20-10-5 points race this year, the Risen Star. In that affair, the top four had a parade, with Bravazo leading the way. If this prep trend continues, we could be looking at a pace meltdown on the first Saturday in May.
In other Kentucky Derby 2018 contender news, Risen Star hero Bravazo had his first workout since upsetting that event for trainer D. Wayne Lukas. He went a half-mile in :49 (19/99) at Oaklawn Park on Feb. 26, and worked again at that same venue on March 5 (5f in 1:01.80) He will wrap up his Kentucky Derby preparations in the Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds on March 24. Lukas also sent out Southwest show finisher Sporting Chance for a spin around the Oaklawn oval on March 5. He went a mile in 1:41.40 (1/1) and will probably go next in the Rebel Stakes on March 17. The trainer has the Sunland Derby penciled in for recent Oaklawn Park allowance place finisher Transgress. The latter breezed a half-mile in :48.80 (14/103) at Oaklawn on Feb. 27.
Combatant, runner-up in the Remington Springboard Mile, Smarty Jones, and Southwest, returned to the work tab on March 4 with a 5f move in 1:01.80 (10/24) at Oaklawn Park for Steve Asmussen. He is expected to join stablemates Title Ready and Zing Zang in the Rebel.
Enticed, gearing up for a likely start in the Gotham at Aqueduct on March 10, breezed 5f in 1:01.85 (3/9) at Palm Meadows Training Center in Florida on March 2. Kiaran McLaughlin trains the well-bred son of Medaglia d’Oro for Godolphin.
Remington Springboard Mile hero Greyvitos is making a speedy recovery after having a bone chip removed for trainer Adam Kitchingman. He had his first workout of the year at Del Mar on Feb. 26 (3f in :37.20), and came right back with a half-mile move in :50 on March 5. He is playing catch up, and the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland on April 14 might be his first start of the season.
Sharp debut winner Justify had his first workout since his Santa Anita Park unveiling on Feb. 18 (146 Final Rating). He went five furlongs in 1:01.40 (33/55) at the Great Race Place on Feb. 26, and came back to work 5f in 1:00.80 (29/106) at Santa Anita on March 5. The exciting Bob Baffert runner is expected to ship to New Mexico for the Sunland Derby on March 25. He might be joined in the Sunland Derby by Smarty Jones hero Mourinho, but the latter could also return to Oaklawn for the Rebel.
Mississippi has finished 2nd in his last two allowance routes at Gulfstream Park. He breezed a 5f in 1:00.55 (2/21) at Palm Meadows on March 3 for trainer Mark Casse. He is expected to show up in a Derby points race next.
Late running Southwest winner My Boy Jack is back in Southern California for Keith Desormeaux. He traveled an easy three furlongs in :39.60 (6/8) at Santa Anita Park (dirt training) on March 3. He might head to the Fair Grounds for the Louisiana Derby next.
Sharp dirt route maiden winner Restoring Hope worked six furlongs in 1:11.60 (2/3) for Bob Baffert on March 4. He could end up in Saturday’s San Felipe.
Holy Bull show finisher Tiz Mischief had his third work since his 3-year-old bow. He breezed 5f in 1:00.68 (6/46) at Gulfstream Park on March 3. He is slated to go next in the Tampa Bay Derby on March 10.
Vino Rosso had his second move since landing the show in the Sam F. Davis, He breezed 4f in :49.58 (12/26) at Palm Beach Downs on March 3 for trainer Todd Pletcher. The Tampa Bay Derby is his next assignment.
Bolt d’Oro capture above and speed figures below courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2018 Contenders
(1) BOLT D’ORO (Medaglia d’Oro - Globe Trot, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer (Mick Ruis) - Owner (Ruis Racing)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (FrontRunner Stakes, SA, 9-30-17)
Latest Workout: 4f bullet in :46.40 (1/95) at Santa Anita Park on March 5.
Comments: The 2-time grade one-winning juvenile has had seven works this year (3 bullets) following a minor muscle pull. The BC Juvenile show finisher appears poised to fire a big shot off the bench in the San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita Park on Saturday, March 10. Javier Castellano has the riding assignment.
Derby Points (14)
(2) SOLOMINI (Curlin - Surf Song, by Storm Cat)
Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Zayat Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (BC Juvenile, 11-4-17)
Latest Workout: 6f bullet in 1:11.40 (1/6) at Santa Anita Park on March 4.
Comments: The G1 FrontRunner and BC Juvenile runner-up had his number taken down in the Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity (placed 3rd via disqualification). He got sick earlier this winter and returned to the work tab on Feb. 3. He has been working steadily all month and his last three moves were bullets. He is expected to make his first start of 2018 in the Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park on Saturday, March 17.
Derby Points (14)
(3) MCKINZIE (Street Sense - Runway Model, by Petionville)
Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Mike Pegram, Karl Watson, Paul Weitman)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 149 (Sham Stakes, SA, 1-6-18)
Latest Workout: 7f in 1:23.80 (1/2) at Santa Anita Park on March 4.
Comments: He removed blinkers for his 2018 debut and was a strong stalk and pounce winner of the Sham Stakes at Santa Anita on Jan 6. He got back to work on Jan. 21 and is targeting the San Felipe on March 10.
Derby Points (20)
(4) AUDIBLE (Into Mischief - Blue Devil Bel, by Gilded Time)
Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Owner (WinStar Farm, China Horse Club, SF Racing)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 156 (Holy Bull Stakes, GP, 2-3-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49.13 (3/26) at Palm Beach Downs on March 3.
Comments: After four lifetime starts, he has a trio of wins and a show finish. He stepped up to face much better foes in his stakes debut in the Holy Bull at the Gulf on Feb. 3, and he was more than up to the task in an effortless 5+ length tally after tracking moderate splits. He will have one more race before the first Saturday in May, and that would be the Florida Derby on March 31.
Derby Points (10)
(5) GOOD MAGIC (Curlin - Glinda the Good, by Hard Spun)
Trainer (Chad Brown) - Owner (e Five Racing Thoroughbreds and Stonestreet Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 153 (BC Juvenile, 11-4-17)
Comments: Much was expected in his sophomore debut in the Fountain of Youth, and he did not deliver the goods in a bit of a flat show finish. It is possible that he needed the race, and he could certainly move up next time, but this was not the same horse that we saw in the BC Juvenile. On the positive side, he has a solid 2-year-old foundation, is in good shape on the Derby points list, and appears healthy and sound. He will need to show more late interest in his final Derby prep, which will likely be the Grade 2 Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland on Saturday, April 7.
Derby Points (34)
(6) AVERY ISLAND (Street Sense - Kinda Spicy, by A. P. Indy)
Trainer (Kiaran McLaughlin) - Owner (Godolphin, LLC)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 150 (Withers Stakes, AQU, 2-3-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :48.40 (12/86) at Palm Meadows on March 3.
Comments: He had a productive juvenile campaign with a win in the G2 Nashua and a place finish in the G2 Remsen. He sat a nice outside pressing trip and was a couple of lengths clear of Firenze Fire in his Feb. 3 Withers return at nine furlongs. He has fine connections, a strong pedigree, and early/pressing versatility. The March 24 Louisiana Derby will be his final points race before the first Saturday in May.
Derby Points (14)
(7) FREE DROP BILLY (Union Rags - Trensa, by Giant’s Causeway)
Trainer (Dale Romans) - Owner (Albaugh Family Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (Holy Bull Stakes, GP, 2-3-18)
Latest Workout: 5f in 1:02.55 (28/46) at Gulfstream Park on March 3.
Comments: The G1 Breeders’ Futurity hero put his BC Juvenile flop behind him with a solid place finish in his sophomore return in the Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park on Feb. 3. He only had four published works prior to his 3-year-old bow and should be fitter next time. He matched his career best 140 Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating at the Gulf on Feb. 3. He entered the Fountain of Youth Stakes but scratched in favor of the Gotham Stakes (one mile) at Aqueduct on Saturday, March 10.
Derby Points (14)
(8) CATHOLIC BOY (More Than Ready - Song of Bernadette, by Bernardini)
Trainer (Jonathan Thomas) - Owner (Robert V. LaPenta)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 134 (Remsen Stakes, AQU, 12-2-17)
Latest Workout: 4f in :48.40 (1/3) at Bridlewood Farm on March 3.
Comments: His 3-for-4 juvenile campaign included a sharp surface switching victory in the Grade 2 Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct on 12-2-17. He got back on the work tab on Jan. 12 and finished a solid if unspectacular 2nd in his comeback race in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis at Tampa Bay Downs on Feb. 10. He rallied into tepid splits in the Davis and was not fully cranked for his first start of 2018. His final Derby prep race options include the Louisiana Derby on March 24, the Florida Derby on March 31, or the Wood Memorial a week later.
Derby Points (14)
(9) NOBLE INDY (Take Charge Indy - Noble Maz, by Storm Boot)
Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Owner (WinStar Farm)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 141 (OC, GP, 1-11-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49.21 (6/26) at Palm Beach Downs on March 3.
Comments: He won his first two starts at Gulfstream Park and finished an okay 3rd in his stakes debut in the G2 Risen Star Stakes (140 Final Rating) at Fair Grounds on Saturday, Feb. 17. The lightly raced colt only has time for one more Derby prep (possibly the Louisiana Derby), and will need a big effort to make the gate on the first Saturday in May.
Derby Points (10)
(10) INSTILLED REGARD (Arch - Enhancing, by Forestry)
Trainer (Jerry Hollendorfer) - Owner (OXO Equine LLC)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 138 (Risen Star Stakes, FG, 2-17-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49.80 (54/75) at Santa Anita Park on Feb. 25.
Comments: After earning his diploma in a dirt route at Santa Anita on 10-29-17, he was placed 2nd via disqualification in the G1 Los Al Futurity, and followed that up with a decisive score in the G3 Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds. He ended up an even 4th in the Risen Star Stakes and will have to run much better in his final Derby prep (Louisiana Derby or Santa Anita Derby).
Derby Points (19)
(11) FIRENZE FIRE (Poseidon’s Warrior - My Every Wish, by Langfuhr)
Trainer (Jason Servis) - Owner (Mr Amore Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 153 (Jerome Stakes, AQU, 1-13-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :50.69 (88/100) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on March 4.
Comments: He is 4-for-5 in one-turn races (won G3 Sanford, G1 Champagne, and listed Jerome), and 0-for-2 in routes. In his last start in the G3 Withers at a mile and an eighth, he was a grinding 2nd in an okay effort (144 Final Rating). He never misses a dance, and his next stop is the Gotham Stakes on March 10.
Derby Points (24)
THE NEXT NINE: (12) Bravazo, (13) Promises Fulfilled, (14) Combatant, (15) Tiz Mischief, (16) Justify, (17) My Boy Jack, (18) Mississippi, (19) Restoring Hope, (20) Vino Rosso
Friday, February 2, 2018
Kentucky Derby 2018 Update: Bolt d'Oro back to work in California
Two-time grade one winner Bolt d’Oro, one of the favorites for Kentucky Derby 2018, had his first work of the year for trainer Mick Ruis. He traveled three furlongs at Santa Anita Park on Saturday, Jan. 27. It was the second best of eight moves at the distance.
Bolt d’Oro will begin his sophomore campaign in the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita Park on Saturday, March 10. His new rider will be Javier Castellano, who replaces Corey Nakatani.
Last week, there were no Kentucky Derby points races, but we are back in action with a trio of Derby preps this weekend:
Grade 3 Withers Stakes (Aqueduct, 2-3-18)
My ninth ranked Derby contender, Firenze Fire, is back in action in the Withers Stakes (nine furlongs) at Aqueduct on Feb. 3. His trainer, Jason Servis, originally said he would wait for the Gotham Stakes in March, but he is reportedly doing well following his victory in the Jerome Stakes at Aqueduct on Jan. 13. Avery Island (5f in 1:00.75 on Jan. 27 at Palm Meadows) ships in from Florida for Kiaran McLaughlin, and the G2 Remsen runner-up is the 8-5 morning line favorite. Marconi (4f in :49 at Belmont Park on Jan. 27) is Todd Pletcher’s top representative, and he is the third choice on the line at 3-1. Pletcher also has Mucho Macho Man runner-up Bal Harbour and Jerome show finisher Coltandmississippi.
Grade 2 Holy Bull Stakes (Gulfstream Park, 2-3-18)
G2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes hero Enticed (4f in :49.75 at Palm Meadows on Jan. 26) drew the advantageous inside post and will represent trainer Kiaran McLaughlin in the Holy Bull. He will take on Dale Roamns trainees Free Drop Billy, Bandito, Hollywood Star, and Tiz Mischief (5f in 1:00.07 at GP on Jan. 27). Mississippi drew post 11 for Mark Casse and will scratch. He has been rerouted to an allowance race at the Gulf on Feb. 4. In Sunday’s race, he will meet highly regarded Todd Pletcher runner Navistar.
Grade 3 Robert Lewis Stakes (Santa Anita Park, 2-3-18)
Peace (6f in 1:13.60 on Jan. 27) and Shivermetimbers (5f in 1:01.80 on Jan. 28) figure to talk the bulk of the wagering action in the Lewis Stakes. Inscom switches surfaces for trainer Simon Callaghan, as does Ayacara for Team Desormeaux. Lombo stretches out in distance and looms the target.
In other Kentucky Derby 2018 contender news, Mucho Macho Man winner Maskwill miss two weeks of training (undisclosed setback). He is out of the Risen Star Stakes, and he drops off the bottom of my Derby list as well. He only has two starts (both around one turn) and not much foundation, so any setback for him is a huge deal.
G3 Lecomte hero Instilled Regard got back to work on Jan. 24. He traveled 4f in :47.80 (4/41) at Santa Anita Park. He worked again on Feb. 1, and is the newest member of the “exceptional eleven.” Welcome aboard!
Mississippi, runner-up to Noble Indy in his last start at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 11, worked a half-mile in :49.65 at Palm Meadows on Jan. 27. As mentioned earlier, he will run in an allowance route at Gulfstream Park on Super Bowl Sunday. If he does well, look for him to show up in the Fountain of Youth Stakes.
Navistar could not get a plane to Oaklawn Park for the Smarty Jones Stakes, so he had to scratch out of that event. He has worked three times since, including a half-mile breeze in :49.33 at Palm Beach Downs on Jan. 28. He meets Mississippion Feb. 4.
Speaking of the Smarty Jones Stakes, the front running winner of that race, Mourinho, fired a 6f bullet in 1:12.60 at Santa Anita Park on Feb. 1. He is scheduled to return to Oaklawn Park for the Feb. 19 Southwest Stakes.
Smarty Jones runner-up Combatant got back to work with a 5f move in 1:01.40 at Oaklawn Park on Jan. 31. The Southwest is up next.
Montauk finally returned to the work tab for Todd Pletcher. He went 3f in :37.20 (1/2) at Palm Beach Downs on Jan. 28. I put him on my list after his scintillating debut at Belmont Park on 10-7-17, but removed him due to inactivity. The Derby is a real longshot, but he is an interesting long term 3-year-old prospect.
Another Pletcher runner, Vino Rosso (2-for-2 in 2017), is gearing up for a Derby trail campaign. He worked three times in January, most recently breezing 5f in 1:02.19 at Palm Beach Downs on the 28th.
Bolt d’Oro capture above and speed figures below courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2018 Contenders
(1) BOLT D’ORO (Medaglia d’Oro - Globe Trot, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer (Mick Ruis) - Owner (Ruis Racing)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (FrontRunner Stakes, SA, 9-30-17)
Latest Workout: 3f in :36.80 (2/10) at Santa Anita Park on Jan. 27.
Comments: His 3-for-4 juvenile campaign included grade one tallies in the Del Mar Futurity and FrontRunner Stakes. In his final 2-year-old start, he experienced a very wide trip from an outer post in the the BC Juvenile and ended up a respectable 3rd considering the lost ground. I thought he was robbed of the Eclipse Award for top 2-year-old in the US. He was originally slated to return in the Grade 2 San Vicente Stakes at Santa Anita Park on Feb 10, but a muscle pull altered those plans. He will now have two Kentucky Derby preps, beginning with the San Felipe at Santa Anita on March 10, followed by the Santa Anita Derby. He returned to the work tab on Jan. 27, and jockey Javier Castellano will replace Corey Nakatani when he runs in the San Felipe.
Derby Points (14)
(2) GOOD MAGIC (Curlin - Glinda the Good, by Hard Spun)
Trainer (Chad Brown) - Owner (e Five Racing Thoroughbreds and Stonestreet Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 153 (BC Juvenile, 11-4-17)
Latest Workout: 4f bullet in :48.45 (1/37) at Palm Meadows on Jan 28.
Comments: He ran the best overall race in his place finish in the G1 Champagne, and his Today’s Racing Digest numbers went through the roof in a visually impressive score in the BC Juvenile. In a close call, he got the Eclipse Award over Bolt d’Oro, even though the latter had a more impressive overall campaign last year. He has been part of my Derby list all along, and following a training stint at Stonestreet Farm in Ocala, he headed to Palm Meadows to join the rest of Brown’s Florida string in mid-December. He returned to the work tab with a three furlong bullet on Jan. 21, and fired another bullet on Jan. 28. He is expected to begin his 3-year-old campaign in the Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park on March 3.
Derby Points (24)
(3) SOLOMINI (Curlin - Surf Song, by Storm Cat)
Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Zayat Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (BC Juvenile, 11-4-17)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49 (19/36) at Santa Anita Park on Dec 28.
Comments: The G1 FrontRunner and G1 BC Juvenile runner-up crossed the line first in the G1 Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity (137 Final Rating) but was disqualified and placed 3rd. He was clearly best at Los Al and it was nice to see him relax and finish strong. McKinzie exited that heat to win the G3 Sham on Jan. 6, and Instilled Regard came out of that race to capture the G3 Lecomte at Fair Grounds on Jan. 13. He recently got sick and has yet to work this year (last published work on 12-28-17). He is reportedly on the road to recovery, and at this stage, it looks as though he will have two Derby preps, and they will most likely occur at Oaklawn Park and/or Santa Anita Park.
Derby Points (14)
(4) MCKINZIE (Street Sense - Runway Model, by Petionville)
Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Mike Pegram, Karl Watson, Paul Weitman)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 149 (Sham Stakes, SA, 1-6-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49 (45/87) at Santa Anita Park on Jan 21.
Comments: He is technically 3-for-3 (placed first via DQ in Los Al Futurity), but let there be no doubt that his stablemate Solomini was best at Los Alamitos Race Course on 12-9-17. He removed blinkers for his 2018 debut and was a strong stalk and pounce winner of the Sham Stakes at Santa Anita on Jan 6. He is expected to race two more times at Oaklawn Park (Rebel, Arkansas Derby) and/or Santa Anita (San Felipe, SA Derby) prior to the first Saturday in May.
Derby Points (20)
(5) NOBLE INDY (Take Charge Indy - Noble Maz, by Storm Boot)
Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Owner (WinStar Farm)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 141 (OC, GP, 1-11-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :50.03 (9/14) at Palm Beach Downs on Jan. 27.
Comments: He made his career debut at Gulfstream Park on Dec 3, and in that seven panel affair, he went straight to the front and cruised home by 8+ lengths. He returned in an entry level allowance route at Gulfstream on Thursday, January 11, and in that exciting event, he hooked up with promising Mark Casse runner Mississippi from start to finish. John Velazquez confidently handled Noble Indy through the stretch and he gamely prevailed by 3/4ths of a length. Mississippi was 6+ lengths clear of the show, and the final time was 1:42.52. He is on the upswing for Pletcher and appears ready for stakes company.
(6) PRINCIPE GUILHERME (Tapit - Aubby K, by Street Sense)
Trainer (Steve Asmussen) - Owner (Three Chimneys Farm)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 143 (Optional Claiming, FG, 12-16-17)
Latest Workout: 5f in 1:00.40 (6/55) at Fair Grounds on Jan. 29.
Comments: Romped in his first two starts including an impressive two turn allowance score at Fair Grounds on Dec 16. He went off as the favorite in the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds on Saturday, January 13, and ended up a grinding 2nd (123 Final Rating) after a wide trip from an outer post. He will have to run faster in his next Derby prep, which will probably come in the Grade 2 Risen Star in New Orleans on Feb. 17.
Derby Points (4)
(7) HOLLYWOOD STAR (Malibu Moon - Hollywood Story, by Wild Rush)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 134 (Iroquois Stakes, CD, 9-16-17)
Latest Workout: 5f bullet in :59.02 (1/18) at Gulfstream Park on Jan 27.
Trainer (Dale Romans) - Owner (Albaugh Family Racing)
Comments: Followed up a debut maiden win at CD June 28 with back-to-back place finishes in the G2 Saratoga Special and G3 Iorquois. His CPR, FIRE, and Pace Ratings improved in each of his first three starts, and the Romans trainee broke from post 12 and rallied from last to split the field in the BC Juvenile. He has yet to put everything together in the morning and afternoon, and he has every right to improve this year. He had his first work of the year on Jan. 6, and is entered in the Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, Feb. 3.
Derby Points (4)
(8) FREE DROP BILLY (Union Rags - Trensa, by Giant’s Causeway)
Trainer (Dale Romans) - Owner (Albaugh Family Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (Breeders’ Futurity, KEE, 10-7-17)
Latest Workout: 5f bullet in :59.02 (1/18) at Gulfstream Park on Jan 27.
Comments: He stalked from midpack from an outer post handled two turns with ease in the G1 Breeders’ Futurity (1st by 4 lengths) on October 7. He made a bit of a middle move in the BC Juvenile but was basically done after six furlongs in a very disappointing performance (9th of 12). He enjoyed a productive juvenile campaign, returned to work at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 6, and is entered in the Holy Bull Stakes on Feb. 3.
Derby Points (10)
(9) FIRENZE FIRE (Poseidon’s Warrior - My Every Wish, by Langfuhr)
Trainer (Jason Servis) - Owner (Mr Amore Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 153 (Jerome Stakes, AQU, 1-13-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49.32 (9/23) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on Jan. 29.
Comments: He captured the G3 Sanford and G1 Champagne (140 Final Rating) as a juvenile before finishing a flat 7th in the BC Juvenile. He finally was able to make his sophomore debut in the rescheduled Jerome at Aqueduct on Saturday, Jan. 13, and he overcame a layoff, lack of pace, and a wet track to run down lone speed Seven Trumpets. The 3-time stakes winner obviously has ability but all four of his wins were around one turn, and stamina continues to be the main question. The Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct on March 10 was supposed to be his next target, but he is right back in the entry box for the Withers Stakes at the Big A on Feb. 3. He drew the inside post and is the 9-5 second choice on the morning line.
Derby Points (20)
(10) CATHOLIC BOY (More Than Ready - Song of Bernadette, by Bernardini)
Trainer (Jonathan Thomas) - Owner (Robert V. LaPenta)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 134 (Remsen Stakes, AQU, 12-2-17)
Latest Workout: 5f in 1:01 (2/22) at Tampa Bay on Jan. 27.
Comments: Won 3 of his 4 juvenile outings including a smart surface switching tally in the Grade 2 Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct on Dec. 2. He got back on the work tab on Jan. 12 and is on track to make his 3-year-old debut in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis at Tampa Bay Downs on Feb. 10.
Derby Points (10)
(11) INSTILLED REGARD (Arch - Enhancing, by Forestry)
Trainer (Jerry Hollendorfer) - Owner (OXO Equine LLC)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 135 (Lecomte Stakes, FG, 1-13-18)
Latest Workout: 5f in 1:01.80 (17/25) at Santa Anita Park on Feb. 1.
Comments: Lost his first two sprints and turned the corner over a route of ground in his last three. After earning his diploma at SA on 10-29-17, he was placed 2nd via disqualification in the G1 Los Al Futurity, and followed that up with a decisive score in the G3 Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds. I love his tactical speed, and he proved that he could ship and win last time. He is expected to return to New Orleans for the Risen Star Stakes on Feb. 17.
Derby Points (14)
THE NEXT NINE: (12) Enticed, (13) Tiz Mischief, (14) Mississippi, (15) Combatant, (16) Avery Island, (17) Peace, (18) Mourinho, (19) Navistar, (20) Vino Rosso
Bolt d’Oro will begin his sophomore campaign in the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita Park on Saturday, March 10. His new rider will be Javier Castellano, who replaces Corey Nakatani.
Last week, there were no Kentucky Derby points races, but we are back in action with a trio of Derby preps this weekend:
Grade 3 Withers Stakes (Aqueduct, 2-3-18)
My ninth ranked Derby contender, Firenze Fire, is back in action in the Withers Stakes (nine furlongs) at Aqueduct on Feb. 3. His trainer, Jason Servis, originally said he would wait for the Gotham Stakes in March, but he is reportedly doing well following his victory in the Jerome Stakes at Aqueduct on Jan. 13. Avery Island (5f in 1:00.75 on Jan. 27 at Palm Meadows) ships in from Florida for Kiaran McLaughlin, and the G2 Remsen runner-up is the 8-5 morning line favorite. Marconi (4f in :49 at Belmont Park on Jan. 27) is Todd Pletcher’s top representative, and he is the third choice on the line at 3-1. Pletcher also has Mucho Macho Man runner-up Bal Harbour and Jerome show finisher Coltandmississippi.
Grade 2 Holy Bull Stakes (Gulfstream Park, 2-3-18)
G2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes hero Enticed (4f in :49.75 at Palm Meadows on Jan. 26) drew the advantageous inside post and will represent trainer Kiaran McLaughlin in the Holy Bull. He will take on Dale Roamns trainees Free Drop Billy, Bandito, Hollywood Star, and Tiz Mischief (5f in 1:00.07 at GP on Jan. 27). Mississippi drew post 11 for Mark Casse and will scratch. He has been rerouted to an allowance race at the Gulf on Feb. 4. In Sunday’s race, he will meet highly regarded Todd Pletcher runner Navistar.
Grade 3 Robert Lewis Stakes (Santa Anita Park, 2-3-18)
Peace (6f in 1:13.60 on Jan. 27) and Shivermetimbers (5f in 1:01.80 on Jan. 28) figure to talk the bulk of the wagering action in the Lewis Stakes. Inscom switches surfaces for trainer Simon Callaghan, as does Ayacara for Team Desormeaux. Lombo stretches out in distance and looms the target.
In other Kentucky Derby 2018 contender news, Mucho Macho Man winner Maskwill miss two weeks of training (undisclosed setback). He is out of the Risen Star Stakes, and he drops off the bottom of my Derby list as well. He only has two starts (both around one turn) and not much foundation, so any setback for him is a huge deal.
G3 Lecomte hero Instilled Regard got back to work on Jan. 24. He traveled 4f in :47.80 (4/41) at Santa Anita Park. He worked again on Feb. 1, and is the newest member of the “exceptional eleven.” Welcome aboard!
Mississippi, runner-up to Noble Indy in his last start at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 11, worked a half-mile in :49.65 at Palm Meadows on Jan. 27. As mentioned earlier, he will run in an allowance route at Gulfstream Park on Super Bowl Sunday. If he does well, look for him to show up in the Fountain of Youth Stakes.
Navistar could not get a plane to Oaklawn Park for the Smarty Jones Stakes, so he had to scratch out of that event. He has worked three times since, including a half-mile breeze in :49.33 at Palm Beach Downs on Jan. 28. He meets Mississippion Feb. 4.
Speaking of the Smarty Jones Stakes, the front running winner of that race, Mourinho, fired a 6f bullet in 1:12.60 at Santa Anita Park on Feb. 1. He is scheduled to return to Oaklawn Park for the Feb. 19 Southwest Stakes.
Smarty Jones runner-up Combatant got back to work with a 5f move in 1:01.40 at Oaklawn Park on Jan. 31. The Southwest is up next.
Montauk finally returned to the work tab for Todd Pletcher. He went 3f in :37.20 (1/2) at Palm Beach Downs on Jan. 28. I put him on my list after his scintillating debut at Belmont Park on 10-7-17, but removed him due to inactivity. The Derby is a real longshot, but he is an interesting long term 3-year-old prospect.
Another Pletcher runner, Vino Rosso (2-for-2 in 2017), is gearing up for a Derby trail campaign. He worked three times in January, most recently breezing 5f in 1:02.19 at Palm Beach Downs on the 28th.
Bolt d’Oro capture above and speed figures below courtesy of Today's Racing Digest.
Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2018 Contenders
(1) BOLT D’ORO (Medaglia d’Oro - Globe Trot, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer (Mick Ruis) - Owner (Ruis Racing)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (FrontRunner Stakes, SA, 9-30-17)
Latest Workout: 3f in :36.80 (2/10) at Santa Anita Park on Jan. 27.
Comments: His 3-for-4 juvenile campaign included grade one tallies in the Del Mar Futurity and FrontRunner Stakes. In his final 2-year-old start, he experienced a very wide trip from an outer post in the the BC Juvenile and ended up a respectable 3rd considering the lost ground. I thought he was robbed of the Eclipse Award for top 2-year-old in the US. He was originally slated to return in the Grade 2 San Vicente Stakes at Santa Anita Park on Feb 10, but a muscle pull altered those plans. He will now have two Kentucky Derby preps, beginning with the San Felipe at Santa Anita on March 10, followed by the Santa Anita Derby. He returned to the work tab on Jan. 27, and jockey Javier Castellano will replace Corey Nakatani when he runs in the San Felipe.
Derby Points (14)
(2) GOOD MAGIC (Curlin - Glinda the Good, by Hard Spun)
Trainer (Chad Brown) - Owner (e Five Racing Thoroughbreds and Stonestreet Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 153 (BC Juvenile, 11-4-17)
Latest Workout: 4f bullet in :48.45 (1/37) at Palm Meadows on Jan 28.
Comments: He ran the best overall race in his place finish in the G1 Champagne, and his Today’s Racing Digest numbers went through the roof in a visually impressive score in the BC Juvenile. In a close call, he got the Eclipse Award over Bolt d’Oro, even though the latter had a more impressive overall campaign last year. He has been part of my Derby list all along, and following a training stint at Stonestreet Farm in Ocala, he headed to Palm Meadows to join the rest of Brown’s Florida string in mid-December. He returned to the work tab with a three furlong bullet on Jan. 21, and fired another bullet on Jan. 28. He is expected to begin his 3-year-old campaign in the Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park on March 3.
Derby Points (24)
(3) SOLOMINI (Curlin - Surf Song, by Storm Cat)
Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Zayat Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (BC Juvenile, 11-4-17)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49 (19/36) at Santa Anita Park on Dec 28.
Comments: The G1 FrontRunner and G1 BC Juvenile runner-up crossed the line first in the G1 Los Alamitos CashCall Futurity (137 Final Rating) but was disqualified and placed 3rd. He was clearly best at Los Al and it was nice to see him relax and finish strong. McKinzie exited that heat to win the G3 Sham on Jan. 6, and Instilled Regard came out of that race to capture the G3 Lecomte at Fair Grounds on Jan. 13. He recently got sick and has yet to work this year (last published work on 12-28-17). He is reportedly on the road to recovery, and at this stage, it looks as though he will have two Derby preps, and they will most likely occur at Oaklawn Park and/or Santa Anita Park.
Derby Points (14)
(4) MCKINZIE (Street Sense - Runway Model, by Petionville)
Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Mike Pegram, Karl Watson, Paul Weitman)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 149 (Sham Stakes, SA, 1-6-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49 (45/87) at Santa Anita Park on Jan 21.
Comments: He is technically 3-for-3 (placed first via DQ in Los Al Futurity), but let there be no doubt that his stablemate Solomini was best at Los Alamitos Race Course on 12-9-17. He removed blinkers for his 2018 debut and was a strong stalk and pounce winner of the Sham Stakes at Santa Anita on Jan 6. He is expected to race two more times at Oaklawn Park (Rebel, Arkansas Derby) and/or Santa Anita (San Felipe, SA Derby) prior to the first Saturday in May.
Derby Points (20)
(5) NOBLE INDY (Take Charge Indy - Noble Maz, by Storm Boot)
Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Owner (WinStar Farm)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 141 (OC, GP, 1-11-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :50.03 (9/14) at Palm Beach Downs on Jan. 27.
Comments: He made his career debut at Gulfstream Park on Dec 3, and in that seven panel affair, he went straight to the front and cruised home by 8+ lengths. He returned in an entry level allowance route at Gulfstream on Thursday, January 11, and in that exciting event, he hooked up with promising Mark Casse runner Mississippi from start to finish. John Velazquez confidently handled Noble Indy through the stretch and he gamely prevailed by 3/4ths of a length. Mississippi was 6+ lengths clear of the show, and the final time was 1:42.52. He is on the upswing for Pletcher and appears ready for stakes company.
(6) PRINCIPE GUILHERME (Tapit - Aubby K, by Street Sense)
Trainer (Steve Asmussen) - Owner (Three Chimneys Farm)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 143 (Optional Claiming, FG, 12-16-17)
Latest Workout: 5f in 1:00.40 (6/55) at Fair Grounds on Jan. 29.
Comments: Romped in his first two starts including an impressive two turn allowance score at Fair Grounds on Dec 16. He went off as the favorite in the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds on Saturday, January 13, and ended up a grinding 2nd (123 Final Rating) after a wide trip from an outer post. He will have to run faster in his next Derby prep, which will probably come in the Grade 2 Risen Star in New Orleans on Feb. 17.
Derby Points (4)
(7) HOLLYWOOD STAR (Malibu Moon - Hollywood Story, by Wild Rush)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 134 (Iroquois Stakes, CD, 9-16-17)
Latest Workout: 5f bullet in :59.02 (1/18) at Gulfstream Park on Jan 27.
Trainer (Dale Romans) - Owner (Albaugh Family Racing)
Comments: Followed up a debut maiden win at CD June 28 with back-to-back place finishes in the G2 Saratoga Special and G3 Iorquois. His CPR, FIRE, and Pace Ratings improved in each of his first three starts, and the Romans trainee broke from post 12 and rallied from last to split the field in the BC Juvenile. He has yet to put everything together in the morning and afternoon, and he has every right to improve this year. He had his first work of the year on Jan. 6, and is entered in the Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, Feb. 3.
Derby Points (4)
(8) FREE DROP BILLY (Union Rags - Trensa, by Giant’s Causeway)
Trainer (Dale Romans) - Owner (Albaugh Family Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 140 (Breeders’ Futurity, KEE, 10-7-17)
Latest Workout: 5f bullet in :59.02 (1/18) at Gulfstream Park on Jan 27.
Comments: He stalked from midpack from an outer post handled two turns with ease in the G1 Breeders’ Futurity (1st by 4 lengths) on October 7. He made a bit of a middle move in the BC Juvenile but was basically done after six furlongs in a very disappointing performance (9th of 12). He enjoyed a productive juvenile campaign, returned to work at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 6, and is entered in the Holy Bull Stakes on Feb. 3.
Derby Points (10)
(9) FIRENZE FIRE (Poseidon’s Warrior - My Every Wish, by Langfuhr)
Trainer (Jason Servis) - Owner (Mr Amore Stables)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 153 (Jerome Stakes, AQU, 1-13-18)
Latest Workout: 4f in :49.32 (9/23) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on Jan. 29.
Comments: He captured the G3 Sanford and G1 Champagne (140 Final Rating) as a juvenile before finishing a flat 7th in the BC Juvenile. He finally was able to make his sophomore debut in the rescheduled Jerome at Aqueduct on Saturday, Jan. 13, and he overcame a layoff, lack of pace, and a wet track to run down lone speed Seven Trumpets. The 3-time stakes winner obviously has ability but all four of his wins were around one turn, and stamina continues to be the main question. The Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct on March 10 was supposed to be his next target, but he is right back in the entry box for the Withers Stakes at the Big A on Feb. 3. He drew the inside post and is the 9-5 second choice on the morning line.
Derby Points (20)
(10) CATHOLIC BOY (More Than Ready - Song of Bernadette, by Bernardini)
Trainer (Jonathan Thomas) - Owner (Robert V. LaPenta)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 134 (Remsen Stakes, AQU, 12-2-17)
Latest Workout: 5f in 1:01 (2/22) at Tampa Bay on Jan. 27.
Comments: Won 3 of his 4 juvenile outings including a smart surface switching tally in the Grade 2 Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct on Dec. 2. He got back on the work tab on Jan. 12 and is on track to make his 3-year-old debut in the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis at Tampa Bay Downs on Feb. 10.
Derby Points (10)
(11) INSTILLED REGARD (Arch - Enhancing, by Forestry)
Trainer (Jerry Hollendorfer) - Owner (OXO Equine LLC)
Top Today’s Racing Digest Final Rating: 135 (Lecomte Stakes, FG, 1-13-18)
Latest Workout: 5f in 1:01.80 (17/25) at Santa Anita Park on Feb. 1.
Comments: Lost his first two sprints and turned the corner over a route of ground in his last three. After earning his diploma at SA on 10-29-17, he was placed 2nd via disqualification in the G1 Los Al Futurity, and followed that up with a decisive score in the G3 Lecomte Stakes at Fair Grounds. I love his tactical speed, and he proved that he could ship and win last time. He is expected to return to New Orleans for the Risen Star Stakes on Feb. 17.
Derby Points (14)
THE NEXT NINE: (12) Enticed, (13) Tiz Mischief, (14) Mississippi, (15) Combatant, (16) Avery Island, (17) Peace, (18) Mourinho, (19) Navistar, (20) Vino Rosso
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